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mLine 5:
Line 5: + − !State + − |Ohio + − |Iowa + − |Colorado + − |Virginia + − |Florida + − |North Carolina + − |Nevada
better ordering in the table
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|-
|-
!State
!Expected winner 2012
!Expected winner 2012
!Margin of [[Obama]]'s win in 2008
!Margin of [[Obama]]'s win in 2008
!Indicators
!Indicators
!Electoral Votes in 2012
!Electoral Votes in 2012
|-
|-
|Ohio
|Toss up
|Toss up
|4.6%
|4.6%
|Ohio voted Republican in the 2010 elections, but the public unions repealed the collective bargaining reforms by popular vote. This indicates heavy union influence who always vote democrat.
|Ohio voted Republican in the 2010 elections, but the public unions repealed the collective bargaining reforms by popular vote. This indicates heavy union influence who always vote democrat.
|18
|18
|-
|-
|Iowa
|Toss-up
|Toss-up
|9.5%
|9.5%
|
|
|6
|6
|-
|-
|Colorado
|Toss-up
|Toss-up
|9%
|9%
|[[Pro-life]], pro-[[Christian]] [[Tim Tebow]]'s phenomenal success for the Denver Broncos helped improve the culture there.
|[[Pro-life]], pro-[[Christian]] [[Tim Tebow]]'s phenomenal success for the Denver Broncos helped improve the culture there.
|9
|9
|-
|-
|Virginia
|Toss-up
|Toss-up
|6%
|6%
|Elected a Republican governor, [[Bob McDonnell]], in 2009. In the 2011 elections the Republican party took the state senate, giving them control over both houses of the legislature. '''Obama will probably lose this state by 5-10 points in 2012'''.
|Elected a Republican governor, [[Bob McDonnell]], in 2009. In the 2011 elections the Republican party took the state senate, giving them control over both houses of the legislature. '''Obama will probably lose this state by 5-10 points in 2012'''.
|13
|13
|-
|-
|Florida
|Romney led by 7 points as of May
|Romney led by 7 points as of May
|2.8%
|2.8%
|Elected a Republican for both governor and Senate in the 2010 midterm elections; however, Governor [[Rick Scott]] is currently (Dec. 2011) very unpopular in the state. Obama's approval in the state is below 50% and without Florida his reelection is unlikely.
|Elected a Republican for both governor and Senate in the 2010 midterm elections; however, Governor [[Rick Scott]] is currently (Dec. 2011) very unpopular in the state. Obama's approval in the state is below 50% and without Florida his reelection is unlikely.
|29
|29
|-
|-
|North Carolina
|Leaning Republican win due to [[same-sex marriage]] issue.
|Leaning Republican win due to [[same-sex marriage]] issue.
|0.3%
|0.3%
|The current [[Democratic]] governor, [[Bev Perdue]], is highly unpopular and polling badly, especially in the wake of recent scandals among her staff.
|The current [[Democratic]] governor, [[Bev Perdue]], is highly unpopular and polling badly, especially in the wake of recent scandals among her staff.
|15
|15
|-
|-
|Nevada
|Leaning Democratic
|Leaning Democratic
|12.5%
|12.5%
|A recent special election for the state's 2nd congressional district was predicted to be competitive but resulted in a decisive victory for [[Republican]] [[Mark Amodei]]. [[Harry Reid]] won reelection in 2010 despite [[Tea Party]] opposition, but this may have been due to discrepancies and corruption in the voting process.
|A recent special election for the state's 2nd congressional district was predicted to be competitive but resulted in a decisive victory for [[Republican]] [[Mark Amodei]]. [[Harry Reid]] won reelection in 2010 despite [[Tea Party]] opposition, but this may have been due to discrepancies and corruption in the voting process.