Difference between revisions of "User:Ferret/2012ElectionOdds"
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(Update - Romney surging at Gingrich's expense) |
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! Probability at 11 December 2011 | ! Probability at 11 December 2011 | ||
! Probability at 17 December 2011 | ! Probability at 17 December 2011 | ||
| + | ! Probability at 26 December 2011 | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Newt Gingrich | | Newt Gingrich | ||
Revision as of 03:52, December 26, 2011
| Candidate | Probability at 11 December 2011 | Probability at 17 December 2011 | Probability at 26 December 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newt Gingrich | 20.5% | 18.2% | 10.5% |
| Mitt Romney | 20.5% | 20.4% | 28.0% |
| Ron Paul | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% |
| Jon Huntsman | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Rick Perry | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Michele Bachmann | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Rick Santorum | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Rudy Giuliani | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Republican Total | 53.0% | 50.6% | 49.3% |
| Barack Obama | 44.8% | 47.3% | 48.5% |
| Hilary Clinton | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Joe Biden | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Democrat Total | 47.0% | 49.4% | 50.7% |
(Source: William Hill)