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*Connecticut
 
*Connecticut
 +
*Florida
 
*Indiana
 
*Indiana
 
*Massachusetts
 
*Massachusetts
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==Senate Contests==
 
==Senate Contests==
   −
Ratings based on [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html RealClearPolitics website] forecast.
+
Ratings originally based on [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/2012_elections_senate_map.html RealClearPolitics website] forecast; forecasts revised here on September 9, 2012.
    
===Safe Republican===
 
===Safe Republican===
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Republican [[Jon Kyl]] is retiring. Richard Carmona [D], [[Jeff Flake]] [R], Wil Cardon [R] are running. Flake is endorsed by the [[Senate Conservatives Fund]].
 
Republican [[Jon Kyl]] is retiring. Richard Carmona [D], [[Jeff Flake]] [R], Wil Cardon [R] are running. Flake is endorsed by the [[Senate Conservatives Fund]].
 +
 +
 +
'''* Indiana'''
 +
 +
Tea Party-backed Republican [[Richard Mourdock]] will face Democrat Joe Donnelly after defeating 35-year incumbent Republican [[Richard Lugar]].
    
'''* Nevada'''
 
'''* Nevada'''
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===Toss Up===
 
===Toss Up===
   −
'''* Connecticut'''
+
'''* Florida'''
   −
Independent [[Joe Lieberman]] is retiring. Democrat Chris Murphy will face Republican challenger [[Linda McMahon]].
+
Democrat [[Bill Nelson]] is the incumbent. he will face Republican Representative Connie Mack. An average of polls has shown a near tie in the contest, bad news for an incumbent and Nelson cannot win if Romney takes Florida, a must-win state for him.
   −
'''* Indiana'''
+
'''* Missouri'''
   −
Tea Party-backed Republican [[Richard Mourdock]] will face Democrat Joe Donnelly after defeating 35-year incumbent Republican [[Richard Lugar]].
+
Democrat [[Claire McCaskill]] is the incumbent and faces [[movement conservative]] [[Todd Akin]], the [[Republican]] nominee. Since Akin's comments regarding pregnancy and "legitimate rape," Akin has gone from leading McCaskill by 6 points in prior polls to trailing her by 10 points in a Rasmussen Poll from August 22.
    
'''* Massachusetts'''
 
'''* Massachusetts'''
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===Leans Democrat===
 
===Leans Democrat===
   −
'''* Florida'''
+
'''* Connecticut'''
   −
Democrat [[Bill Nelson]] is the incumbent. he will face Republican Representative Connie Mack. An average of polls has shown a near tie in the contest, bad news for an incumbent and Nelson cannot win if Romney takes Florida, a must-win state for him.
+
Independent [[Joe Lieberman]] is retiring. Democrat Chris Murphy will face Republican challenger [[Linda McMahon]].
    
'''* Hawaii'''
 
'''* Hawaii'''
    
Democrat [[Daniel Akaka]] is retiring. Democrat Mazie Hirono will face former Republican Governor [[Linda Lingle]].
 
Democrat [[Daniel Akaka]] is retiring. Democrat Mazie Hirono will face former Republican Governor [[Linda Lingle]].
  −
'''* Missouri'''
  −
  −
Democrat [[Claire McCaskill]] is the incumbent and faces [[movement conservative]] [[Todd Akin]], the [[Republican]] nominee. Since Akin's comments regarding pregnancy and "legitimate rape," Akin has gone from leading McCaskill by 6 points in prior polls to trailing her by 10 points in a Rasmussen Poll from August 22.
      
'''* New Mexico'''
 
'''* New Mexico'''
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Democrat [[Bob Menendez]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican Joe Kyrillos .
 
Democrat [[Bob Menendez]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican Joe Kyrillos .
   
'''* Pennsylvania'''
 
'''* Pennsylvania'''
  
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