Auckland, New Zealand will grow in influence and population in New Zealand due to Christian, Muslim and Hindu immigrants and the higher fertility rate of religious immigrants

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"I argue that 97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious... The epicentre of these trends will be in immigration gateway cities like New York (a third white), Amsterdam (half Dutch), Los Angeles (28% white), and London, 45% white British - Eric Kaufmann[1]

Auckland is the largest city in New Zealand. It is a city of 1,652,000 people. In 2015, Professor Peter Lineham at the Massey University indicated that Auckland is the most religious region of New Zealand mainly due to Catholic migrants (From countries such as the Philippines and India) and Evangelical/Pentecostal Christians.[2] Auckland's population grew by 2.8% or 47,000 people in the year ending June 2023, making it the fastest growing region in New Zealand.[3]

According to Wikipedia, a website founded by an atheist and agnostic, "Auckland is expecting substantial population growth via immigration and natural population increases (which contribute to growth at about one-third and two-thirds, respectively), and is set to grow to an estimated 2 million inhabitants by 2050 (a compounded annual growth rate of 1.2% vs the 2013 number above)... Today, Auckland's central business district is New Zealand's leading economic hub. It also has a thriving culture that has influenced others across the world, built on its dynamic arts scene and a richly multicultural history. The University of Auckland, founded in 1883, is the largest university in New Zealand." [4][5]

According to Professor Eric Kaufmann, "97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious... The epicentre of these trends will be in immigration gateway cities like New York (a third white), Amsterdam (half Dutch), Los Angeles (28% white), and London, 45% white British."[6]

Desecularization is the process by which religion reasserts its societal influence through religious values, institutions, sectors of society and symbols in reaction to previous and/or co-occurring secularization processes.[7]

The skeptic Michael Shermer wrote: "At the beginning of the twentieth century social scientists predicted that belief in God would decrease by the end of the century because of the secularization of society. In fact… the opposite has occurred… Never in history have so many, and such a high percentage of the population believed in God. Not only is God not dead, as Nietzsche proclaimed, but he has never been more alive."[8][9]

Rabbi Jonathan Sacks declared: "...the 17th century was the beginning of an age of secularization which has lasted four centuries until now; the 21st century is exactly the opposite, it's the beginning of an age of desecularization. Religion is seizing power; they're not yielding power." [10]

Postsecularism and New Zealand in the 21st century

See also: Postsecularism and New Zealand in the 21st century

Jens Köhrsen, a professor for religion and economics at the Centre for Religion, Economy and Politics (ZRWP)[11], wrote about postsecularism and New Zealand in the 21st century and other areas of the world:

“ [ Jürgen Habermas ] ...argues that a new age, the age of post-secularity, has begun. Previously vastly secularized societies, like the highly developed countries of Europe, Australia, New Zealand and Canada, would experience a new awareness of religion and attribute a new public role to religion. From now on, religion would constitute a relevant dialogue partner in the public debates of these societies (Habermas, 2008). Moreover, Habermas presents a normative argument about public religion: he recommends that post-secular societies should facilitate religious contributions to the public sphere. Religious reasoning could contribute to public debates about the ethical values of contemporaneous and future societies. Habermas believes that modern societies might find some answers to the moral questions of our time by listening to religion in public debates (Habermas, 2001, 2005, 2006, 2008). A similar position to that of Habermas is proposed by Leclerc (2001) and French sociologist Willaime (2004a, 2004b, 2005[1995]: 76-78, 2008). Willaime observes that even the highly secularized public and political sphere of France is exhibiting a new, more open attitude towards religion. The hypersecularity of France would stimulate a restructuration process of religion. According to Willaime, religion can form an important resource for public debates and be engaged in the identity construction process of individuals and collectives.[12] ”

Eric Kaufmann is a professor of politics at Birkbeck, University of London and author. His academic research specialty is how demographic changes affect religion/irreligion and politics.

On December 23, 2012, Kaufmann wrote:

“ I argue that 97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious.

On the other hand, the secular West and East Asia has very low fertility and a rapidly aging population... In the coming decades, the developed world's demand for workers to pay its pensions and work in its service sector will soar alongside the booming supply of young people in the third world. Ergo, we can expect significant immigration to the secular West which will import religious revival on the back of ethnic change. In addition, those with religious beliefs tend to have higher birth rates than the secular population, with fundamentalists having far larger families. The epicentre of these trends will be in immigration gateway cities like New York (a third white), Amsterdam (half Dutch), Los Angeles (28% white), and London, 45% white British.[13] [14]

”

Auckland will grow in influence and population in New Zealand thanks to religious immigrants and the higher fertility of some religious immigrant groups

See also: Religion and migration

Auckland will grow in influence and population in New Zealand thanks to religious immigrants and the higher fertility of some religious immigrant groups (See also: Atheism and fertility rates and Religion and migration).

Within Auckland these groups will grow as part of a continuing trend within the country of New Zealand: "Evangelical, Born Again and Fundamentalist Christians"; Pentecostals, Muslims, Hindus and Sikhs.[15] This will be due to religious immigrants and the higher fertility of certain religious groups.

Growth of Evangelical Christianity and Pentecostalism in New Zealand

See also: Growth of evangelical Christianity in New Zealand

According to New Zealand census data, from 2013 to 2018, the number of "Evangelical, Born Again and Fundamentalist Christians" grew from 15,381 individuals to 38,127 individuals.[16] In addition, according to New Zealand census data, from 2013 to 2018, the number of Pentecostal Christians increased from 74,256 to 81,624.[17]

Abrahamic creationism espousing a literal Adam and Eve will grow in Auckland

See also: Global creationism

Ken Ham is the founder of Answers in Genesis, a Christian apologetics ministry which has branches in three continents.

Abrahamic creationism espousing a literal Adam and Eve will grow in Auckland due to "Evangelical, Born Again and Fundamentalist Christians", Pentecostals and Muslims.

Johns Hopkins University Press reported in 2014: "Over the past forty years, creationism has spread swiftly among European Catholics, Protestants, Jews, Hindus, and Muslims, even as anti-creationists sought to smother its flames."[18] See also: Evolutionary indoctrination

On October 4, 2014, the Vancouver Sun reported that evolutionism is rejected by hundreds of millions of evangelical Christians and Muslims around the world.[19]

Specifically, the Vancouver Sun declared:

“ Creationism, a religious world view that adamantly rejects Charles Darwin’s theory of evolution, is on the rise among evangelical Protestants and most of the world’s Muslims.

It is not only the majority of residents in Muslim countries such as Pakistan, Indonesia and Turkey who strongly reject the teaching that humans and other species evolved over millions of years from less complex creatures. So do tens of millions of evangelical Christians in North America (as well as South America and Africa).

Overall, [Nidhal Guessoum, a Middle Eastern physics and astronomy professor] who teaches at the American University of Sharjah in the United Arab Emirates, estimates roughly 60 per cent of the world’s Muslims are creationists, including many living in the U.S. and Canada.

Even though poll results about evolution vary based on the questions asked, Salman Hameed reported in the journal Science that strong anti-evolution majorities exist in Turkey, Indonesia, Malaysia, Egypt and Pakistan. The latter is among Canada’s top six source countries for immigrants...

An Angus-Reid survey found 43 per cent of Americans accept the creationist teaching that the Earth is less than 10,000 years old, which means they reject the...view the universe began roughly 13 billion years ago.[20]

”

Creationism was taught in an Auckland school class and this practice will increase sometime in the 21st century. Creationism is being taught in British schools. Britain is the fountainhead of Darwinism.

The city of Auckland and its harbor.

In 2018, a New Zealand news website Newsrooom reported:

“ National’s weekend conference was opened by Villa Education Trust’s South Auckland Middle School singing Hallelujah. Later Simon Bridges said National will re-establish charter schools if elected. Farah Hancock reports on claims creationism was taught in science classes as a preferred theory of evolution at one Villa Education Trust School.

A former student of a Villa Education Trust private school claims creationism was taught as a preferred theory of how the world began in science classes he attended.

The student from Mt Hobson Middle School said Darwinism was taught as an unproven theory and students were shown a video purporting to show science had found proof of God's existence.

His impression was the school backed the concept of creationism “100 percent”.

The science teacher was Rachel O’Connor, sister of National Party leader Simon Bridges and wife of National MP Simon O’Connor.[21]

”

In 2009, The Guardian reported about Britain, which is the fountainhead of Darwinism:

“ Mass migration has led to a rise in creationist beliefs across Europe, according to a British scientist.

Michael Reiss, who is a professor of education at the Institute of Education in London and an Anglican priest, said the evolution-creationism debate could no longer be thought of as something that happened elsewhere and that more and more people in the UK did not accept evolution.

Reiss told the Guardian that countries with a higher proportion of Muslims or fundamentalist Christians in their population were more likely to reject evolution. He added: "What the Turks believe today is what the Germans and British believe tomorrow. It is because of the mass movement of people between countries.

"These things can no longer be thought of as occurring in other countries. In London, where I work, there are increasingly quite large numbers of highly intelligent 16, 17 and 18-year-olds doing Advanced Level biology who do not accept evolution. That's either because they come from a fundamentalist Christian background or from Muslim backgrounds."[22]

”

Sometime in the 21st century, some Auckland schools will teach creationism.

The British newspaper The Telegraph reported in an article entitled Richard Dawkins: Muslim parents 'import creationism' into schools:

“ Prof Dawkins, a well-known atheist, also blamed the Government for accommodating religious views and allowing creationism to be taught in schools.

"Most devout Muslims are creationists so when you go to schools, there are a large number of children of Islamic parents who trot out what they have been taught," Prof Dawkins said in a Sunday newspaper interview.

"Teachers are bending over backwards to respect home prejudices that children have been brought up with. The Government could do more, but it doesn't want to because it is fanatical about multiculturalism and the need to respect the different traditions from which these children come."[23]

”

Areas of New Zealand with significant populations of nonreligious/irreligious people experiencing hyper-aging will diminish in influence and decline in population

See also: New Zealand, its growing problem of hyper-aging areas and desecularization

New Zealand's fertility rate has been falling and is now below the replacement level of 2.1 births per woman (Click on graphic to enlarge).
New Zealand road sign indicating that elderly people are in the area.

New Zealand’s towns and cities are rapidly becoming ‘hyper-aged’.[24]

Nonreligious/irreligious populations/nones have subreplacement levels of births which leads to aging populations (See: Atheism and fertility rates and Global atheism and aging populations). Caspar Melville wrote in The New Humanist: "Firstly secular liberalism is individualistic, and therefore it goes hand in hand with delayed child bearing and lower fertility rates.[25]

MacauBusiness.com notes: "The World Health Organization defines a country as having an “ageing society” when the proportion of people aged 65 or more is between 7 and 14 per cent of the total population; as having an “aged society” if this proportion is between 15 and 20 per cent; and as having a “super-” or “hyper-aged society” when this proportion is 21 per cent or higher."[26]

According to the New Zealand government: "By 2030, it is expected that 19–21 percent of New Zealanders will be aged 65+, compared with 16 percent in 2020. By 2048, this proportion is expected to reach 21–26 percent, and reach 24–34 percent by 2073.[27] Japan, which has the highest percentage of individuals above 65 years old, had 28.2 percent of its population above 65 years old in 2019.[28]

The 2022 journal article A “death-laden society”: The next stage of a hyper-aged Japan and health challenges ahead published in the Aging and Health Research journal indicated about aging "death laden" societies: "A death-laden society is when the whole society, including younger people, are overwhelmed with the burdens of the ballooning deaths of those in advanced age at a scale unparalleled in history."[29]

On November 24, 2022, the article Welcome to the hyper-ageing nation that is New Zealand indicated:

“ New Zealand’s towns and cities are rapidly becoming ‘hyper-aged’, which will have far-reaching consequences for society and the economy. Population projections show it won’t affect all areas equally, and those most impacted will have difficult decisions to make...

Hyper-aged is an unusual term – and might even sound derogatory – but it’s a technical description for any population where the proportion of people aged-65+ is more than 20%.

In most cases, structural ageing cannot be reversed. Once natural decrease sets in, the only way to increase the population is through migration – either national or international.

Research suggests the level of migration required to balance natural decline is unrealistic, and that “even extremely high migration levels would have only minimal impact” on the proportion of the 65+ population.

Another problem is that migrants themselves get older, which adds to structural ageing. Maintaining a balance would require an exponential increase in migrant numbers over time. Councils can try to encourage residents of other areas to relocate, but many communities will be in the same position – they’ll be competing with each other for a dwindling proportion of younger people.[30]

”

As far as the potential economic effects of hyper-aging areas of New Zealand, Wired magazine's article on hyper-aging areas indicates concerning Japan:

“ There are an estimated eight million ghost houses in Japan. With such plentiful supply we might expect a slump, in which prices tumble, but something new and extreme happens: in a vanishing village there is no price, however low, at which people will buy. The market is not depressed, but frozen. This chill goes further than economics: when a town is disappearing, local politics becomes pointless: across Japan, one-fifth of seats in the 2015 local elections went uncontested.

The solution to these problems will need to be extreme: bulldozing unwanted properties, rewilding deserted areas, and finding new ways to engage rural voters and politicians. Ageing is itself a pandemic, one that we will need to begin tackling as soon as Covid-19 is under control.[31]

”

Demographic map of New Zealand based on the 2018 New Zealand census data: Height of each hexagonal tower reflects the number of people in that area – the taller the tower, the more people in the age group being viewed. The shade of the tower reflects the percentage of the people over 65 years old – the darker the shade, the higher the relative proportion of people over 65 years old in the total population in that area. Due to its religious immigrants who have children, the populous city of Auckland has a low percentage of elderly people

The above 3D map is a demographic map of New Zealand. The height of each hexagonal tower reflects the number of people in that area – the taller the tower, the more people in the age group being viewed. The shade of the tower reflects the percentage of the people over 65 years old – the darker the shade, the higher the relative proportion of people over 65 years old in the total population in that area. Due to its religious immigrants who have children, the populous city of Auckland has a low percentage of elderly people. Auckland is near the upper right portion of the map.

New Zealand government website sources: Where do over 65 people live in New Zealand and New Zealand's population in 3D Data from the 2018 Census re-imagined

See also

External links

References

  1. ↑ London: A Rising Island of Religion in a Secular Sea by Eric Kaufmann, Huffington Post, 2012
  2. ↑ God and money: Interactive map shows rich suburbs have most atheists, New Zealand Herald, 2015
  3. ↑ Population growth in all New Zealand regions
  4. ↑ Demographics of Auckland
  5. ↑ Auckland, Wikipedia
  6. ↑ London: A Rising Island of Religion in a Secular Sea by Eric Kaufmann, Huffington Post, 2012
  7. ↑ Religion and the State in Russia and China: Suppression, Survival and Revival by Christopher Marsh, 2011, page 11 (Christopher Marsh cites the definitions of desecularization given by Peter L. Berger and Vyacheslav Karpov)
  8. ↑ How We Believe: Science, Skepticism, and the Search for God by Michael Shermer, Preface to the book, 2003
  9. ↑ 90 Atheist Quotes that All Christians and Atheists Should Read, Website: Bishop's Encyclopedia of Religion, Society and Philosophy
  10. ↑ Rabbi Jonathan Sacks: Secularism Can't Solve Today's Religious Violence; Answers Rooted in 'Sibling Rivalry' of Jews, Christians, Muslims, Christian Post, By Napp Nazworth , Christian Post, June 23, 2015
  11. ↑ Prof. Dr. Jens Köhrsen, University website faculty page
  12. ↑ How religious is the public sphere? – A critical stance on the debate about public religion and post-secularity, Draft Version, Jens Koehrsen (Köhrsen). Bielefeld Graduate School in History and Sociology, Germany. École des hautes études en sciences socials, France. Published in: Acta Sociologica 55 (3), S. 273-288.
  13. ↑ London: A Rising Island of Religion in a Secular Sea by Eric Kaufmann, Huffington Post, 2012
  14. ↑ 97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious, Tuesday, April 30, 2013
  15. ↑ Religion in New Zealand
  16. ↑ Religion in New Zealand
  17. ↑ Religion in New Zealand
  18. ↑ Creationism spreading in Europe
  19. ↑ Evolution rejected by hundreds of millions of Muslims and evangelicals, Vancouver Sun, October 4, 2014
  20. ↑ Evolution rejected by hundreds of millions of Muslims and evangelicals, Vancouver Sun, October 4, 2014. 9:12 am
  21. ↑ Creationism taught in science class
  22. ↑ Migration is spreading creationism across Europe, claims academic by Riazat Butt, religious affairs correspondent, Friday 13 November 2009 07.49 EST
  23. ↑ Richard Dawkins: Muslim parents 'import creationism' into schools, The Telegraph
  24. ↑ Welcome to the hyper-ageing nation that is New Zealand by Charlie Mitchell, November 24, 2022, The Spinoff (originally appeared in Stuff.NZ.CO)
  25. ↑ Battle of the Babies by Caspar Melville, The New Humanist
  26. ↑ Special Report – 2031: The hyper-aging society scenario, MacauBusiness.com, 2021
  27. ↑ National population projections: 2020(base)–2073, www.stats.govt.nz website
  28. ↑ Countries With the Oldest Populations in the World, Population Reference Bureau: Sources: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects 2019, https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Standard/Population/, and Toshiko Kaneda, Charlotte Greenbaum, and Kaitlyn Patierno, 2019 World Population Data Sheet (Washington, DC: Population Reference Bureau, 2019).
  29. ↑ A “death-laden society”: The next stage of a hyper-aged Japan and health challenges ahead by Masa Higo, Aging and Health Research Volume 2, Issue 4, December 2022, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ahr.2022.100110
  30. ↑ Welcome to the hyper-ageing nation that is New Zealand by Charlie Mitchell, November 24, 2022, The Spinoff (origininally appeared in Stuff.NZ.CO)
  31. ↑ The next economic shock will be hyper-aged societies, Wired magazine, 2020
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