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United States Senate elections, 2020 (view source)
Revision as of 19:38, October 21, 2020
, 19:38, October 21, 2020copyedit
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|[[North Carolina]]
|[[North Carolina]]
|Cunningham ([[Democrat|D]])
|Cunningham ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>2.3%
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>2.3%
|Aggregate skewed slightly to the left due to an untrustworthy poll by the biased Change Research.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/nc/north_carolina_senate_tillis_vs_cunningham-6908.html North Carolina Senate - Tillis vs. Cunningham]</ref>
|Aggregate skewed slightly to the left due to an untrustworthy poll by the biased Change Research.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/nc/north_carolina_senate_tillis_vs_cunningham-6908.html North Carolina Senate - Tillis vs. Cunningham]</ref>
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|[[Michigan]]
|[[Michigan]]
|Peters ([[Democrat|D]])
|Peters ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>4.7%
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>4.7%
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left due to suspicious Ipsos/[[Reuters]] poll in addition to one by Change Research.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mi/michigan_senate_james_vs_peters-6964.html Michigan Senate - James vs. Peters]</ref>
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left due to suspicious Ipsos/[[Reuters]] poll in addition to one by Change Research.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mi/michigan_senate_james_vs_peters-6964.html Michigan Senate - James vs. Peters]</ref>
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|[[Iowa]]
|[[Iowa]]
|Greenfield ([[Democrat|D]])
|Greenfield ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>2.5%
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>2.5%
|Aggregate skewed to the left, largely due poll from highly untrustworthy source Quinnipiac;<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/ia/iowa_senate_ernst_vs_greenfield-7072.html Iowa Senate - Ernst vs. Greenfield]</ref> [[Iowa]] polling tends to overestimate Democrats, as occurred in the [[2018 Midterms]] with the state's gubernatorial election.
|Aggregate skewed to the left, largely due poll from highly untrustworthy source Quinnipiac;<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/ia/iowa_senate_ernst_vs_greenfield-7072.html Iowa Senate - Ernst vs. Greenfield]</ref> [[Iowa]] polling tends to overestimate Democrats, as occurred in the [[2018 Midterms]] with the state's gubernatorial election.
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|[[Arizona]]
|[[Arizona]]
|Kelly ([[Democrat|D]])
|Kelly ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>8.4%
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>8.4%
|Aggregate strongly skewed to the left due to unreliable/fake polling,<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/az/arizona_senate_mcsally_vs_kelly-6801.html Arizona Senate - McSally vs. Kelly]</ref> including one by [[CBS]]/YouGov analyzed [[Essay:Analyses_of_misleading_polls#October_21.2C_2020|here]].
|Aggregate strongly skewed to the left due to unreliable/fake polling,<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/az/arizona_senate_mcsally_vs_kelly-6801.html Arizona Senate - McSally vs. Kelly]</ref> including one by [[CBS]]/YouGov analyzed [[Essay:Analyses_of_misleading_polls#October_21.2C_2020|here]].
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|rowspan=2|[[Georgia]]
|rowspan=2|[[Georgia]]
|Perdue ([[Republican|R]])
|Perdue ([[Republican|<font color="red">'''R'''</font>]])
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>0.9%
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>0.9%
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/ga/georgia_senate_perdue_vs_ossoff-7067.html Georgia Senate - Perdue vs. Ossoff]</ref>
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/ga/georgia_senate_perdue_vs_ossoff-7067.html Georgia Senate - Perdue vs. Ossoff]</ref>
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|Warnock ([[Democrat|D]])
|Warnock ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>10.6%
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>10.6%
|Warnock lead largely due to backing by Democrat establishment and evaporating support for Lieberman; note election to be a jungle primary ([[United_States_Senate_elections,_2020#Georgia_.28special.29|see below]]).
|Warnock lead largely due to backing by Democrat establishment and evaporating support for Lieberman; note election to be a jungle primary ([[United_States_Senate_elections,_2020#Georgia_.28special.29|see below]]).
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|[[Maine]]
|[[Maine]]
|Gideon ([[Democrat|D]])
|Gideon ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>4.6%
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>4.6%
|Polling aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/me/maine_senate_collins_vs_gideon-6928.html Maine Senate - Collins vs. Gideon]</ref>
|Polling aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/me/maine_senate_collins_vs_gideon-6928.html Maine Senate - Collins vs. Gideon]</ref>
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|[[Minnesota]]
|[[Minnesota]]
|Smith ([[Democrat|D]])
|Smith ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>7.2%
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>7.2%
|Polling aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mn/minnesota_senate_lewis_vs_smith-7075.html Minnesota Senate - Lewis vs. Smith]</ref>
|Polling aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mn/minnesota_senate_lewis_vs_smith-7075.html Minnesota Senate - Lewis vs. Smith]</ref>
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|[[Montana]]
|[[Montana]]
|Daines ([[Republican|R]])
|Daines ([[Republican|<font color="red">'''R'''</font>]])
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>3.3%
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>3.3%
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left due to PPP poll.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mt/montana_senate_daines_vs_bullock-7063.html Montana Senate - Daines vs. Bullock]</ref>
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left due to PPP poll.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mt/montana_senate_daines_vs_bullock-7063.html Montana Senate - Daines vs. Bullock]</ref>
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|}
''<center>There are {{#expr: floor({{days until|2020|11|3}} / 7) }}{{#ifexpr: {{days until|2020|11|3}} / 7 - floor({{days until|2020|11|3}} / 7) > .5 | ½ }} weeks until Election Day 2020. If you live in a state with a Senate election this year, vote in person!</center>''
''<center>There are {{#expr: floor({{days until|2020|11|3}} / 7) }}{{#ifexpr: {{days until|2020|11|3}} / 7 - floor({{days until|2020|11|3}} / 7) > .5 | ½ }} weeks until Election Day 2020. If you live in a state with a Senate election this year, vote in person!</center>''