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'''Wishful thinking''' is both a [[cognitive bias]]<ref>[http://sidewiseinsights.blogspot.com/2011/01/credit-to-his-race-final-installment-of.html SideWise Thinking]</ref> and a [[logical fallacy]].<ref>[http://www.fallacyfiles.org/wishthnk.html Logical Fallacy: Wishful Thinking]</ref>  It consists of believing something, or believing something to be more likely than it in fact is, because one wants it to be true.
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'''Wishful thinking''' is both a [[cognitive bias]]<ref>[http://sidewiseinsights.blogspot.com/2011/01/credit-to-his-race-final-installment-of.html SideWise Thinking]</ref> and a [[logical fallacy]].<ref>[http://www.fallacyfiles.org/wishthnk.html Logical Fallacy: Wishful Thinking]</ref>  It consists of believing something, or believing something to be more likely than it in fact is, because one wants and hopes it to be true.<ref>[https://www.palomar.edu/users/bthompson/Appeal%20to%20Hope.html Appeal to Hope (Wishful Thinking)], Polomar College</ref>
    
As a logical fallacy, it is similar to the [[appeal to emotion]], except that the appeal is [[self-deception|to one's own emotion]] rather than only to the emotions of the audience.  The fallacy makes a desire for the conclusion to be a premise; that is, it takes the following form:
 
As a logical fallacy, it is similar to the [[appeal to emotion]], except that the appeal is [[self-deception|to one's own emotion]] rather than only to the emotions of the audience.  The fallacy makes a desire for the conclusion to be a premise; that is, it takes the following form:
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There is also reverse wishful thinking, which is [[Murphy's law]] as a cognitive bias.
 
There is also reverse wishful thinking, which is [[Murphy's law]] as a cognitive bias.
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== Articles on wishful thinking ==
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*[https://www.fallacyfiles.org/wishthnk.html Wishful thinking], Fallacy Files website
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==Examples==
 
==Examples==
 
*[[Atheists]] engage in wishful thinking when they disbelieve in God because they do not want Him to exist, rather than because they have any direct evidence for the nonexistence of God.
 
*[[Atheists]] engage in wishful thinking when they disbelieve in God because they do not want Him to exist, rather than because they have any direct evidence for the nonexistence of God.
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* The eager willingness of [[liberal]], [[Agnosticism|agnostic]] and [[Atheism|atheistic]] biblical scholars and [[exegete]]s in [[Historical-critical method (Higher criticism)|higher criticism]] to take [[Specious reasoning|speciously apparent]] [[error]]s in the Bible (carelessly invented superficial difficulties which do not actually exist) as an unexamined pretext for rejecting its [[authority]] and the authority of the very [[Church]] which defends its divine [[inspiration]] as [[Biblical inerrancy|inerrant]] [[truth]].
 
* The eager willingness of [[liberal]], [[Agnosticism|agnostic]] and [[Atheism|atheistic]] biblical scholars and [[exegete]]s in [[Historical-critical method (Higher criticism)|higher criticism]] to take [[Specious reasoning|speciously apparent]] [[error]]s in the Bible (carelessly invented superficial difficulties which do not actually exist) as an unexamined pretext for rejecting its [[authority]] and the authority of the very [[Church]] which defends its divine [[inspiration]] as [[Biblical inerrancy|inerrant]] [[truth]].
 
* Liberal Christians do not start with the Bible to determine what they believe. Instead, they simply [[fluffy bunny|decide what they want to believe]], [[cafeteria Christianity|cherry-pick]] Bible verses that appear to support their chosen beliefs, and often [[eisegesis|"interpret"]] even those verses beyond recognition. This is an example of self-generated Christianity, i.e., "Christianity" developed to meet one's own demand profile.<ref>{{cite book| first1=Robert |last1=Ekelund |authorlink1= Robert Ekelund |first2= Robert |last2= Hébert |first3= Robert |last3=Tollison |authorlink3= Robert Tollison |url= https://books.google.com/books?id=FP08EXnwP3YC&lpg=PA334&dq=cafeteria%20Christianity&pg=PA258#v=onepage&q=cafeteria%20Christianity&f=false |title=The Marketplace of Christianity |publisher= MIT Press |year= 2006 |page = 258 |isbn=9780262050821 }}</ref>
 
* Liberal Christians do not start with the Bible to determine what they believe. Instead, they simply [[fluffy bunny|decide what they want to believe]], [[cafeteria Christianity|cherry-pick]] Bible verses that appear to support their chosen beliefs, and often [[eisegesis|"interpret"]] even those verses beyond recognition. This is an example of self-generated Christianity, i.e., "Christianity" developed to meet one's own demand profile.<ref>{{cite book| first1=Robert |last1=Ekelund |authorlink1= Robert Ekelund |first2= Robert |last2= Hébert |first3= Robert |last3=Tollison |authorlink3= Robert Tollison |url= https://books.google.com/books?id=FP08EXnwP3YC&lpg=PA334&dq=cafeteria%20Christianity&pg=PA258#v=onepage&q=cafeteria%20Christianity&f=false |title=The Marketplace of Christianity |publisher= MIT Press |year= 2006 |page = 258 |isbn=9780262050821 }}</ref>
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== Academic ==
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*[https://cocosci.princeton.edu/anna/papers/WishfulThinking.pdf A Bounded Rationality Account of Wishful Thinking], Princeton University
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*[https://direct.mit.edu/opmi/article/1/2/101/2939/So-Good-It-Has-to-Be-True-Wishful-Thinking-in So Good It Has to Be True: Wishful Thinking in Theory of Mind], MIT
    
==See also==
 
==See also==
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* [[Motivated reasoning]]
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* [[Optimism bias]]
 
* [[Confirmation bias]]
 
* [[Confirmation bias]]
 
* [[Original-position fallacy]]
 
* [[Original-position fallacy]]
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*[[Intellectual humility]]
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* [[Intellectual humility]]
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* [[Decision making]]
 
* [[Pollyanna]]
 
* [[Pollyanna]]
 
* [[Utopia]]n [[fantasy]]
 
* [[Utopia]]n [[fantasy]]
 
* [[Christian apologetics]]
 
* [[Christian apologetics]]
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== External links ==
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*[https://newristics.com/heuristics-biases/wishful-thinking Wishful Thinking], Heuristics Encyclopedia
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*[https://archive.ph/UaaQm#selection-391.0-391.30 The Perils of Wishful Thinking]
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*[https://www.uva.nl/shared-content/uva/en/news/press-releases/2024/03/making-the-future-too-bright-how-wishful-thinking-can-point-us-in-the-wrong-direction.html Making the future too bright: how wishful thinking can point us in the wrong direction], University of Amsterdam
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*[https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/feeling-smart/201504/wishful-thinking Wishful Thinking]
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*[https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/the-stories-we-tell/202509/wishing-doesnt-make-it-so Wishing Doesn’t Make It So]
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*[https://psynso.com/wishful-thinking/ Wishful thinking], Psynso.com
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*[https://www.conspicuouscognition.com/p/wishful-thinking-is-a-myth Wishful Thinking Is A Myth]
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Limits of positive thinking and dangers of naive positive thinking:
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*[https://efficiencyandmanagement.blogspot.com/2026/05/stop-just-wishing-case-against-naive.html Stop Just Wishing — The Case Against Naive Positive Thinking], Personal Development blog
    
==References==
 
==References==
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