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Line 172: − − == Demographics and trends in American secularism == − [[File:Bread for the world.jpg|thumbnail|right|150px|Due to Hispanic [[evangelicalism|evangelicals]], church attendance was up in New York City in 2013.<ref>[http://www.beliefnet.com/columnists/news/2013/11/hispanics-turning-evangelical-jews-secular.php Hispanics turning evangelical, Jews secular], Beliefnet.com, November 2103</ref> − − With the continued rise in the number of Hispanic, Roman Catholics and evangelical Christians in North America and the rise of evangelicalism in Latin America and South America, [[secular left]]ism is not going to be dominant in America's long term future.<ref> − *[http://global.christianpost.com/news/3-reasons-america-may-become-more-religious-102859/ 3 Reasons America May Become More Religious] By Napp Nazworth, ''Christian Post'', August 22, 2013 − *[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2013/08/the-writing-is-on-wall-godless.html The writing is on the wall amigos: Godless progressivism will not be dominant in the USA's future], August 14, 2013 − *[http://www.beliefnet.com/columnists/news/2013/11/hispanics-turning-evangelical-jews-secular.php Hispanics turning evangelical, Jews secular], Beliefnet.com, November 2013 − *[http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/04/10/hispanic-evangelical-church_n_3055752.html Rise Of Hispanic Evangelical Church: Time Magazine Discusses Influence Of Latinos In America's Religion], Huffington Post, April 11, 2013 − *[http://nation.time.com/2013/04/04/the-rise-of-evangelicos/ The Rise of Evangélicos] By Elizabeth ''Time'' magazine, April 4, 2013</ref>]] − − ''See also:'' [[Demographics and American secularism]] and [[Demographics of agnosticism]] − − Notwithstanding the abovementioned increase in secularism, the Birkbeck College, University of London professor Eric Kaufman wrote in his 2010 book ''Shall the Righteous Inherit the Earth?'' concerning American secularism: − {{cquote|High evangelical fertility rates more than compensated for losses to liberal Protestant sects during the twentieth century. In recent decades, white secularism has surged, but Latino and Asian religious immigration has taken up the slack, keeping secularism at bay. Across denominations, the fertility advantage of religious fundamentalists of all colours is significant and growing. After 2020, their demographic weight will begin to tip the balance in the [[Culture War|culture wars]] towards the conservative side, ramping up pressure on hot-button issues such as [[abortion]]. By the end of the century, three quarters of America may be pro-life. Their activism will leap over the borders of the 'Redeemer Nation' to evangelize the world. Already, the rise of the World Congress of Families has launched a global religious right, its arms stretching across the bloody lines of the War on Terror to embrace the entire Abrahamic family.<ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/why-are-years-2012-and-2020-key-years.html Why are 2012 and 2020 key years for Christian creationists and pro-lifers?]</ref>}} − − === Demography research indicating that religiosity in the United States may experience growth === − − In 2013, citing experts in demography and survey data, the ''Christian Post'' declared that there were three trends pointing to the United States potentially becoming more religious in coming years - namely an aging population becoming more religious over time, religious immigrants and the higher fertility rate of religious conservatives.<ref>[http://global.christianpost.com/news/3-reasons-america-may-become-more-religious-102859/ 3 Reasons America May Become More Religious]</ref> − − === Hispanic evangelicalism === − − Due to Hispanic [[evangelicalism|evangelicals]], church attendance was up in New York City in 2013.<ref>[http://www.beliefnet.com/columnists/news/2013/11/hispanics-turning-evangelical-jews-secular.php Hispanics turning evangelical, Jews secular], Beliefnet.com, November 2103</ref> − − With the continued rise in the number of Hispanic, evangelical Christians in North America and the rise of evangelicalism in Latin America and South America, [[secular left]]ism is not going to be dominant in America's future.<ref> − *[http://global.christianpost.com/news/3-reasons-america-may-become-more-religious-102859/ 3 Reasons America May Become More Religious] By Napp Nazworth, ''Christian Post'', August 22, 2013 − *[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2013/08/the-writing-is-on-wall-godless.html The writing is on the wall amigos: Godless progressivism will not be dominant in the USA's future], August 14, 2013 − *[http://www.beliefnet.com/columnists/news/2013/11/hispanics-turning-evangelical-jews-secular.php Hispanics turning evangelical, Jews secular], Beliefnet.com, November 2013 − *[http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/04/10/hispanic-evangelical-church_n_3055752.html Rise Of Hispanic Evangelical Church: Time Magazine Discusses Influence Of Latinos In America's Religion], Huffington Post, April 11, 2013 − *[http://nation.time.com/2013/04/04/the-rise-of-evangelicos/ The Rise of Evangélicos] By Elizabeth ''Time'' magazine, April 4, 2013</ref> − − ==== Hispanics and the future of religion/irreligion in the United States ==== − − *[http://www.beliefnet.com/columnists/news/2013/11/hispanics-turning-evangelical-jews-secular.php Hispanics turning evangelical, Jews secular], Beliefnet.com, November 2013 − − *[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2013/11/hasta-luego-american-godless.html Hasta luego, American godless progressivism! Worship service attendance is up in New York City amigos!], November 7, 2013 − − *[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2013/08/the-writing-is-on-wall-godless.html The writing is on the wall amigos: Godless progressivism will not be dominant in the USA's future], August 14, 2013 − − *[http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/04/10/hispanic-evangelical-church_n_3055752.html Rise Of Hispanic Evangelical Church: Time Magazine Discusses Influence Of Latinos In America's Religion], Huffington Post, April 11, 2013 − − *[http://nation.time.com/2013/04/04/the-rise-of-evangelicos/ The Rise of Evangélicos] By Elizabeth ''Time'' magazine, April 4, 2013 − − *[http://latino.foxnews.com/latino/lifestyle/2013/05/10/switching-sides-latinos-ditching-catholicism-for-evangelical-churches/ Switching Sides: Latinos Ditching Catholicism For Evangelical Churches] − − === Vegard Skirbekk and Anne Goujon religion/irreligion demographic projections === − [[File:Loc of United States.png|thumbnail|200px|left|Current religious demography scholarship suggest that the relatively low fertility of secular Americans and the religiosity of the immigrant inflow provide a countervailing force that will cause the secularization process within the total population to plateau before 2043. − − This represents an important theoretical point in that demography permits society to become more religious even as individuals tend to become less religious over time.<ref>[http://www.sneps.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/jssr_15101.pdf ''Secularism, Fundamentalism or Catholicism? The Religious Composition of the United States to 2043''], ''Journal for the Sientific Study of Religion'', vol. 49, no. 2 (June) 2010, Vegard Skirbekk and Anne Goujon,</ref>]] − In their 2010 journal article entitled, ''Secularism, Fundamentalism or Catholicism? The Religious Composition of the United States to 2043'' published in the ''Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion'', Vegard Skirbekk and Anne Goujon wrote: − {{cquote|We find considerable stability of religious groups over time, but there are some important shifts. Hispanic Catholics experience the strongest growth rates to 2043. Immigration, high fertility, and a young age structure will enable this group to expand from 10 to 18 percent of the American population between 2003 and 2043, despite a net loss of communicants to secularism and Protestantism. This will power the growth of Catholics as a whole, who will surpass Protestants by mid century within the nation’s youngest age groups. This represents a historic moment for a country settled by anti-Catholic Puritans, whose Revolution was motivated in part by a desire to spread dissenting Protestantism and whose populationon the eve of revolution was 98 percent Protestant (Huntington 2004; Kaufmann 2004). Another important development concerns the growth of the Muslim population and decline of the Jews. High Muslim fertility and a young Muslim age structure contrasts with low Jewish childbearing levels and a mature Jewish age structure. Barring an unforeseen shift in the religious composition and size of the immigrant flow, Muslims will surpass Jews in the population by 2023 and in the electorate by 2028. This could have profound effects on the course of American foreign policy. Within the non-Hispanic white population, we expect to see continued Liberal Protestant decline due to low fertility and a net loss in exchanges with other groups. White Catholics will also lose due to a net outflow of converts. Fundamentalist and Moderate Protestant denominations will hold their own within the white population, but will decline overall as the white share of the population falls. − − The finding that Protestant fundamentalism may decline in relative terms over the medium − term contrasts with a prevailing view that envisions the continued growth of “strong religion” − (Stark and Iannaccone 1994a). This is the result of an older age structure, which increases − loss through mortality, and immigration, which reduces the size of all predominantly white − denominations — all of which are poorly represented in the immigration flow. Fundamentalists’ − relatively high fertility and net surplus from the religious marketplace is not sufficient to counteract the effects of immigration. Obviously, this could change if significant immigration begins to arrive from more Pentecostalist source countries such as Guatemala or parts of sub-Saharan Africa. − − Our work also sheds light on the religious restructuring paradigm, though we do not find a − clear victor between secularism and fundamentalism. The secular population will grow substantially in the decades ahead because it has a young age structure and more people leave religion − than enter it. The sharpest gains for secularism will be within the white population, where seculars − will surpass fundamentalists by 2030. On the other hand, there are important demographic limits − to secularism, demonstrating the power of religious demography. The relatively low fertility of − secular Americans and the religiosity of the immigrant inflow provide a countervailing force that − will cause the secularization process within the total population to plateau before 2043. This − represents an important theoretical point in that demography permits society to become more − religious even as individuals tend to become less religious over time.<ref>[http://www.sneps.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/jssr_15101.pdf ''Secularism, Fundamentalism or Catholicism? The Religious Composition of the United States to 2043''], ''Journal for the Sientific Study of Religion'', vol. 49, no. 2 (June) 2010, Vegard Skirbekk and Anne Goujon,</ref>}} − − For more information, please see: [[Growth of global desecularization#Growth of evangelicalism in the world and in the United States|Growth of evangelicalism in the world and in the United States]] and [[Desecularization#American culture war, demographics and expected tipping point after 2020|American culture war, demographics and expected tipping point after 2020]]
→Demographics and trends in American secularism
In the United States, the Hispanic population is expected to triple by the year 2050 and become 30% of the United States population.<ref>[U.S. Hispanic population to triple by 2050 U.S. Hispanic population to triple by 2050], USA Today, By Haya El Nasser, 2/12/2008</ref>
In the United States, the Hispanic population is expected to triple by the year 2050 and become 30% of the United States population.<ref>[U.S. Hispanic population to triple by 2050 U.S. Hispanic population to triple by 2050], USA Today, By Haya El Nasser, 2/12/2008</ref>
== See also ==
== See also ==