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| | Beginning in 2018, there was a sharp increase in [[gambling]] on chess games, and by 2022 many millions of dollars are bet on the game outcomes on numerous different websites, in [[Las Vegas]], and around the world. The 1-in-2,500 unlikely foregoing victories by an unheralded player, who has admitted to having cheated in online games in the past, may create doubt as to whether there should payouts on bets on these implausible outcomes. | | Beginning in 2018, there was a sharp increase in [[gambling]] on chess games, and by 2022 many millions of dollars are bet on the game outcomes on numerous different websites, in [[Las Vegas]], and around the world. The 1-in-2,500 unlikely foregoing victories by an unheralded player, who has admitted to having cheated in online games in the past, may create doubt as to whether there should payouts on bets on these implausible outcomes. |
| | + | == Detection Evasion == |
| | + | Detection evasion is a central part of any sophisticated [[chess]] cheating strategy. |
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| | == Analysis of play by Hans Niemann in Sinquefield Cup == | | == Analysis of play by Hans Niemann in Sinquefield Cup == |
| | In the improbable back-to-back victories by Hans Niemann in the Sinquefield Cup 2022, his endgame "play" was extraordinary in both games against more highly rated opponents, before stricter controls against possible cheating were installed by the tournament organizers. | | In the improbable back-to-back victories by Hans Niemann in the Sinquefield Cup 2022, his endgame "play" was extraordinary in both games against more highly rated opponents, before stricter controls against possible cheating were installed by the tournament organizers. |
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| | ==Analysis of the background of Hans Niemann== | | ==Analysis of the background of Hans Niemann== |
| | As explained by a commentator on chess.com: | | As explained by a commentator on chess.com: |
| − | *Hans Niemann went from a 2400-2500 rating plateau to 2700 and above faster than most of the finest prodigies ([[Magnus Carlsen]], Firouzja, Sarin, and Gukesh). "And so Hans' rating at the beginning of 2021 was around 2,500, and now his rating is approximately 2,700 - a really significant, almost unprecedented rise for somebody in that period of time."<ref>https://wusfnews.wusf.usf.edu/2022-09-17/why-chess-fans-are-questioning-19-year-old-hans-niemanns-win-over-magnus-carlsen</ref> | + | *Hans Niemann went from a 2400-2500 rating plateau to 2700 sand above faster than most of the finest prodigies ([[Magnus Carlsen]], Firouzja, Sarin, and Gukesh). "And so Hans' rating at the beginning of 2021 was around 2,500, and now his rating is approximately 2,700 - a really significant, almost unprecedented rise for somebody in that period of time."<ref>https://wusfnews.wusf.usf.edu/2022-09-17/why-chess-fans-are-questioning-19-year-old-hans-niemanns-win-over-magnus-carlsen</ref> |
| | *Hans has admitted to cheating online. | | *Hans has admitted to cheating online. |
| | *at one point, Hans played 4 members of the finest chess players in the world (ratings above 2800 club in a row), easily defeating 3 out of 4 and tying the 4th while nearly defeating him.<ref>https://www.chess.com/forum/view/general/do-you-think-hans-is-cheating</ref> | | *at one point, Hans played 4 members of the finest chess players in the world (ratings above 2800 club in a row), easily defeating 3 out of 4 and tying the 4th while nearly defeating him.<ref>https://www.chess.com/forum/view/general/do-you-think-hans-is-cheating</ref> |