Wishful thinking

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Wishful thinking is both a cognitive bias[1] and a logical fallacy.[2] It consists of believing something, or believing something to be more likely than it in fact is, because one wants and hopes it to be true.[3]

As a logical fallacy, it is similar to the appeal to emotion, except that the appeal is to one's own emotion rather than only to the emotions of the audience. The fallacy makes a desire for the conclusion to be a premise; that is, it takes the following form:

  • I want P to be true.
  • Therefore, P.

A person engaging in wishful thinking almost never states it so bluntly, however. Instead, that person may cherry-pick the evidence or otherwise distort reality to support the desired conclusion.

There is also reverse wishful thinking, which is Murphy's law as a cognitive bias.

Articles on wishful thinking


  • Atheists engage in wishful thinking when they disbelieve in God because they do not want Him to exist, rather than because they have any direct evidence for the nonexistence of God.
  • Homosexuals engage in wishful thinking when they accuse those who oppose and criticize homosexuality and homosexual "marriage" of being "homophobes" and "secretly gay" because, despite having no evidence to prove their claims, they want to believe that their opponents are "self-hating homosexuals", even though those homosexuals who make such accusations are not mind-readers. Proponents of homosexuality delude themselves into thinking that their opponents are the "opposite" of what they really are because those homosexuals do not want to believe that homophobia is not a widespread condition or that their opponents have legitimate reasons for not supporting or agreeing with the homosexual lifestyle and its resulting consequences. They also completely ignore the copious evidence of the harms caused by same-sex "marriage" to both individuals and society.
  • Believers in discredited notions such as evolution/abiogenesis cling to their beliefs despite the lack of evidence for them and despite the abundant contrary evidence.

See also


  1. SideWise Thinking
  2. Logical Fallacy: Wishful Thinking
  3. Appeal to Hope (Wishful Thinking), Polomar College
  4. (2006) The Marketplace of Christianity. MIT Press. ISBN 9780262050821.