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Essay: High income countries are rarely authoritarian countries in our technological age driven by innovation (view source)
Revision as of 01:02, November 22, 2025
, 01:02, November 22, 2025Reverted edits by RobSmith (talk) to last revision by Conservative
[[File:Von Braun and Hitler.PNG|right|300px|thumb|[[Wernher von Braun]], who built the [[Saturn V]] rocket that landed a man on the [[moon]] for [[America]] with [[Adolf Hitler]] who financed his early research.]]
[[File:Statue of Leonardo DaVinci in Uffizi Alley, Florence, Italy.jpg|thumbnail|right|300px|Statue of the creative [[Renaissance man]] [[Leonardo da Vinci]] in Tuscany, [[Italy]].]]
Research indicates that in the long-term, non-[[authoritarianism|authoritarian]] countries are more likely to experience greater economic growth (See: [https://www.cato.org/commentary/no-autocracies-dont-make-economies-great No, Autocracies Don’t Make Economies Great], Cato Institute, 2021 and [https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1010748 Time Under Authoritarian Rule and Economic Growth], CORI Working Paper No. 2007-02).
Research indicates that in the long-term, non-[[authoritarianism|authoritarian]] countries are more likely to experience greater economic growth (See: [https://www.cato.org/commentary/no-autocracies-dont-make-economies-great No, Autocracies Don’t Make Economies Great], Cato Institute, 2021 and [https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1010748 Time Under Authoritarian Rule and Economic Growth], CORI Working Paper No. 2007-02).
In [[Essay: High income countries are rarely authoritarian countries in our technological age driven by innovation#2025: There are no high-income countries that are authoritarian countries which are not heavily dependent on oil revenue|2025, there are no high-income countries that are authoritarian countries which are not heavily dependent on oil revenue]].
Previously, I wrote the essay at: [[Essay: The USA is more innovative and productive than China and Russia|The USA is more innovative and productive than China and Russia]]. This essay is a sequel to that essay.
Previously, I wrote the essay at: [[Essay: The USA is more innovative and productive than China and Russia|The USA is more innovative and productive than China and Russia]]. This essay is a sequel to that essay.
In today's economic climate, there is evidence that in order [[middle-income countries]] to become high-income countries, they must escape the [[middle-income trap]] and innovation plays a role in this matter.<ref>[https://asiasociety.org/new-york/china-may-be-running-out-time-escape-middle-income-trap China May Be Running Out of Time To Escape the Middle-Income Trap], Asia Society, 2017</ref>
In today's economic climate, there is evidence that in order [[middle-income countries]] to become high-income countries, they must escape the [[middle-income trap]] and innovation plays a role in this matter.<ref>[https://asiasociety.org/new-york/china-may-be-running-out-time-escape-middle-income-trap China May Be Running Out of Time To Escape the Middle-Income Trap], Asia Society, 2017</ref>
* [https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA%3D%3D_1468b637-e527-4077-b698-44cd56ccd6d1 High-income countries are rarely authoritarian countries in our technological age driven by innovation]: "High-income countries are less likely to be authoritarian because innovation-driven economies thrive on openness, free exchange of ideas, and individual autonomy, which clash with authoritarian control. Data backs this: in 2024, most high-income countries (per World Bank classifications) score high on the Democracy Index (e.g., Norway, Denmark, Canada), while authoritarian regimes like China or Russia, though economically advanced, rely on state control and suppress dissent, limiting certain types of innovation. However, exceptions exist—Singapore and some Gulf states combine wealth with authoritarianism, leveraging technocratic governance and resource wealth rather than broad-based innovation. The correlation isn't absolute, but authoritarianism often stifles the creative freedom needed for cutting-edge technological progress."
The [[Amazon]] description of the book ''The Exponential Age: How Accelerating Technology is Transforming Business, Politics and Society'':
The [[Amazon]] description of the book ''The Exponential Age: How Accelerating Technology is Transforming Business, Politics and Society'':
{{Cquote|A bold exploration and call-to-arms over the widening gap between AI, automation, and big data—and our ability to deal with its effects
{{Cquote|A bold exploration and call-to-arms over the widening gap between AI, automation, and big data—and our ability to deal with its effects
<br />
<br />
See also: [[Essay: The USA has one of the highest labor productivity rates in the world - significantly higher than both China and Russia|The USA has one of the highest labor productivity rates in the world - significantly higher than both China and Russia]] ]]
See also: [[Essay: The USA has one of the highest labor productivity rates in the world - significantly higher than both China and Russia|The USA has one of the highest labor productivity rates in the world - significantly higher than both China and Russia]] ]]
<br />
[[File:US non-farm labor productivity over time.png|thumbnail|center|1500px|USA: Nonfarm Business Sector: Labor Productivity (Output per Hour) for All Workers<ref>[https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/OPHNFB USA: Nonfarm Business Sector: Labor Productivity (Output per Hour) for All Workers]</ref>]]
{{Clear}}
== 2025: There are no high-income countries that are authoritarian countries which are not heavily dependent on oil revenue ==
[[File:Oil-barrel-black-hi.png|150px|right]]
*[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA%3D%3D_1468b637-e527-4077-b698-44cd56ccd6d1 Give the probability of a high-income country being an authoritarian country that is not heavily tied to oil revenue.]: "There are currently 87 high-income economies (GNI per capita >$14,005) per the World Bank's July 2025 update. Among these, the authoritarian ones (EIU Democracy Index score <4) are Bahrain (2.45), Brunei (3.05), Kuwait (2.78), Oman (3.05), Qatar (3.17), Saudi Arabia (2.08), and the UAE (3.07). All seven rely heavily on oil and/or natural gas revenues, which constitute the majority of their GDP and government income (e.g., >50% for each, often >80%). No high-income authoritarian countries exist outside this hydrocarbon-dependent group. Thus, the number of qualifying countries is 0, making the probability 0/87 ≈ 0."
=== Singapore ===
*[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA%3D%3D_1468b637-e527-4077-b698-44cd56ccd6d1 Is Singapore a high-income country? Is it an authoritarian country?]:
"Yes, Singapore is a high-income country. According to the World Bank's 2024-2025 classification, Singapore's GNI per capita is $88,390, well above the high-income threshold of $14,005.
Singapore is not classified as an authoritarian country. The Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index 2024 scores Singapore at 6.38, placing it in the "flawed democracy" category (6-7.99) rather than "authoritarian" (<4). While Singapore has strong state control, limited press freedom, and restrictions on political opposition, it maintains competitive elections, rule of law, and a technocratic governance model, distinguishing it from authoritarian regimes like Saudi Arabia (2.08) or China (2.07). Its hybrid system blends democratic elements with centralized control, but it does not meet the threshold for authoritarianism."
=== Contemporary history ===
In 2024, with the exception of [[Saudi Arabia]], [[United Arab Emirates]] and Russia during the years of 2012–14, 2022- present, which are countries that have lots of oil, no authoritarian regime have been a high income country (See: [https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/high-income-countries High income countries in 2024] and [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Bank_high-income_economy World Bank high income countries]).
== High income countries are rarely authoritarian countries ==
== High income countries are rarely authoritarian countries ==
As noted above, research indicates that in the long-term, non-[[authoritarianism|authoritarian]] countries are more likely to experience greater economic growth (See: [https://www.cato.org/commentary/no-autocracies-dont-make-economies-great No, Autocracies Don’t Make Economies Great], Cato Institute, 2021 and [https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1010748 Time Under Authoritarian Rule and Economic Growth], CORI Working Paper No. 2007-02).
As noted above, research indicates that in the long-term, non-[[authoritarianism|authoritarian]] countries are more likely to experience greater economic growth (See: [https://www.cato.org/commentary/no-autocracies-dont-make-economies-great No, Autocracies Don’t Make Economies Great], Cato Institute, 2021 and [https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1010748 Time Under Authoritarian Rule and Economic Growth], CORI Working Paper No. 2007-02).
*[[Russia and innovation]]
*[[Russia and innovation]]
== Why the USA's per capita income is MUCH higher than Russia's and China's ==
*[[Essay: Why the USA's per capita income is MUCH higher than Russia's|Why the USA's per capita income is MUCH higher than Russia's]]
*[[Essay: Why the USA's per capita income is MUCH higher than China's|Why the USA's per capita income is MUCH higher than China's]]
== Why authoritarian countries often do poorly and fail ==
== Why authoritarian countries often do poorly and fail ==
*[https://archive.ph/3x1qW China’s Quixotic Quest to Innovate. A Statist Economy Can’t Foster Creativity], Foreign Affairs, May 29, 2024
*[https://archive.ph/3x1qW China’s Quixotic Quest to Innovate. A Statist Economy Can’t Foster Creativity], Foreign Affairs, May 29, 2024
2025: "The United States’ lead in global innovation further strengthens its structural power. U.S. firms generate over 50 percent of the world’s high-tech profits, whereas China captures only six percent. This innovation edge positions U.S. companies at critical points in supply chains, enabling Washington to twist production networks, as demonstrated by its coordination of multinational semiconductor restrictions on China." - Michael Beckley, Associate Professor of Political Science at Tufts University, See: [https://martinplaut.com/2025/01/10/a-long-hard-look-at-americas-strengths-and-weaknesses-as-trump-comes-in-again-well-worth-a-read/ A long, hard look at America’s strengths and weaknesses as Trump comes in again. Well worth a read].<ref>[https://archive.is/ueTbh#selection-1003.0-1015.29 The Strange Triumph of a Broken America] by Michael Beckley, Foreign Affairs, January/February 2025, Published on January 7, 2025</ref>
In 2025, the United States has 4.2% of the world's population and China has 17.3% of the world's population.<ref>[https://chatgpt.com/share/68ad7e98-a2dc-800a-929c-6bc94d476328 What percent of the world population does the United States have?]</ref><ref>[https://chatgpt.com/share/68ad7f33-0d7c-800a-958a-9ffdc2e2171a What percent of the world population does China have?]</ref> And yet as can be seen above, U.S. firms generate over 50 percent of the world’s high-tech profits, whereas China captures only six percent.
For China's ranking in the [[Global Innovation Index]] in 2023, please see: [https://www.wipo.int/gii-ranking/en/china China ranking in the Global Innovation Index 2023].
For China's ranking in the [[Global Innovation Index]] in 2023, please see: [https://www.wipo.int/gii-ranking/en/china China ranking in the Global Innovation Index 2023].
*[[Essay: Why the corrupt, authoritarian regimes of China and Russia are losing their long term competitive edge relative to the USA|Why the corrupt, authoritarian regimes of China and Russia are losing their long term competitive edge relative to the USA]]
*[[Essay: Why the corrupt, authoritarian regimes of China and Russia are losing their long term competitive edge relative to the USA|Why the corrupt, authoritarian regimes of China and Russia are losing their long term competitive edge relative to the USA]]
*[[Essay: Slow and steady growth over the long term via capitalism and the rule of law versus short-sighted authoritarian economic growth that is costly to the long term economy|Slow and steady growth over the long term via capitalism and the rule of law versus short-sighted authoritarian economic growth that is costly to the long term economy]]
*[[Essay: Slow and steady growth over the long term via capitalism and the rule of law versus short-sighted authoritarian economic growth that is costly to the long term economy|Slow and steady growth over the long term via capitalism and the rule of law versus short-sighted authoritarian economic growth that is costly to the long term economy]]
*[[Essay: December 2021 was a pivotal moment in the future of global politics for decades to come|December 2021 was a pivotal moment in the future of global politics for decades to come]]
*[[Essay: Was December 2021 a pivotal moment in the future of global politics for decades to come?|Was December 2021 a pivotal moment in the future of global politics for decades to come?]]
*[[Essay: American and Western triumphalism or a realistic appraisal of world affairs?|American and Western triumphalism or a realistic appraisal of world affairs?]]
*[[Essay: American and Western triumphalism or a realistic appraisal of world affairs?|American and Western triumphalism or a realistic appraisal of world affairs?]]
*[[Essay: Attention anti-American hyper Russophiles/Sinophiles. Time is not on your side|Attention anti-American hyper Russophiles/Sinophiles. Time is not on your side]]
*[[Essay: Attention anti-American hyper Russophiles/Sinophiles. Time is not on your side|Attention anti-American hyper Russophiles/Sinophiles. Time is not on your side]]
{{reflist}}
{{reflist}}
[[Category: Essays]]
[[Category: Essays]]
[[Category: Economics]]