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rating the swing states
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|-
|-
!Expected winner 2012
!State
!State
!Margin of [[Obama]]'s win in 2008
!Margin of [[Obama]]'s win in 2008
!Electoral Votes in 2012
!Electoral Votes in 2012
|-
|-
|Easy Republican win this time
|Indiana
|Indiana
|1%
|1%
|11
|11
|-
|-
|Very likely Republican win this time
|Virginia
|Virginia
|6%
|6%
|13
|13
|-
|-
|Toss-up
|Pennsylvania
|Pennsylvania
|10%
|10%
|20
|20
|-
|-
|Romney leads by 7 points as of May
|Florida
|Florida
|2.8%
|2.8%
|29
|29
|-
|-
|Toss up
|Ohio
|Ohio
|4.6%
|4.6%
|18
|18
|-
|-
|Toss-up
|Wisconsin
|Wisconsin
|13.9%
|13.9%
|10
|10
|-
|-
|Likely Republican win due to [[same-sex marriage]] issue.
|North Carolina
|North Carolina
|0.3%
|0.3%
|15
|15
|-
|-
|Toss-up
|Nevada
|Nevada
|12.5%
|12.5%