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Essay:Analyses of misleading polls (view source)
Revision as of 19:03, October 21, 2020
, 19:03, October 21, 2020→October 21, 2020: added conclusion
As shown here, when the polling sample by party affiliation is weighed by the exit poll, Kelly's lead falls significantly from eleven points to three.
As shown here, when the polling sample by party affiliation is weighed by the exit poll, Kelly's lead falls significantly from eleven points to three.
==Conclusion==
While properly weighing the party ID shows that the Democrats' lead claimed in the poll significantly falls, it's important to note that the 2020 elections will differ from the 2016 elections, and thus this is only a prediction to examine the [[liberal bias]] in the poll via comparing with numbers from previous election cycles that are more likely to match turnout rates expected in this one.
=August 23, 2020=
=August 23, 2020=