::'''Summary:''' "Zohran Mamdani has a 45% chance of quick failure (within 12–18 months) that materially helps the GOP in the 2026 midterms, driven mainly by policy gridlock/fiscal crisis (40%) and crime backlash (30%), with lesser risks from scandal or external shocks." [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 14:44, November 5, 2025 (EST) | ::'''Summary:''' "Zohran Mamdani has a 45% chance of quick failure (within 12–18 months) that materially helps the GOP in the 2026 midterms, driven mainly by policy gridlock/fiscal crisis (40%) and crime backlash (30%), with lesser risks from scandal or external shocks." [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 14:44, November 5, 2025 (EST) |