Block, Siteadmin, SkipCaptcha, Upload, Automoderated users, delete, edit, move, nsTeam2RO, nsTeam2RW, nsTeam2_talkRO, nsTeam2_talkRW, protect, rollback, Administrators, template
296,353
edits
Changes
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
Line 438:
Line 438: − + Line 449:
Line 449: − !Mon-<br>day<br>Dec.<br>23,<br>2019 − + + Line 462:
Line 462: − |align="right"|31.5% + Line 475:
Line 475: − |align="right"|7.8% + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + Line 521:
Line 521: − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + Line 540:
Line 540: − |align="right"|17.7% + Line 553:
Line 553: − |align="right"|15.9% + Line 566:
Line 566: − |align="right"|4.6% + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + Line 590:
Line 590: − + Line 603:
Line 603: + Line 615:
Line 616: + Line 626:
Line 628: + Line 632:
Line 635: − + − + − + − + − + − + − + + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + − + + Line 661:
Line 666: + Line 672:
Line 678: + Line 687:
Line 694: + Line 699:
Line 707: + Line 711:
Line 720: + − + − + − + − + − + − + + +
→Predictions and polls
|-
|-
! colspan="3" style="border: 1px solid black; padding: 5px; background: #efefef;" |
! colspan="3" style="border: 1px solid black; padding: 5px; background: #efefef;" |
! colspan="9" style="border: 1px solid black; padding: 5px; background: #efefef;" | Chance of becoming<br>Democratic nominee
! colspan="10" style="border: 1px solid black; padding: 5px; background: #efefef;" | Chance of becoming<br>Democratic nominee
|-
|-
!class=unsortable|Candidate
!class=unsortable|Candidate
!style="border-right:1px solid gray"|End of<br>month<br>Mon-<br>day<br>Oct.<br>28,<br>2019
!style="border-right:1px solid gray"|End of<br>month<br>Mon-<br>day<br>Oct.<br>28,<br>2019
!style="border-right:1px solid gray:|End of<br>month<br>Mon-<br>day<br>Nov.<br>25,<br>2019
!style="border-right:1px solid gray:|End of<br>month<br>Mon-<br>day<br>Nov.<br>25,<br>2019
!End of<br>month<br>Mon-<br>day<br>Dec.<br>30,<br>2019
!End of<br>month<br>Mon-<br>day<br>Dec.<br>30,<br>2019
!End of<br>month<br>Mon-<br>day<br>Feb.<br>3,<br>2019
!End of<br>month<br>Mon-<br>day<br>Feb.<br>3,<br>2020
!End of<br>month<br>Mon-<br>day<br>Mar.<br>2,<br>2020
|-
|-
|align="left"|V. Pres [[Joe Biden]]
|align="left"|V. Pres [[Joe Biden]]
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|19.2%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|19.2%
|align="right"|22.0%
|align="right"|22.0%
|align="right"|29.9%
|align="right"|29.9%
|align="right"|28.8%
|align="right"|28.8%
|align="right"|33.1%
|-
|-
|align="left"|Mayor [[Michael Bloomberg]]
|align="left"|Mayor [[Michael Bloomberg]]
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|
|align="right"|7.3%
|align="right"|7.3%
|align="right"|6.6%
|align="right"|6.6%
|align="right"|14.1%
|align="right"|14.1%
|align="right"|8.7%
|-
|-
|align="left"|Mayor [[Pete Buttigieg]]
|align="left"|Mayor [[Pete Buttigieg]]
|{{invi|But}}
|{{invi|But}}
|align="center"|IN
|align="center"|IN
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|11.1%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>11.1%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|8.3%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>8.3%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|6.1%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>6.1%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|5.1%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>5.1%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|9.8%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>9.8%</s>
|align="right"|17.4%
|align="right"|<s>17.4%</s>
|align="right"|10.2%
|align="right"|<s>10.3%</s>
|align="right"|10.3%
|align="right"|<s>2.7%</s>
|align="right"|2.7%
|align="right"|
|-
|-
|align="left"|Rep. [[Tulsi Gabbard]]
|align="left"|Rep. [[Tulsi Gabbard]]
|{{invi|Gab}}
|{{invi|Gab}}
|align="center"|HI
|align="center"|HI
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|2.5%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>2.5%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|1.4%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>1.4%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|1.4%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>1.4%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|1.4%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>1.4%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|1.3%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>1.3%</s>
|align="right"|0.7%
|align="right"|<s>0.7%</s>
|align="right"|0.6%
|align="right"|<s>0.4%</s>
|align="right"|0.4%
|align="right"|<s>0.3%</s>
|align="right"|0.3%
|align="right"|<s>0.2%</s>
|-
|-
|align="left"|Sen. [[Kamala Harris]]
|align="left"|Sen. [[Kamala Harris]]
|{{invi|Klo}}
|{{invi|Klo}}
|align="center"|MN
|align="center"|MN
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|0.8%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>0.8%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|0.7%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>0.7%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|0.6%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>0.6%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|0.5%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>0.5%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|1.0%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>1.0%</s>
|align="right"|1.7%
|align="right"|<s>1.7%</s>
|align="right"|3.1%
|align="right"|<s>2.4%</s>
|align="right"|2.4%
|align="right"|<s>1.1%</s>
|align="right"|1.1%
|align="right"|
|-
|-
|align="left"|Sen. [[Bernie Sanders]]
|align="left"|Sen. [[Bernie Sanders]]
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|7.5%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|7.5%
|align="right"|11.5%
|align="right"|11.5%
|align="right"|21.1%
|align="right"|21.1%
|align="right"|37.2%
|align="right"|37.2%
|align="right"|48.3%
|-
|-
|align="left"|Sen. [[Elizabeth Warren]]
|align="left"|Sen. [[Elizabeth Warren]]
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|43.7%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|43.7%
|align="right"|18.9%
|align="right"|18.9%
|align="right"|16.4%
|align="right"|16.4%
|align="right"|6.5%
|align="right"|6.5%
|align="right"|1.4%
|-
|-
|align="left"|Sec'y [[Hillary Clinton]]
|align="left"|Sec'y [[Hillary Clinton]]
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|6.1%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|6.1%
|align="right"|5.3%
|align="right"|5.3%
|align="right"|3.8%
|align="right"|3.8%
|align="right"|3.0%
|align="right"|3.0%
|align="right"|2.2%
|-
|-
|align="left"|[[Andrew Yang]]
|align="left"|[[Andrew Yang]]
|{{invi|Yan}}
|{{invi|Yan}}
|align="center"|NY
|align="center"|NY
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|5.5%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>5.5%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|3.3%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>3.3%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|4.0%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>4.0%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|4.4%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>4.4%</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|3.0%
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>3.0%</s>
|align="right"|3.1%
|align="right"|<s>3.1%</s>
|align="right"|3.0%
|align="right"|<s>2.8%</s>
|align="right"|2.8%
|align="right"|<s>1.5%</s>
|align="right"|1.5%
|align="right"|
|}
|}
[[File:2019.04.25-01.40-thepoliticalinsider-5cc1b8cdefd1a-768x676.jpg|right|thumb|350px|The mainstream fake news media continues to spread an easily debunked lie and hoax.<ref>https://www.prageru.com/video/the-charlottesville-lie/</ref>]]
[[File:2019.04.25-01.40-thepoliticalinsider-5cc1b8cdefd1a-768x676.jpg|right|thumb|350px|The mainstream fake news media continues to spread an easily debunked lie and hoax.<ref>https://www.prageru.com/video/the-charlottesville-lie/</ref>]]
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="font-size:98%; margin:left;"
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="font-size:98%; margin:left;"
|-
|-
! colspan="3" style="border: 1px solid black; padding: 5px; background: #efefef;" |
! colspan="3" style="border: 1px solid black; padding: 5px; background: #efefef;" |
! colspan="8" style="border: 1px solid black; padding: 5px; background: #efefef;" | Twitter followers
! colspan="9" style="border: 1px solid black; padding: 5px; background: #efefef;" | Twitter followers
|-
|-
!class=unsortable|Candidate
!class=unsortable|Candidate
!New<br>accts<br>Dec<br>16
!New<br>accts<br>Dec<br>16
!New<br>accts<br>Feb<br>3
!New<br>accts<br>Feb<br>3
!New<br>accts<br>Mar<br>5
|-
|-
|align="left"|V. Pres [[Joe Biden]]
|align="left"|V. Pres [[Joe Biden]]
|align="right"|+63,000
|align="right"|+63,000
|align="right"|+133,000
|align="right"|+133,000
|align="right"|+152,000
|-
|-
|align="left"|<s>Sen. [[Cory Booker]]</s>
|align="left"|<s>Sen. [[Cory Booker]]</s>
|align="right"|<s>+6,000</s>
|align="right"|<s>+6,000</s>
|align="right"|<s>+13,000</s>
|align="right"|<s>+13,000</s>
|align="right"|
|align="right"|
|align="right"|
|-
|-
|align="center"|IN
|align="center"|IN
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|01.2M:2
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|01.2M:2
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|+72,000
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>+72,000</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|+101,000
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>+101,000</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|+26,000
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>+26,000</s>
|align="right"|+63,000
|align="right"|<s>+63,000</s>
|align="right"|+34,000
|align="right"|<s>+34,000</s>
|align="right"|+29,000
|align="right"|<s>+29,000</s>
|align="right"|+41,000
|align="right"|<s>+41,000</s>
|align="right"|
|-
|-
|align="left"|Rep. [[Tulsi Gabbard]]
|align="left"|Rep. [[Tulsi Gabbard]]
|{{invi|Gab}}
|{{invi|Gab}}
|align="center"|HI
|align="center"|HI
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|00.6M:2
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>00.6M:2</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|+34,000
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>+34,000</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|+118,000
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>+118,000</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|+27,000
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>+27,000</s>
|align="right"|+168,000
|align="right"|<s>+168,000</s>
|align="right"|+11,000
|align="right"|<s>+11,000</s>
|align="right"|+38,000
|align="right"|<s>+38,000</s>
|align="right"|+25,000
|align="right"|<s>+25,000</s>
|align="right"|<s>+24,000</s>
|-
|-
|align="left"|<s>Sen. [[Kamala Harris]]</s>
|align="left"|<s>Sen. [[Kamala Harris]]</s>
|align="right"|<s>+109,000</s>
|align="right"|<s>+109,000</s>
|align="right"|<s>+32,000</s>
|align="right"|<s>+32,000</s>
|align="right"|
|align="right"|
|align="right"|
|align="right"|
|align="right"|
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>+24,000</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>+24,000</s>
|align="right"|<s>+35,000</s>
|align="right"|<s>+35,000</s>
|align="right"|
|align="right"|
|align="right"|
|align="right"|
|align="right"|
|align="right"|+155,000
|align="right"|+155,000
|align="right"|+521,000
|align="right"|+521,000
|align="right"|+845,000
|-
|-
|align="left"|Sen. [[Elizabeth Warren]]
|align="left"|Sen. [[Elizabeth Warren]]
|align="right"|+77,000
|align="right"|+77,000
|align="right"|+200,000
|align="right"|+200,000
|align="right"|+295,000
|-
|-
|align="left"|Sec'y [[Hillary Clinton]]
|align="left"|Sec'y [[Hillary Clinton]]
|align="right"|+147,000
|align="right"|+147,000
|align="right"|+549,000
|align="right"|+549,000
|align="right"|+206,000
|-
|-
|align="left"|Andrew Yang
|align="left"|Andrew Yang
|{{invi|Yan}}
|{{invi|Yan}}
|align="center"|NY
|align="center"|NY
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|00.5M:1
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>00.5M:1</s>
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|+48,000
|align="right" style="border-right:1px solid gray"|<s>+48,000</s>
|align="right"|+90,000
|align="right"|<s>+90,000</s>
|align="right"|+29,000
|align="right"|<s>+29,000</s>
|align="right"|+54,000
|align="right"|<s>+54,000</s>
|align="right"|+152,000
|align="right"|<s>+152,000</s>
|align="right"|
|}
|}
A Harris Poll commissioned by [[GLAAD]] shows that U.S. adults are increasingly uncomfortable with [[LGBT]] issues — with Millennials ages 18 – 34 leading this shift. The number of non-LGBT adults ages 18 – 34 who are uncomfortable with learning a family member is LGBT rose from 24% at the end of the Obama era in 2016 to 36% in 2018. The number of Millennials uncomfortable with the idea of their children having a lesson on LGBT history at school rose from 27% to 39% during that same time. The number of Millennials that GLAAD counts as “allies” — people who are comfortable with the [[homosexual agenda]] and [[progressivism]] — dropped from 62% in 2016 to 45% in 2018.<ref>https://www.christianpost.com/news/millennials-gen-z-growing-uncomfortable-lgbt-movement-survey.html</ref> A fake news poll conducted by the [[Soros]]-funded, [[gay]] centered "[[Human Rights Campaign]]" claims that 98% of [[heterosexual|straight]] [[male]]s refuse to date a [[transgender]] allegedly because of "[[hate]]."<ref>https://ucf.forums.rivals.com/threads/are-you-in-the-98-of-hate.76324/</ref>
A Harris Poll commissioned by [[GLAAD]] shows that U.S. adults are increasingly uncomfortable with [[LGBT]] issues — with Millennials ages 18 – 34 leading this shift. The number of non-LGBT adults ages 18 – 34 who are uncomfortable with learning a family member is LGBT rose from 24% at the end of the Obama era in 2016 to 36% in 2018. The number of Millennials uncomfortable with the idea of their children having a lesson on LGBT history at school rose from 27% to 39% during that same time. The number of Millennials that GLAAD counts as “allies” — people who are comfortable with the [[homosexual agenda]] and [[progressivism]] — dropped from 62% in 2016 to 45% in 2018.<ref>https://www.christianpost.com/news/millennials-gen-z-growing-uncomfortable-lgbt-movement-survey.html</ref> A fake news poll conducted by the [[Soros]]-funded, [[gay]] centered "[[Human Rights Campaign]]" claims that 98% of [[heterosexual|straight]] [[male]]s refuse to date a [[transgender]] allegedly because of "[[hate]]."<ref>https://ucf.forums.rivals.com/threads/are-you-in-the-98-of-hate.76324/</ref>
[[File:Annotation 2019-05-14 083100.jpg|right|300px|thumb|Tightening [[illegal immigration]] has benefited Black teenagers more than any other group.<br>''Source: Federal Reserve Board'']]
[[File:Annotation 2019-05-14 083100.jpg|right|300px|thumb|Tightening [[illegal immigration]] has benefited Black teenagers more than any other group.<br>''Source: Federal Reserve Board'']]