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User:Ferret/2012ElectionOdds
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Revision as of 22:00, December 31, 2011
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22:00, December 31, 2011
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! Probability at 17 December 2011
! Probability at 17 December 2011
! Probability at 26 December 2011
! Probability at 26 December 2011
+
! Probability at 1 January 2012
|-
|-
| Newt Gingrich
| Newt Gingrich
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| 18.2%
| 18.2%
| 10.5%
| 10.5%
+
| 5.0%
|-
|-
| Mitt Romney
| Mitt Romney
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| 20.4%
| 20.4%
| 28.0%
| 28.0%
+
| 34.2%
|-
|-
| Ron Paul
| Ron Paul
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| 4.8%
| 4.8%
| 4.4%
| 4.4%
+
| 5.0%
|-
|-
| Jon Huntsman
| Jon Huntsman
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| 3.6%
| 3.6%
| 3.2%
| 3.2%
+
| 2.1%
|-
|-
| Rick Perry
| Rick Perry
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| 1.6%
| 1.6%
| 1.6%
| 1.6%
+
| 1.3%
|-
|-
| Michele Bachmann
| Michele Bachmann
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| 1.0%
| 1.0%
| 1.0%
| 1.0%
+
| 1.1%
|-
|-
| Rick Santorum
| Rick Santorum
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| 0.6%
| 0.6%
| 0.6%
| 0.6%
+
| 1.7%
|-
|-
| Rudy Giuliani
| Rudy Giuliani
| 0.3%
| 0.3%
| 0.3%
| 0.3%
+
| 0.0%
| 0.0%
| 0.0%
|-
|-
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| '''50.6%'''
| '''50.6%'''
| '''49.3%'''
| '''49.3%'''
+
| '''50.3%'''
|-
|-
| Barack Obama
| Barack Obama
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| 47.3%
| 47.3%
| 48.5%
| 48.5%
+
| 47.5%
|-
|-
| Hilary Clinton
| Hilary Clinton
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| 1.6%
| 1.6%
| 1.6%
| 1.6%
+
| 1.7%
|-
|-
| Joe Biden
| Joe Biden
| 0.5%
| 0.5%
| 0.5%
| 0.5%
+
| 0.6%
| 0.6%
| 0.6%
|-
|-
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| '''49.4%'''
| '''49.4%'''
| '''50.7%'''
| '''50.7%'''
+
| '''49.7%'''
|}
|}
(Source: [http://www.willhill.com William Hill])
(Source: [http://www.willhill.com William Hill])
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