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United States Presidential Election, 2008 (view source)

Revision as of 15:53, August 2, 2008

27 bytes removed ,  15:53, August 2, 2008
State Polling
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It is assumed that the 2008 election will be similar where close battles in a few states could determine the outcome.  Individual state polling numbers for the 2008 election:
 
It is assumed that the 2008 election will be similar where close battles in a few states could determine the outcome.  Individual state polling numbers for the 2008 election:
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#Alaska (McCain 44% - Obama 40%)  [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/alaska/election_2008_alaska_presidential_election Rasmussen Updated 8/1/08]
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{| class="wikitable"
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|-
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! State
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[[CNN]] declares that the outcome in [[McCain]] v. [[Obama]] is a toss-up in only 12 states, totaling only 154 electors:<ref>http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/06/10/electoral.map/index.html</ref> (Most recent poll numbers, and polling outfit)
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! Obama (D)
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! McCain (R)
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#Wisconsin (Obama 50% - McCain 37%, [http://www.news.wisc.edu/15313 University of Wisconsin])
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! Data
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#Iowa (Obama 48% - McCain 38%, [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/iowa/election_2008_iowa_presidential_election Rasmussen])
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! Updated
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#New Hampshire (Obama 48% - McCain 43%, [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nh/new_hampshire_mccain_vs_obama-195.html#polls Rasmussen])
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|-
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#Ohio (Obama 48% - McCain 39%, [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b03c08ab-30b9-463d-8be2-5cb118e05b74 Survey USA])
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|Alaska
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#Pennsylvania (Obama 45% - McCain 43%, [http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2 Rasmussen])
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|40%
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#Nevada (McCain 46% - Obama 40%, [http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nevada/election_2008_nevada_presidential_election Rasmussen])
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|44%
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#Michigan (Obama 47% - McCain 39%, [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/michigan/election_2008_michigan_presidential_election Rasmussen])
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/alaska/election_2008_alaska_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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#Minnesota (Obama 52% - McCain 34%, [http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/minnesota/election_2008_minnesota_presidential_election Rasmussen])
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| 7/31/08
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#Florida (McCain 45% - Obama 41%, [http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1180 Quinnipiac])
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|-
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#Missouri (Obama 48% - McCain 43%, [http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/stories.nsf/politics/story/84EC6E3C5EAE4FF586257484000FDDED?OpenDocument Research 2000])
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|Colorado
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#Virginia (Obama 49% - McCain 42%, [http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9901f8fc-034e-4a1d-ab36-f6e5c918614e Survey USA])
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|49%
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#Colorado (Obama 48% - McCain 42%, [http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/colorado/election_2008_colorado_presidential_election Rasmussen])
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|42%
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/colorado/election_2008_colorado_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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|7/21/08
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|-
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|Florida
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|46%
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|45%
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/florida/election_2008_florida_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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|7/22/08
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|-
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|Iowa
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|48%
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|38%
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/iowa/election_2008_iowa_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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|7/10/08
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|-
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|Michigan
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|47%
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|39%
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/michigan/election_2008_michigan_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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|7/10/08
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|-
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|Minnesota
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|49%
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|37%
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/minnesota/election_2008_minnesota_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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|7/22/08
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|-
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|Missouri
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|42%
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|47%
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/missouri/election_2008_missouri_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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|7/07/08
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|-
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|Nevada
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|42%
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|40%
 +
|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/nevada/election_2008_nevada_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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|7/16/08
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|-
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|New Hampshire
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|41%
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|47%
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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|7/23/08
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|-
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|Ohio
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|46%
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|40%
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/ohio/election_2008_ohio_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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|7/21/08
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|-
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|Pennsylvania
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|42%
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|47%
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2008_pennsylvania_presidential_election2 Rasmussen]
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|7/22/08
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|-
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|Virginia
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|44%
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|44%
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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|7/16/08
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|-
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|Wisconsin
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|50%
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|39%
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|[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/wisconsin/election_2008_wisconsin_presidential_election Rasmussen]
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| 7/09/08
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|}
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In addition, there are four states leaning Democratic totaling 37 electoral votes, and eight states leaning Republican totaling 69 electoral votes.  The addition of these states to the battleground puts 24 states and 260 electoral votes in play.
      
== Republican Strategy ==
 
== Republican Strategy ==
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| 07/30 - 08/01
 
| 07/30 - 08/01
 
| 3000 LV
 
| 3000 LV
−
| 45
   
| 44
 
| 44
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| 43
 
|-
 
|-
 
| [http://www.gallup.com/poll/109219/Gallup-Daily-Race-Tied-44.aspx Gallup Poll]
 
| [http://www.gallup.com/poll/109219/Gallup-Daily-Race-Tied-44.aspx Gallup Poll]
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