Block, SkipCaptcha
397
edits
Changes
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
Line 8:
Line 8: − + − *[[Arizona]]+ − *[[Florida]]+ − *[[Michigan]]+ − *[[North Carolina]]+ − *[[Pennsylvania]]+ − *[[Wisconsin]]+ + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + +
→2020: added polling information for each battleground state
==2020==
==2020==
In 2020, the six swing states are:
In 2020, the six closest swing states are:
===Arizona===
Trump received 49% of the vote in [[Arizona]] in 2016, a plurality slightly higher than [[Hillary Clinton|Clinton]]'s total of 45%.<ref>[https://www.270towin.com/states/Arizona 270towin Arizona], retrieved August 28, 2020</ref> Polling as of late August 2020 shows a close race with [[Joe Biden]] slightly ahead.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/az/arizona_trump_vs_biden-6807.html RealClearPolitics Arizona], retrieved August 28, 2020</ref>
===Florida===
In the 2018 mid-terms, Florida voters replaced a Democratic Senator (Bill Nelson) with a Republican one (the term-limited Governor, [[Rick Scott]]), and maintained the Governor's office for the Republicans ([[Ron DeSantis]]).
In the 2018 mid-terms, Florida voters replaced a Democratic Senator (Bill Nelson) with a Republican one (the term-limited Governor, [[Rick Scott]]), and maintained the Governor's office for the Republicans ([[Ron DeSantis]]).
[[Florida]] was crucial to Trump's victory in 2016, when he won by just 1% of the vote.<ref>[https://www.270towin.com/states/Florida 270towin Florida], retrieved August 28, 2020</ref> Polling as of late August 2020 shows Joe Biden leading in the state by approximately four points, though two of the last three polls in RCP's average were conducted by Democrat-affiliated polling agencies.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/fl/florida_trump_vs_biden-6841.html RealClearPolitics Florida], retrieved August 28, 2020</ref>
===Michigan===
Trump won [[Michigan]] by an extremely narrow margin in 2016, and polling shows Biden in the lead, but by a margin that has reduced during the course of summer.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_biden-6761.html RealClearPolitics Michigan], retrieved August 28, 2020</ref>
===[[North Carolina]]===
Polling is close but implies that Trump may have established a small lead.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nc/north_carolina_trump_vs_biden-6744.html RealClearPolitics North Carolina], retrieved August 28, 2020</ref>
===Pennsylvania===
[[Change Research]] has shown a close race in [[Pennsylvania]] since mid-July.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_biden-6861.html RealClearPolitics Pennsylvania], retrieved August 28, 2020</ref>
===Wisconsin===
Trafalgar Group showed Trump leading Biden by one point in [[Wisconsin]] in a poll conducted from August 14-23.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_biden-6849.html RealClearPolitics Wisconsin], retrieved August 28, 2020</ref><ref>[https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/wi-pres-0820/ Trafalgar Poll], retrieved August 28, 2020</ref>
===Other states===
Other states considered important battlegrounds include [[Texas]] (leans R), [[Ohio]] (leans R), [[Minnesota]] (leans D), [[Nevada]] (leans D), [[Georgia]] (leans R), and [[New Hampshire]] (leans D).
Other states considered important battlegrounds include [[Texas]] (leans R), [[Ohio]] (leans R), [[Minnesota]] (leans D), [[Nevada]] (leans D), [[Georgia]] (leans R), and [[New Hampshire]] (leans D).