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Line 16: − + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + − Republican [[Jon Kyl]] is retiring. Richard Carmona [D], [[Jeff Flake]] [R], Wil Cardon [R] are running. Flake is endorsed by the [[Senate Conservatives Fund]].+ − '''* California'''+ − Democrat [[Dianne Feinstein]] is the incumbent. She will face Republican Elizabeth Emken+ − + − Independent [[Joe Lieberman]] is retiring. Democrat Chris Murphy will face Republican challenger [[Linda McMahon]].+ − '''* Delaware'''+ − Democrat [[Tom Carper]] is the incumbent. Businessman Kevin Wade is the Republican candidate.+ − '''* Florida'''+ − Democrat [[Bill Nelson]] is the incumbent. he will face Republican Representative Connie Mack. An average of polls has shown a near tie in the contest, bad news for an incumbent and Nelson cannot win if Romney takes Florida, a must-win state for him.+ − '''* Hawaii'''+ − Democrat [[Daniel Akaka]] is retiring. Democrat Mazie Hirono will face former Republican Governor [[Linda Lingle]].+ − '''* Indiana'''+ − Tea Party-backed Republican [[Richard Mourdock]] will face Democrat Joe Donnelly after defeating 35-year incumbent Republican [[Richard Lugar]].+ − + − Republican [[Olympia Snowe]] is retiring. Democrat Cynthia Dill and Republican Charlie Summers will face Independent former Gov. [[Angus King]]. Polling predicts King will be the victor. King's positions are viewed as generally liberal leaning, and he is being treated as the ''de facto'' Democrat by the Republican campaign. It is unclear with which party he would caucus, however.+ − + − Democrat [[Ben Cardin]] is the incumbent. He will face former Secret Service agent and Republican [[Dan Bongino]].+ Line 60:
Line 78: − + + + − Democrat [[Amy Klobuchar]] is the incumbent. She will face Republican [[Kurt Bills]].+ − '''* Mississippi'''+ − Republican [[Roger Wicker]] is the incumbent. He will face Democrat Albert N. Gore.+ − '''* Missouri'''+ − Democrat [[Claire McCaskill]] is the incumbent and faces [[movement conservative]] [[Todd Akin]], the [[Republican]] nominee. Since Akin's comments regarding pregnancy and "legitimate rape," Akin has gone from leading McCaskill by 6 points in prior polls to trailing her by 10 points in a Rasmussen Poll from August 22.+ − '''* Montana'''+ − + − + − + − + − Republican [[Dean Heller]] was appointed in 2011 to replace [[John Ensign]] and is considered the incumbent. He faces Rep. Shelley Berkley who cruised to victory in the Democratic primary. Polling has Heller with a lead of, on average, 4 points though he generally fails to break 50%, a crucial benchmark for an incumbent.+ − + − + Line 92:
Line 112: − '''* New York'''+ − Democrat [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] is the incumbent. She will face Republican Wendy Long.+ − '''* North Dakota'''+ − Democrat [[Kent Conrad]] is retiring. July polling has Republican Rick Berg leading Democrat Heidi Heitkamp by +5.+ − '''* Ohio'''+ − Democrat [[Sherrod Brown]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican [[Josh Mandel]]. Mandel has the backing of Senator [[Jim Demint]]. Brown has the backing of [[George Soros]], the [[SEIU]] and the former [[ACORN]]. + − '''* Pennsylvania'''+ − Democrat [[Bob Casey, Jr.]] is the incumbent. 7 Republicans declared. [[Pro-choice | Fake Pro-life]] Casey Jr. is a strong defender of Obama and [[Harry Reid]]. + − + − + − + − Republican [[Bob Corker]] is the incumbent. He will face conservative Democrat Mark Clayton. Clayton will not have any help from his party.+ − + − Republican [[Kay Bailey Hutchison]] is retiring. Tea party backed [[Ted Cruz]] will face Paul Sadler, who won his primary runoff for the Democrat nomination. Sadler is a backer of [[Obamacare]] and [[Planned Parenthood]]. + − + − Republican [[Orrin Hatch]] is the incumbent. Pete Ashdown is the Democrat challenger.+ − + − Independent [[Bernie Sanders]] is the incumbent. John MacGovern [R] is the Republican challenger.+ − + − + − + − + − + − Democrat [[Joe Manchin]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican John Raese. Barack Obama polls so poorly in this state that Manchin refuses to say who he'll vote for President. [http://www.nationaljournal.com/congress/manchin-won-t-endorse-obama-charleston-paper-won-t-endorse-manchin-20120425]+ − '''* Wisconsin'''+ − Democrat [[Herb Kohl]] is retiring. Democrat [[Tammy Baldwin]] will face Republican [[Tommy Thompson]].+ − + − −
Organized into race ratings
==Senate Contests==
==Senate Contests==
'''* Arizona'''
Ratings based on [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html RealClearPolitics website] forecast.
===Safe Republican===
'''* Mississippi'''
Republican [[Roger Wicker]] is the incumbent. He will face Democrat Albert N. Gore.
'''* Tennessee'''
Republican [[Bob Corker]] is the incumbent. He will face conservative Democrat Mark Clayton. Clayton will not have any help from his party.
'''* Texas'''
Republican [[Kay Bailey Hutchison]] is retiring. Tea party backed [[Ted Cruz]] will face Paul Sadler, who won his primary runoff for the Democrat nomination. Sadler is a backer of [[Obamacare]] and [[Planned Parenthood]].
'''* Utah'''
Republican [[Orrin Hatch]] is the incumbent. Pete Ashdown is the Democrat challenger.
'''* Wyoming'''
Republican [[John Barrasso]] is the incumbent.
===Likely Republican===
'''* Connecticut'''
'''* Nebraska'''
Democrat [[Ben Nelson]] is retiring. [[Pro-life]] [[Deb Fischer]] defeated [[RINO]] Jon Bruning for the Republican nomination; and will face Democrat Bob Kerrey.
===Leans Republican===
'''* Arizona'''
Republican [[Jon Kyl]] is retiring. Richard Carmona [D], [[Jeff Flake]] [R], Wil Cardon [R] are running. Flake is endorsed by the [[Senate Conservatives Fund]].
'''* Nevada'''
Republican [[Dean Heller]] was appointed in 2011 to replace [[John Ensign]] and is considered the incumbent. He faces Rep. Shelley Berkley who cruised to victory in the Democratic primary. Polling has Heller with a lead of, on average, 4 points though he generally fails to break 50%, a crucial benchmark for an incumbent.
'''* Wisconsin'''
Democrat [[Herb Kohl]] is retiring. Democrat [[Tammy Baldwin]] will face Republican [[Tommy Thompson]].
===Toss Up===
'''* Maine'''
'''* Connecticut'''
Independent [[Joe Lieberman]] is retiring. Democrat Chris Murphy will face Republican challenger [[Linda McMahon]].
'''* Maryland'''
'''* Indiana'''
Tea Party-backed Republican [[Richard Mourdock]] will face Democrat Joe Donnelly after defeating 35-year incumbent Republican [[Richard Lugar]].
'''* Massachusetts'''
'''* Massachusetts'''
Democrat [[Debbie Stabenow]] is the incumbent and will face Republican [[Pete Hoekstra]].
Democrat [[Debbie Stabenow]] is the incumbent and will face Republican [[Pete Hoekstra]].
'''* Minnesota'''
'''* Montana'''
Democrat [[Jon Tester]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican [[Denny Rehberg]]. June 2012 polling has Rehberg holding a 2-point lead.
'''* North Dakota'''
Democrat [[Kent Conrad]] is retiring. July polling has Republican Rick Berg leading Democrat Heidi Heitkamp by +5.
'''* Ohio'''
Democrat [[Sherrod Brown]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican [[Josh Mandel]]. Mandel has the backing of Senator [[Jim Demint]]. Brown has the backing of [[George Soros]], the [[SEIU]] and the former [[ACORN]].
'''* Virginia'''
Democrat [[Jim Webb]] is retiring. Democrat [[Tim Kaine]] will face Republican [[George Allen]]. Polling has this race tied and may come down to which presidential candidate carries Virginia in November.
Democrat [[Jon Tester]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican [[Denny Rehberg]]. June 2012 polling has Rehberg holding a 2-point lead.
===Leans Democrat===
'''* Nebraska'''
'''* Florida'''
Democrat [[Ben Nelson]] is retiring. [[Pro-life]] [[Deb Fischer]] defeated [[RINO]] Jon Bruning for the Republican nomination; and will face Democrat Bob Kerrey.
Democrat [[Bill Nelson]] is the incumbent. he will face Republican Representative Connie Mack. An average of polls has shown a near tie in the contest, bad news for an incumbent and Nelson cannot win if Romney takes Florida, a must-win state for him.
'''* Nevada'''
'''* Hawaii'''
Democrat [[Daniel Akaka]] is retiring. Democrat Mazie Hirono will face former Republican Governor [[Linda Lingle]].
'''* New Jersey'''
'''* Missouri'''
Democrat [[Bob Menendez]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican Joe Kyrillos .
Democrat [[Claire McCaskill]] is the incumbent and faces [[movement conservative]] [[Todd Akin]], the [[Republican]] nominee. Since Akin's comments regarding pregnancy and "legitimate rape," Akin has gone from leading McCaskill by 6 points in prior polls to trailing her by 10 points in a Rasmussen Poll from August 22.
'''* New Mexico'''
'''* New Mexico'''
Democrat [[Jeff Bingaman]] is retiring. Republican Heather Wilson will face Democrat Martin Heinrich.
Democrat [[Jeff Bingaman]] is retiring. Republican Heather Wilson will face Democrat Martin Heinrich.
===Likely Democrat===
'''* New Jersey'''
Democrat [[Bob Menendez]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican Joe Kyrillos .
'''* Pennsylvania'''
Democrat [[Bob Casey, Jr.]] is the incumbent. 7 Republicans declared. [[Pro-choice | Fake Pro-life]] Casey Jr. is a strong defender of Obama and [[Harry Reid]].
'''* Washington'''
Democrat [[Maria Cantwell]] is the incumbent. [[Michael Baumgartner]] is the Republican challenger.
'''* West Virginia'''
'''* Rhode Island'''
Democrat [[Joe Manchin]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican John Raese. Barack Obama polls so poorly in this state that Manchin refuses to say who he'll vote for President. [http://www.nationaljournal.com/congress/manchin-won-t-endorse-obama-charleston-paper-won-t-endorse-manchin-20120425]
Democrat [[Sheldon Whitehouse]] is the incumbent. Republican Barry Hinckley the challenger.
===Safe Democrat===
'''* Tennessee'''
'''* California'''
Democrat [[Dianne Feinstein]] is the incumbent. She will face Republican Elizabeth Emken
'''* Texas'''
'''* Delaware'''
Democrat [[Tom Carper]] is the incumbent. Businessman Kevin Wade is the Republican candidate.
'''* Utah'''
'''* Maryland'''
Democrat [[Ben Cardin]] is the incumbent. He will face former Secret Service agent and Republican [[Dan Bongino]].
'''* Vermont'''
'''* Minnesota'''
Democrat [[Amy Klobuchar]] is the incumbent. She will face Republican [[Kurt Bills]].
'''* Virginia'''
'''* New York'''
Democrat [[Jim Webb]] is retiring. Democrat [[Tim Kaine]] will face Republican [[George Allen]]. Polling has this race tied and may come down to which presidential candidate carries Virginia in November.
Democrat [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] is the incumbent. She will face Republican Wendy Long.
'''* Washington'''
'''* Rhode Island'''
Democrat [[Maria Cantwell]] is the incumbent. [[Michael Baumgartner]] is the Republican challenger.
Democrat [[Sheldon Whitehouse]] is the incumbent. Republican Barry Hinckley the challenger.
'''* West Virginia'''
'''* Vermont'''
Independent [[Bernie Sanders]] who caucuses with the Democrats is the incumbent. John MacGovern [R] is the Republican challenger.
===Likely Independent===
'''* Maine'''
'''* Wyoming'''
Republican [[Olympia Snowe]] is retiring. Democrat Cynthia Dill and Republican Charlie Summers will face Independent former Gov. [[Angus King]]. Polling predicts King will be the victor. King's positions are viewed as generally liberal leaning, and he is being treated as the ''de facto'' Democrat by the Republican campaign. It is unclear with which party he would caucus, however.
Republican [[John Barrasso]] is the incumbent.
==States without a Senate race in 2012==
==States without a Senate race in 2012==