| Line 13: |
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| | |- | | |- |
| | |Indiana | | |Indiana |
| − | |1.03% | + | |1% |
| | |Indiana was a red state from 1964 to 2004, and when Obama took the state in 2008 it was by an extremely narrow margin. Obama is currently very unpopular in the state. | | |Indiana was a red state from 1964 to 2004, and when Obama took the state in 2008 it was by an extremely narrow margin. Obama is currently very unpopular in the state. |
| | |11 | | |11 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |Virginia | | |Virginia |
| − | |6.3% | + | |6% |
| | |Elected a Republican governor, [[Bob McDonnell]], in 2009. In the 2011 elections the Republican party took the state senate, giving them control over both houses of the legislature | | |Elected a Republican governor, [[Bob McDonnell]], in 2009. In the 2011 elections the Republican party took the state senate, giving them control over both houses of the legislature |
| | |13 | | |13 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |Pennsylvania | | |Pennsylvania |
| − | |10.3% | + | |10% |
| | |Obama's disapproval rating is high: 54%, and [[Republicans]] swept the elections in 2010; also, Obama polled poorly here in 2008 against [[Hillary Clinton]].<ref>[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1653 Quinnipiac poll done late September 2011]</ref> | | |Obama's disapproval rating is high: 54%, and [[Republicans]] swept the elections in 2010; also, Obama polled poorly here in 2008 against [[Hillary Clinton]].<ref>[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1653 Quinnipiac poll done late September 2011]</ref> |
| | |20 | | |20 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |Florida | | |Florida |
| − | |2.81% | + | |2.8% |
| | |Elected a Republican for both governor and Senate in the 2010 midterm elections; however, Governor [[Rick Scott]] is currently (Dec. 2011) very unpopular in the state. Obama's approval in the state is below 50% and without Florida his reelection is unlikely. | | |Elected a Republican for both governor and Senate in the 2010 midterm elections; however, Governor [[Rick Scott]] is currently (Dec. 2011) very unpopular in the state. Obama's approval in the state is below 50% and without Florida his reelection is unlikely. |
| | |29 | | |29 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |Ohio | | |Ohio |
| − | |4.58% | + | |4.6% |
| | |Ohio voted Republican in the 2010 elections, but the public unions repealed the collective bargaining reforms by popular vote. This indicates heavy union influence who always vote democrat. | | |Ohio voted Republican in the 2010 elections, but the public unions repealed the collective bargaining reforms by popular vote. This indicates heavy union influence who always vote democrat. |
| | |18 | | |18 |
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| | |- | | |- |
| | |North Carolina | | |North Carolina |
| − | |0.33% | + | |0.3% |
| | |The current [[Democratic]] governor, [[Bev Perdue]], is highly unpopular and polling badly, especially in the wake of recent scandals among her staff. | | |The current [[Democratic]] governor, [[Bev Perdue]], is highly unpopular and polling badly, especially in the wake of recent scandals among her staff. |
| | |15 | | |15 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |Nevada | | |Nevada |
| − | |12.49% | + | |12.5% |
| | |A recent special election for the state's 2nd congressional district was predicted to be competitive but resulted in a decisive victory for [[Republican]] [[Mark Amodei]]. [[Harry Reid]] won reelection in 2010 despite [[Tea Party]] opposition, but this may have been due to discrepancies and corruption in the voting process. | | |A recent special election for the state's 2nd congressional district was predicted to be competitive but resulted in a decisive victory for [[Republican]] [[Mark Amodei]]. [[Harry Reid]] won reelection in 2010 despite [[Tea Party]] opposition, but this may have been due to discrepancies and corruption in the voting process. |
| | |6 | | |6 |
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| | |- | | |- |
| | |Colorado | | |Colorado |
| − | |8.95% | + | |9% |
| | |[[Pro-life]], pro-[[Christian]] [[Tim Tebow]]'s phenomenal success for the Denver Broncos is changing the culture there. | | |[[Pro-life]], pro-[[Christian]] [[Tim Tebow]]'s phenomenal success for the Denver Broncos is changing the culture there. |
| | |9 | | |9 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |Michigan | | |Michigan |
| − | |16.44% | + | |16% |
| | |Mitt Romney, though not ideal for the average conservative, grew up in Michigan and could put it into play. His father, [[George Romney]], served as governor of the state. | | |Mitt Romney, though not ideal for the average conservative, grew up in Michigan and could put it into play. His father, [[George Romney]], served as governor of the state. |
| | |16 | | |16 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |Iowa | | |Iowa |
| − | |9.53% | + | |9.5% |
| | | | | | |
| | |6 | | |6 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |New Hampshire | | |New Hampshire |
| − | |9.61% | + | |9.6% |
| | | | | | |
| | |4 | | |4 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |New Mexico | | |New Mexico |
| − | |15.13% | + | |15% |
| | | | | | |
| | |5 | | |5 |