Changes

:::::[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA%3D%3D_37dd8598-f161-45f0-a100-04c31417003d What is the probability that Russia will go from a weak great power to merely a regional power by the end of 2040?]: "Integrating these—prioritizing structural (demographics, war) over tactical (alliances) factors—the probability that Russia transitions to merely a regional power by 2040 is 65%. This aligns with the Small Wars Journal's 70% near-term collapse risk if the war persists (highly likely absent major concessions), compounded by Stimson and Geopolitical Futures' projections of devolution and stagnation. A quick war end or BRICS-led boom could drop this to 40%, but trends favor erosion of global reach, leaving Russia as an Eurasian heavyweight but not a pole in a multipolar world. This is politically unpalatable in Moscow but substantiated by data: empires decline when internal rot outpaces external bluster."

:::::[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA%3D%3D_37dd8598-f161-45f0-a100-04c31417003d What is the probability that Russia will go from a weak great power to merely a regional power by the end of 2040?]: "Integrating these—prioritizing structural (demographics, war) over tactical (alliances) factors—the probability that Russia transitions to merely a regional power by 2040 is 65%. This aligns with the Small Wars Journal's 70% near-term collapse risk if the war persists (highly likely absent major concessions), compounded by Stimson and Geopolitical Futures' projections of devolution and stagnation. A quick war end or BRICS-led boom could drop this to 40%, but trends favor erosion of global reach, leaving Russia as an Eurasian heavyweight but not a pole in a multipolar world. This is politically unpalatable in Moscow but substantiated by data: empires decline when internal rot outpaces external bluster."

::::::President Trump is right. Russia is a paper tiger. [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 18:38, September 24, 2025 (EDT)

:::::President Trump is right. Russia is a paper tiger. [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 18:38, September 24, 2025 (EDT)