| − | :Here's the key to understanding the [[military]] situation: [[Zaporozhe]] will fall in 5 months. To take [[Odessa]] (and make [[Ukraine]] landlocked, cutting off its [[tariff]]-free [[trade]] in perpetuity with the rest of the [[planet]]), it must be approached from the north, meaning [[Nikolaev]] must be taken first. Nikolaev cannot be taken from [[Kherson]] because of the difficulty of river crossings (recall, Russia earlier withdrew from all territories west of the Dnieper.) Therefore, the Dnieper River crossing has to occur at Zaporozhe, and the territories north of the water reservoir (where the [[Zaporozhe NPP]] sites on the south bank) have to be secured before an approach on Nikolaev ([[Kherson]] will eventually fall due to this northern approach, rather than a front-on approach across the river delta). [[Dnipropetrovsk]] & [[Kharkov]] can be by-passed for now (but that won't preclude [[NATO]]/[[Ukraine]] from dumping tens of thousands of lives, needlessly, into a [[meatgrinder]] to defend dummy attacks). [[User:RobSmith|RobS]]<sup>[[User talk:RobSmith|''Zelensky Must Go!'']]</sup> 16:09, December 4, 2025 (EST) | + | :Here's the key to understanding the [[military]] situation: [[Zaporozhe]] will fall in 5 months. To take [[Odessa]] (and make [[Ukraine]] landlocked, cutting off its [[tariff]]-free [[trade]] in perpetuity with the rest of the [[planet]]), it must be approached from the north, meaning [[Nikolaev]] must be taken first. Nikolaev cannot be taken from [[Kherson]] because of the difficulty of river crossings (recall, Russia earlier [[Kherson#Russian_withdrawal_from_west_bank|withdrew from all territories west of the Dnieper]].) Therefore, the Dnieper River crossing has to occur at Zaporozhe, and the territories north of the water reservoir (where the [[Zaporozhe NPP]] sites on the south bank) have to be secured before an approach on Nikolaev ([[Kherson]] will eventually fall due to this northern approach, rather than a front-on approach across the river delta). [[Dnipropetrovsk]] & [[Kharkov]] can be by-passed for now (but that won't preclude [[NATO]]/[[Ukraine]] from dumping tens of thousands of lives, needlessly, into a [[meatgrinder]] to defend dummy attacks). [[User:RobSmith|RobS]]<sup>[[User talk:RobSmith|''Zelensky Must Go!'']]</sup> 16:09, December 4, 2025 (EST) |