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The most dangerous shift would occur in how countries view [[nuclear weapon]]s. [[Historical]]ly, [[deterrence]] works on the premise that the cost of attacking a country is too high. If Iran, a country on the threshold of nuclear development, is attacked in a conventional and tactical manner, the [[geopolitical]] message would first and foremost be one of encouragement to [[proliferate]].
 
The most dangerous shift would occur in how countries view [[nuclear weapon]]s. [[Historical]]ly, [[deterrence]] works on the premise that the cost of attacking a country is too high. If Iran, a country on the threshold of nuclear development, is attacked in a conventional and tactical manner, the [[geopolitical]] message would first and foremost be one of encouragement to [[proliferate]].
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'''[[Joe Kent]]: [[America]] is no longer providing [[security guarantee]]s, that we're no longer capable of projecting power in the way that we once were. I think, you know, as dumb as the [[Iraq war]] was, [[Saddam Hussein]] had one of the bigger militaries at the time, especially in '91 when we went into [[Kuwait]] and expelled Saddam from there, we kept [[economic sanctions|sanctions]] on, we choked off [[Iraq]], and then in ' 03, we ran through the [[Iraq]]i [[army]] like a hot knife through butter and we just showed how muscular and powerful we were. We got humiliated because we didn't understand, you know, the [[insurgency]] factor. We didn't learn any of our lessons from [[Vietnam war|Vietnam]]. But we still had a lot of [[military]] might. We could still project power. We could still dominate the [[Persian Gulf]] with our [[aircraft carrier]]s. We dominated the skies. Like we never even thought other than like, some rockets and mortars here and there. We never thought about having to be threatened from the skies.  
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'''[[Joe Kent]]:''' [[America]] is no longer providing [[security guarantee]]s, that we're no longer capable of projecting power in the way that we once were. I think, you know, as dumb as the [[Iraq war]] was, [[Saddam Hussein]] had one of the bigger militaries at the time, especially in '91 when we went into [[Kuwait]] and expelled Saddam from there, we kept [[economic sanctions|sanctions]] on, we choked off [[Iraq]], and then in ' 03, we ran through the [[Iraq]]i [[army]] like a hot knife through butter and we just showed how muscular and powerful we were. We got humiliated because we didn't understand, you know, the [[insurgency]] factor. We didn't learn any of our lessons from [[Vietnam war|Vietnam]]. But we still had a lot of [[military]] might. We could still project power. We could still dominate the [[Persian Gulf]] with our [[aircraft carrier]]s. We dominated the skies. Like we never even thought other than like, some rockets and mortars here and there. We never thought about having to be threatened from the skies.  
    
"But the world has changed and we're no longer going to be the guarantors of [[security]] for the entire [[Persian Gulf|Gulf]].  
 
"But the world has changed and we're no longer going to be the guarantors of [[security]] for the entire [[Persian Gulf|Gulf]].  
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