| Line 1: |
Line 1: |
| | The New Hampshire presidential primary for the 2016 cycle will be held on February 9, 2016. When New Hampshire was more conservative and when the Northeast had more credibility in the South, this primary outcome nearly decided who the Republican Party nominee would be, as in 1980 when [[Ronald Reagan]] won this primary and then the nomination. But by 2000, [[George W. Bush]] lost this primary and yet still won the nomination. | | The New Hampshire presidential primary for the 2016 cycle will be held on February 9, 2016. When New Hampshire was more conservative and when the Northeast had more credibility in the South, this primary outcome nearly decided who the Republican Party nominee would be, as in 1980 when [[Ronald Reagan]] won this primary and then the nomination. But by 2000, [[George W. Bush]] lost this primary and yet still won the nomination. |
| | | | |
| − | Republican primary voters are not as socially [[conservative]] in New Hampshire as in the Midwest and the South, and New Hampshire has lost the enormous significance it once had in the Republican presidential nomination process. It does has a maverick streak, liking to reject a front-runner candidate in order to deliver an upset winner. [[John McCain]] won New Hampshire primary in both 2000 and 2008, reflecting the anti-tax, pro-veteran, independent leanings of the primary voters. | + | Republican primary voters are not as socially [[conservative]] in New Hampshire as in the Midwest and the South, and New Hampshire has lost the enormous significance it once had in the Republican presidential nomination process. It does has a maverick streak, liking to reject a front-runner candidate in order to deliver an upset winner. [[John McCain]] won New Hampshire primary in both 2000 and 2008, reflecting the anti-tax, pro-veteran, independent leanings of the primary voters. "Independent voters make up about 40 percent of the Granite State's electorate. Registered party members can vote only in their own party's primaries, but Independents can vote in either. ... Although George Bush beat Sen. John McCain among registered Republicans, independents, who accounted for 41 percent of the total GOP turnout, handed McCain the win."<ref>http://edition.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/01/07/nh.guide/index.html</ref> |
| | | | |
| | Independents are allowed to vote in the Republican primary, which can yield a more moderate result than if it were Republicans only. | | Independents are allowed to vote in the Republican primary, which can yield a more moderate result than if it were Republicans only. |
| Line 10: |
Line 10: |
| | | | |
| | In a new poll released August 11, 2015, [[Donald Trump]] has a commanding lead with 18%. The runners-up, in this order, are Jeb Bush, John Kasich, Carly Fiorina, and Ted Cruz.<ref>http://www.necn.com/news/politics/Poll-Donald-Trump-Still-Leads-in-NH-321407181.html</ref> | | In a new poll released August 11, 2015, [[Donald Trump]] has a commanding lead with 18%. The runners-up, in this order, are Jeb Bush, John Kasich, Carly Fiorina, and Ted Cruz.<ref>http://www.necn.com/news/politics/Poll-Donald-Trump-Still-Leads-in-NH-321407181.html</ref> |
| | + | |
| | + | ==History== |
| | + | |
| | + | In 1980, [[Ronald Reagan]] won the New Hampshire primary that carried him to the nomination by the [[Republican Party]] for president. That was typical influence by New Hampshire during that era. But in 2012, [[Newt Gingrich]] finished a distant third in New Hampshire with only 14% of the vote, and yet won the [[South Carolina primary]] only eleven days later. |
| | [[category:politics]] | | [[category:politics]] |
| | [[category:2016 presidential election]] | | [[category:2016 presidential election]] |