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→Polls vs. political betting websites. Which are more accurate? Also, there is a political betting websites aggregator website that has a good track record
Henceforth, I will use political betting websites, such as [https://electionbettingodds.com/ ElectionBettingOdds.com], instead of pollsters, when I want to forecast elections.
Henceforth, I will use political betting websites, such as [https://electionbettingodds.com/ ElectionBettingOdds.com], instead of pollsters, when I want to forecast elections.
The website ElectionBettingOdds.com averages live odds that it pulls from FTX.com, Betfair.com, PredictIt.org, Smarkets.com, and Polymarket.com. The odds are then volume-weighted, meaning that the odds for each market are multiplied by that market's share of quarterly volume.<ref>[https://electionbettingodds.com/about.html ElectionBettingOdds.com FAQ]</ref>
The website ElectionBettingOdds.com averages live odds that it pulls from FTX.com, Betfair.com, PredictIt.org, Smarkets.com, and Polymarket.com. The odds are then volume-weighted, meaning that the odds for each market are multiplied by that market's share of quarterly volume.[https://electionbettingodds.com/about.html]
The website ElectionBettingOdds.com has a respectable track record in terms of accuracy as can be seen at: [https://electionbettingodds.com/TrackRecord.html Track Record - Election Betting Odds], 2022 [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 09:00, November 11, 2022 (EST)
The website ElectionBettingOdds.com has a respectable track record in terms of accuracy as can be seen at: [https://electionbettingodds.com/TrackRecord.html Track Record - Election Betting Odds], 2022 [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 09:00, November 11, 2022 (EST)
== Small request ==
== Small request ==