Difference between revisions of "Predicting ObamaCare Outcome"

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(Yes, the experts are wrong, and here's why)
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What is the best prediction of the outcome in the [[ObamaCare]] decision expected to be issued Thursday, June 27, 2012?  '''''85% of experts predict that ObamaCare will be upheld - can so many experts be so wrong?'''''
 
What is the best prediction of the outcome in the [[ObamaCare]] decision expected to be issued Thursday, June 27, 2012?  '''''85% of experts predict that ObamaCare will be upheld - can so many experts be so wrong?'''''
  
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'''Here's why''':
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'''Yes, the experts are wrong, and here's why''':
  
 
*ObamaCare does violate the limits in the [[Commerce Clause]], and it is difficult to overcome that [[logic]]
 
*ObamaCare does violate the limits in the [[Commerce Clause]], and it is difficult to overcome that [[logic]]

Revision as of 23:40, June 27, 2012

What is the best prediction of the outcome in the ObamaCare decision expected to be issued Thursday, June 27, 2012? 85% of experts predict that ObamaCare will be upheld - can so many experts be so wrong?

Yes, the experts are wrong, and here's why:

  • ObamaCare does violate the limits in the Commerce Clause, and it is difficult to overcome that logic
  • while 85% of experts think ObamaCare will be upheld, probably 90% are unwilling to criticize Obama, so when adjusted for bias it indicates disbelief that ObamaCare will be upheld
  • 95% of those same experts deny that logic/conservatism advances over time for the same reason technology does
  • ObamaCare could have been upheld more easily and quickly than to invalidate it