Block, Siteadmin, SkipCaptcha, Upload, Automoderated users, delete, edit, move, nsTeam2RO, nsTeam2RW, nsTeam2_talkRO, nsTeam2_talkRW, protect, rollback, Administrators, template
296,243
edits
Changes
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
Line 215:
Line 215: − + + + + + + + + +
→Europe: Yah I know. Rational analysis is far beyond User:Conservative's limited powers. But Andy Schlafly probably has the ability to understand the logic & reasoning.
:"[[Trump]] recently posted on [[social media]] that “The [[United States]] is studying and reviewing the possible reduction of troops in Germany”. The [[Pentagon]] then confirmed that 5,000 will leave within the next year. This came around a week after Under Secretary of War for Policy [[Elbridge Colby]], considered to be Trump 2.0’s [[military]]-[[strategic]] mastermind, praised Germany on social media for “taking the leading role” in accelerating the transition to “NATO 3.0”. These mixed signals deserve some elaboration.
:"[[Trump]] recently posted on [[social media]] that “The [[United States]] is studying and reviewing the possible reduction of troops in Germany”. The [[Pentagon]] then confirmed that 5,000 will leave within the next year. This came around a week after Under Secretary of War for Policy [[Elbridge Colby]], considered to be Trump 2.0’s [[military]]-[[strategic]] mastermind, praised Germany on social media for “taking the leading role” in accelerating the transition to “NATO 3.0”. These mixed signals deserve some elaboration.
:"On the one hand, as ''[[Politico]]'' recently reported, it’s indeed true that “[[Berlin]] deepens military ties with [[Washington, D.C.|Washington]] while [[Merz]]-[[Trump]] rift grows”. The preceding hyperlinked article importantly reports that “The [[U.S.]] [[military]] is placing a colonel in the German army’s Operations Division in an unusually close collaboration.” On the other hand, as was just touched upon, Trump and German Chancellor [[Friedrich Merz]] are also indeed in a heated feud over the [[Epic Fury|Third Gulf War]] that likely influenced Trump’s post...."
:"On the one hand, as ''[[Politico]]'' recently reported, it’s indeed true that “[[Berlin]] deepens military ties with [[Washington, D.C.|Washington]] while [[Merz]]-[[Trump]] rift grows”. The preceding hyperlinked article importantly reports that “The [[U.S.]] [[military]] is placing a colonel in the German army’s Operations Division in an unusually close collaboration.” On the other hand, as was just touched upon, Trump and German Chancellor [[Friedrich Merz]] are also indeed in a heated feud over the [[Epic Fury|Third Gulf War]] that likely influenced Trump’s post....
:"conservative President [[Karol Nawrocki]] and the opposition with which this nominal independent is allied are doing their utmost to keep the [[US]] on board. One means to this end is encouraging more US involvement in the “Three Seas Initiative” as explained here. Nawrocki also presented himself as Europe’s [[conservative]] champion at this year’s [[CPAC]], which this analysis here assessed to be motivated in part by wanting to assume this role before the [[AfD]] does.
:"On that topic, the [[AfD]] supports a truly [[sovereign]] [[Europe]] while [[PiS ]](Poland’s [[conservative]] “Law & Justice” party with which [[Nawrocki]] is allied) supports a Europe in de facto junior partnership with the [[US]], which is why the first called for the full withdrawal of US troops while the second wants more US troops. Closer [[US]]-[[German]] [[military]] ties of the sort that Colby recently praised would thus lead to [[Trump 2.0]] opposing the AfD while weaker ties of the sort that Trump threatened could increase sympathy for it.
:"The first expectation is self-explanatory while the second is premised on the [[National Security Strategy]]’s support for like-minded [[conservative]]-[[nationalist]]s that want to avert Europe’s “[[civilization]]al erasure”. '''[[Trump 2.0]] must thus decide whether it prefers to implement “[[NATO 3.0]]” through [[Europe]]’s ruling [[liberal]]-[[globalist]]s or accept compromises on this policy in favor of saving Europe from itself by supporting [[conservative]]-[[nationalist]]s who might oppose continued [[US]] [[hegemony]] over [[Europe]] like the [[AfD]] does.
:"Where [[Germany]] goes, so too goes most of [[Europe]], so the choice that the US makes will either help or harm the [[AfD]]. The ideal balance of interests for [[Trump 2.0]] would be to replace [[Germany]] with [[Poland]] as its top [[EU]] ally for fortifying [[NATO]]’s Eastern Flank and not oppose the [[AfD]] in the hopes that it’ll come to power and then lead Europe’s rejuvenation."
===The Sahel===
===The Sahel===