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Trump third party (view source)

Revision as of 01:25, August 12, 2015

599 bytes added ,  01:25, August 12, 2015
More people who had voted for Ross Perot in 1992 drifted to Clinton in 1996, rather than to the Republican Bob Dole, which reinforces the view that Ross Perot pulled as many voters away from Clinton in 1992 than from George H.W. Bush.
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== Historical examples ==
 
== Historical examples ==
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The example often cited by Republicans for a third-party candidate "spoiling" the chances of a Republican to win the presidency was Ross Perot's candidacy in 1992.  But an analysis of the polling data and Republican George H.W. Bush's approval rating (an unelectable 33%) demonstrates that the Ross Perot candidacy did not spoil Bush's chances of winning, and actually helped narrow the gap between him and Clinton.<ref>http://www.dailykos.com/story/2010/01/14/824800/-History-Perot-was-NOT-a-Spoiler-in-1992-or-1996#</ref>
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The example often cited by Republicans for a third-party candidate "spoiling" the chances of a Republican to win the presidency was Ross Perot's candidacy in 1992.  But an analysis of the polling data and Republican George H.W. Bush's approval rating (an unelectable 33%) demonstrates that the Ross Perot candidacy did not spoil Bush's chances of winning, and actually helped narrow the gap between him and Clinton.<ref>http://www.dailykos.com/story/2010/01/14/824800/-History-Perot-was-NOT-a-Spoiler-in-1992-or-1996#</ref> More people who had voted for Ross Perot in 1992 drifted to Clinton in 1996, rather than to the Republican [[Bob Dole]], which reinforces the view that Ross Perot pulled as many voters away from Clinton in 1992 than from George H.W. Bush.
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In 1996, Clinton won a slim majority of the overall votes, which tends to disprove the notion that Ross Perot was a spoiler in that race.  The Republican nominee, Bob Dole, was a weak candidate from the moderate side of the party who had no chance of winning.  Clinton's approval rating was well above 50%, which virtually guarantees an incumbent reelection.
    
== Effect on the Media ==
 
== Effect on the Media ==
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