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:Dr. Lawler’s calculations suggested 480,000 deaths, which he said was conservative. By contrast, about 20,000 to 50,000 people have died from flu-related illnesses this season, according to the C.D.C. Unlike with seasonal influenza, the entire population is thought to be susceptible to the new coronavirus.<ref>http://archive.is/QzLH5</ref>
 
:Dr. Lawler’s calculations suggested 480,000 deaths, which he said was conservative. By contrast, about 20,000 to 50,000 people have died from flu-related illnesses this season, according to the C.D.C. Unlike with seasonal influenza, the entire population is thought to be susceptible to the new coronavirus.<ref>http://archive.is/QzLH5</ref>
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FiveThirtyEight looked at projections by 17 different experts and calculated the best estimate among them to be 246,000 deaths, which is up from last week. The range is enormous, from 36,000 dead to 1.1 million, but 14 of the 17 have a high-end estimate of at least 250,000.
      
'''IHME projections'''
 
'''IHME projections'''
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293,998

edits