Difference between revisions of "User:Conservative/Forecasting"
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcnj61KSOhM Professor Philip Tetlock on His Groundbreaking Research About 'Expert Judgment'] - video | *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcnj61KSOhM Professor Philip Tetlock on His Groundbreaking Research About 'Expert Judgment'] - video | ||
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== Economic forecasting == | == Economic forecasting == | ||
Revision as of 05:01, September 13, 2023
Economics
General forecasting
- The Peculiar Blindness of Experts - Credentialed authorities are comically bad at predicting the future. But reliable forecasting is possible.
Economic forecasting
Yield curve
The difficulty of long term economic forecasting for various companies/sectors/countries
- Most People Have No Idea What Is Coming - Warren Buffett
Difficulty of short term economic forecasting due to various factors
Videos/podcast, investing/business/trends
Sources:
Economics mixed with right-wing political ideology:
America will suffer a great depression in 2030:
Semi doom and gloomers:
Doom and gloomers: