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| | !Electoral Votes in 2012 | | !Electoral Votes in 2012 |
| | |- | | |- |
| − | |Toss-up | + | |Toss up |
| − | |Virginia | + | |Ohio |
| − | |6% | + | |4.6% |
| − | |Elected a Republican governor, [[Bob McDonnell]], in 2009. In the 2011 elections the Republican party took the state senate, giving them control over both houses of the legislature. '''Obama will probably lose this state by 5-10 points in 2012'''. | + | |Ohio voted Republican in the 2010 elections, but the public unions repealed the collective bargaining reforms by popular vote. This indicates heavy union influence who always vote democrat. |
| − | |13 | + | |18 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |Toss-up | | |Toss-up |
| − | |Pennsylvania | + | |Iowa |
| − | |10% | + | |9.5% |
| − | |Obama's disapproval rating is high: 54%, and [[Republicans]] swept the elections in 2010; also, Obama polled poorly here in 2008 against [[Hillary Clinton]].<ref>[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1653 Quinnipiac poll done late September 2011]</ref> | + | | |
| − | |20 | + | |6 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | | | | | |
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| | |[[Pro-life]], pro-[[Christian]] [[Tim Tebow]]'s phenomenal success for the Denver Broncos is changing the culture there. | | |[[Pro-life]], pro-[[Christian]] [[Tim Tebow]]'s phenomenal success for the Denver Broncos is changing the culture there. |
| | |9 | | |9 |
| | + | |- |
| | + | |Toss-up |
| | + | |Virginia |
| | + | |6% |
| | + | |Elected a Republican governor, [[Bob McDonnell]], in 2009. In the 2011 elections the Republican party took the state senate, giving them control over both houses of the legislature. '''Obama will probably lose this state by 5-10 points in 2012'''. |
| | + | |13 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |Romney leads by 7 points as of May | | |Romney leads by 7 points as of May |
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| | |29 | | |29 |
| | |- | | |- |
| − | |Toss-up | + | |Leaning Democratic |
| − | |Iowa
| |
| − | |9.5%
| |
| − | |
| |
| − | |6
| |
| − | |-
| |
| − | |Toss up
| |
| − | |Ohio
| |
| − | |4.6%
| |
| − | |Ohio voted Republican in the 2010 elections, but the public unions repealed the collective bargaining reforms by popular vote. This indicates heavy union influence who always vote democrat.
| |
| − | |18
| |
| − | |-
| |
| − | |Toss-up
| |
| | |Wisconsin | | |Wisconsin |
| | |13.9% | | |13.9% |
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| | |10 | | |10 |
| | |- | | |- |
| − | |Likely Republican win due to [[same-sex marriage]] issue. | + | |Leaning Republican win due to [[same-sex marriage]] issue. |
| | |North Carolina | | |North Carolina |
| | |0.3% | | |0.3% |
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| | |15 | | |15 |
| | |- | | |- |
| − | |Toss-up | + | |Leaning Democratic |
| | |Nevada | | |Nevada |
| | |12.5% | | |12.5% |
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| | |6 | | |6 |
| | |- | | |- |
| − | |Obama favored, but Romney has some roots here and was governor of nearby Massachusetts | + | |Leaning Democratic |
| | |New Hampshire | | |New Hampshire |
| − | | | + | |9.6% |
| | + | |Romney has some roots here and was governor of nearby Massachusetts |
| | |4 | | |4 |
| − | |6
| |
| | |} | | |} |
| | | | |
| − | Other states of interest that can also be considered "swing states":
| + | Additional states that Obama carried by a wide margin in 2008 might become possibilities for a Romney victory in 2012 if he improves in the polls: |
| | {| class="wikitable" | | {| class="wikitable" |
| | |- | | |- |
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| | |16 | | |16 |
| | |- | | |- |
| − | |New Hampshire | + | |Pennsylvania |
| − | |9.6% | + | |10% |
| − | | | + | |Obama's disapproval rating is high: 54%, and [[Republicans]] swept the elections in 2010; also, Obama polled poorly here in 2008 against [[Hillary Clinton]].<ref>[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1653 Quinnipiac poll done late September 2011]</ref> |
| − | |4 | + | |20 |
| | |- | | |- |
| | |New Mexico | | |New Mexico |