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→Robert Pape
It's too late. They are committed. [https://zulfiqar.substack.com/p/security-briefing-special-mid-week See:]
It's too late. They are committed. [https://zulfiqar.substack.com/p/security-briefing-special-mid-week See:]
{{Cquote|'''The Deadline Passed in Fire [SOURCED]'''
{{Cquote|'''The Deadline Passed in Fire [SOURCED]'''
Sunday’s briefing reported [[Beijing]]’s informal Monday [July 20] deadline for de-escalation, transmitted through Ishaq Dar after Shanghai. That deadline has now expired — and the answer was [[escalation]] on every axis. Our reporting adds the uncomfortable nuance: [[Beijing]] is driving the [[diplomacy]] and is in no particular hurry for it to succeed on [[Washington, D.C.|Washington’s]] timetable. [[China]]’s interest in reopening [[Hormuz]] is real; so is its interest in watching [[American]] [[precision-missile]] inventories drain and [[American base]]s empty. Both things are [[true]] at once, and [[Pakistan]]i officials navigating between them know it. [[Islamabad]]’s instruction set from Beijing — get both sides to the table — remains in force; what has changed is that the party refusing the table, per our sourcing this week, was not [[Tehran]].}}
Sunday’s briefing reported [[Beijing]]’s informal Monday [July 20] deadline for de-escalation, transmitted through Ishaq Dar after Shanghai. That deadline has now expired — and the answer was '''[[escalation]] on every axis''' [''ed.'' bolden added]. Our reporting adds the uncomfortable nuance: [[Beijing]] is driving the [[diplomacy]] and is in no particular hurry for it to succeed on [[Washington, D.C.|Washington’s]] timetable. [[China]]’s interest in reopening [[Hormuz]] is real; so is its interest in watching [[American]] [[precision-missile]] inventories drain and [[American base]]s empty. Both things are [[true]] at once, and [[Pakistan]]i officials navigating between them know it. [[Islamabad]]’s instruction set from Beijing — get both sides to the table — remains in force; what has changed is that the party refusing the table, per our sourcing this week, was not [[Tehran]].}}
IOWs, [[China]] told [[Trump]] to back off on [[Hormuz]] by Monday July 20, 2026 or they'd get involved. Trump refused, and his [[Truth Social]] posting is an attempt to [[CYA]] his butt and play victim for what's coming.
IOWs, [[China]] told [[Trump]] to back off on [[Hormuz]] by Monday July 20, 2026 or they'd get involved. Trump refused, and his [[Truth Social]] posting is an attempt to [[CYA]] his butt and play victim for what's coming.