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88 bytes added ,  23:52, January 18, 2010
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The race originally was expected to heavily favor Democrats, since there are a million more registered Democrats than Republicans. But independents are the largest bloc and they have moved heavily to Brown.
 
The race originally was expected to heavily favor Democrats, since there are a million more registered Democrats than Republicans. But independents are the largest bloc and they have moved heavily to Brown.
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Brown is a much better campaigner, and leads 2-1 among independents, who will elect him if they turn out and vote. Brown's main theme is that he will be the 41st senator and will block the Obama health care plan--which Massachusetts does not need, he explains, because it has its own plan now in operation. Coakley responds by attacking bankers and bringing in big guns like Bill Clinton, John Kerry and Barack Obama. Their appearance only underscores her base is among Democratic party regulars; the independents are rejecting the old time politics by voting for Brown by 2-1. Brown has the momentum going into the final days of the campaign, and leads Coakley by an 8-10 point margin in the final.  
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Brown is a much better campaigner, and leads 2-1 among independents, who will elect him if they turn out and vote. Brown's main theme is that he will be the 41st senator and will block the Obama health care plan--which Massachusetts does not need, he explains, because it has its own plan now in operation. Coakley responds by attacking bankers and bringing in big guns like Bill Clinton, John Kerry and Barack Obama. Their appearance only underscores her base is among Democratic party regulars; the independents are rejecting the old time politics by voting for Brown by 2-1. Brown has the momentum going into the final days of the campaign, and leads Coakley by an 8-10 point margin in the final polls.  Coakley's best remaining hope is that freezing rain will keep angry voters home.  
    
A defeat for Coakley, coming on the heels of the Democrats' loss of Virginia and New Jersey in Nov. 2009, would be a major blow to the liberal cause and would reinvigorate the Republican party nationally.
 
A defeat for Coakley, coming on the heels of the Democrats' loss of Virginia and New Jersey in Nov. 2009, would be a major blow to the liberal cause and would reinvigorate the Republican party nationally.
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