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{{cquote|Trump wins 51 times out of 100 in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.

{{cquote|Trump wins 51 times out of 100 in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.

Biden wins 49 times out of 100.

Biden wins 49 times out of 100.

<br>There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner.<ref>https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/</ref>}}

<br>There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no [[Electoral College]] winner.<ref>https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/</ref>}}

Interestingly, FiveThirtyEight predicts a Trump victory even though it shows him unlikely to prevail in [[Wisconsin]], [[Michigan]], or [[Pennsylvania]].  But while [[Biden]] leads in each state, it is unlikely that Biden will win all three as he needs to prevail.

Interestingly, FiveThirtyEight predicts a Trump victory even though it shows him unlikely to prevail in [[Wisconsin]], [[Michigan]], or [[Pennsylvania]].  But while [[Biden]] leads in each state, it is unlikely that Biden will win all three [[swing state]]s as he needs to prevail.

== References ==

== References ==

{{reflist}}

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[[category:elections]]

[[category:elections]]

[[category:politics]]

[[category:politics]]