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United States Senate elections, 2020 (view source)

Revision as of 22:08, October 21, 2020

88 bytes added ,  22:08, October 21, 2020
added a column for RCP's ratings in table
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!Candidate
 
!Candidate
 
!Lead
 
!Lead
 +
!Rating
 
!Notes
 
!Notes
 
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|Cunningham ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|Cunningham ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>2.3%
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>2.3%
 +
|Tossup
 
|Aggregate skewed slightly to the left due to an untrustworthy poll by the biased Change Research.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/nc/north_carolina_senate_tillis_vs_cunningham-6908.html North Carolina Senate - Tillis vs. Cunningham]</ref>
 
|Aggregate skewed slightly to the left due to an untrustworthy poll by the biased Change Research.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/nc/north_carolina_senate_tillis_vs_cunningham-6908.html North Carolina Senate - Tillis vs. Cunningham]</ref>
 
|-
 
|-
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|Peters ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|Peters ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>4.7%
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>4.7%
 +
|Tossup
 
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left due to suspicious Ipsos/[[Reuters]] poll in addition to one by Change Research.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mi/michigan_senate_james_vs_peters-6964.html Michigan Senate - James vs. Peters]</ref>
 
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left due to suspicious Ipsos/[[Reuters]] poll in addition to one by Change Research.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mi/michigan_senate_james_vs_peters-6964.html Michigan Senate - James vs. Peters]</ref>
 
|-
 
|-
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|Greenfield ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|Greenfield ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>2.5%
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>2.5%
 +
|Tossup
 
|Aggregate skewed to the left, largely due poll from highly untrustworthy source Quinnipiac;<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/ia/iowa_senate_ernst_vs_greenfield-7072.html Iowa Senate - Ernst vs. Greenfield]</ref> [[Iowa]] polling tends to overestimate Democrats, as occurred in the [[2018 Midterms]] with the state's gubernatorial election.
 
|Aggregate skewed to the left, largely due poll from highly untrustworthy source Quinnipiac;<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/ia/iowa_senate_ernst_vs_greenfield-7072.html Iowa Senate - Ernst vs. Greenfield]</ref> [[Iowa]] polling tends to overestimate Democrats, as occurred in the [[2018 Midterms]] with the state's gubernatorial election.
 
|-
 
|-
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|Kelly ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|Kelly ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>8.4%
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>8.4%
 +
|Lean D
 
|Aggregate strongly skewed to the left due to unreliable/fake polling,<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/az/arizona_senate_mcsally_vs_kelly-6801.html Arizona Senate - McSally vs. Kelly]</ref> including one by [[CBS]]/YouGov analyzed [[Essay:Analyses_of_misleading_polls#October_21.2C_2020|here]].
 
|Aggregate strongly skewed to the left due to unreliable/fake polling,<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/az/arizona_senate_mcsally_vs_kelly-6801.html Arizona Senate - McSally vs. Kelly]</ref> including one by [[CBS]]/YouGov analyzed [[Essay:Analyses_of_misleading_polls#October_21.2C_2020|here]].
 
|-
 
|-
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|Perdue ([[Republican|<font color="red">'''R'''</font>]])
 
|Perdue ([[Republican|<font color="red">'''R'''</font>]])
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>0.9%
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>0.9%
 +
|Tossup
 
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/ga/georgia_senate_perdue_vs_ossoff-7067.html Georgia Senate - Perdue vs. Ossoff]</ref>
 
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/ga/georgia_senate_perdue_vs_ossoff-7067.html Georgia Senate - Perdue vs. Ossoff]</ref>
 
|-
 
|-
 
|Warnock ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|Warnock ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>10.6%
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>10.6%
 +
|Lean R
 
|Warnock lead largely due to backing by Democrat establishment and evaporating support for Lieberman; note election to be a jungle primary ([[United_States_Senate_elections,_2020#Georgia_.28special.29|see below]]).
 
|Warnock lead largely due to backing by Democrat establishment and evaporating support for Lieberman; note election to be a jungle primary ([[United_States_Senate_elections,_2020#Georgia_.28special.29|see below]]).
 
|-
 
|-
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|Gideon ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|Gideon ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>4.6%
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>4.6%
 +
|Tossup
 
|Polling aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/me/maine_senate_collins_vs_gideon-6928.html Maine Senate - Collins vs. Gideon]</ref>
 
|Polling aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/me/maine_senate_collins_vs_gideon-6928.html Maine Senate - Collins vs. Gideon]</ref>
 
|-
 
|-
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|Smith ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|Smith ([[Democrat|<font color="blue">'''D'''</font>]])
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>7.2%
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>7.2%
 +
|Tossup
 
|Polling aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mn/minnesota_senate_lewis_vs_smith-7075.html Minnesota Senate - Lewis vs. Smith]</ref>
 
|Polling aggregate likely skewed to the left.<ref>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mn/minnesota_senate_lewis_vs_smith-7075.html Minnesota Senate - Lewis vs. Smith]</ref>
 
|-
 
|-
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|Daines ([[Republican|<font color="red">'''R'''</font>]])
 
|Daines ([[Republican|<font color="red">'''R'''</font>]])
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>3.3%
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>3.3%
 +
|Tossup
 
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left due to PPP poll.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mt/montana_senate_daines_vs_bullock-7063.html Montana Senate - Daines vs. Bullock]</ref>
 
|Aggregate likely skewed to the left due to PPP poll.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mt/montana_senate_daines_vs_bullock-7063.html Montana Senate - Daines vs. Bullock]</ref>
 
|-
 
|-
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|Cornyn ([[Republican|<font color="red">'''R'''</font>]])
 
|Cornyn ([[Republican|<font color="red">'''R'''</font>]])
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>8.3%
 
|<nowiki>+</nowiki>8.3%
 +
|Lean R
 
|Aggregate likely skewed somewhat to the left.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/tx/texas_senate_cornyn_vs_hegar-7047.html Texas Senate - Cornyn vs. Hegar]</ref>
 
|Aggregate likely skewed somewhat to the left.<ref>[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/tx/texas_senate_cornyn_vs_hegar-7047.html Texas Senate - Cornyn vs. Hegar]</ref>
 
|}
 
|}
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