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Talk:Law of Large Numbers (view source)
Revision as of 19:54, March 17, 2012
, 19:54, March 17, 2012reply to Aschafly.
::How about this for a short explanation. Microevolution (which has been observed to exist in the wild) relies on genetic drift. Since genetic drift it known to happen in microevolution the law of truly large numbers is either false, or it does not apply. --[[User:HHB|HHB]] 18:15, 15 March 2012 (EDT)
::How about this for a short explanation. Microevolution (which has been observed to exist in the wild) relies on genetic drift. Since genetic drift it known to happen in microevolution the law of truly large numbers is either false, or it does not apply. --[[User:HHB|HHB]] 18:15, 15 March 2012 (EDT)
Hello. It is very easy. Law of large numbers requires that <math>X_1,X_2,\dots</math> are independent (i.e. every finite subset of them is independent). Yet, a child has usually similar properties to an adult. Therefore <math>X_{i+1}</math> is not independent of <math>X_{i}</math>. It does not mean they are perfectly correlated - a child might sometimes be different from its parent. But they are definitely not independent, and therefore you cannot use the law. Using a mathematical theorem when assumptions are not fully satisfied will easily give you absurd conclusions - think what happens if you to use Pythagorean theorem in an acute triangle. --[[User:Cipe|Cipe]] 15:54, 17 March 2012 (EDT)