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Line 12: − − The widely cited [[Cook Political Report]] stated as of October 2025 that there are only 4 tossup seats, 2 held by [[Dem]]s ([[Georgia]] and [[Michigan]]) and 2 held by [[Republican]]s ([[Maine]] and [[North Carolina]]).<ref>https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings</ref>
The Cook Political Report rates all four of these Senate races as toss-ups, despite how Republicans currently hold all four of these seats.
The '''2026 midterm elections''', held on November 3, 2026 but with primaries beginning on March 3, and [[early voting]] throughout October, will decide which political party controls [[Congress]] beginning January 2027, for the second half of the [[Trump 2.0]] administration. Typically, the party not in the [[White House]], in this case the [[Democrat Party]], gains seats in the midterm election.
The '''2026 midterm elections''', held on November 3, 2026 but with primaries beginning on March 3, and [[early voting]] throughout October, will decide which political party controls [[Congress]] beginning January 2027, for the second half of the [[Trump 2.0]] administration. Typically, the party not in the [[White House]], in this case the [[Democrat Party]], gains seats in the midterm election.
As [[GOP]] leadership in [[Washington, D.C.|D.C]] loses touch with the [[grassroots]] and particularly [[Gen Z]], '''[[Dem]]s are expected to win the [[House]] and a narrow majority in the [[Senate]] by taking [[GOP]] seats in [[Maine]] and [[North Carolina]], and two-out-of-four in [[Ohio]], [[Texas]], [[Iowa]], and/or [[Alaska]]'''. There is [[grassroots]] outrage against [[data center]]s supported by [[GOP]] leadership, particularly in several of these states.<ref>[https://www.daytondailynews.com/local/we-just-need-to-step-on-the-gas-ramaswamy-tells-ohio-chamber-forum/ITLSY6FIJ5HBHCHVGEVXNVOG6Y/#:~:text=Electricity%20costs%20generally%20are%20about%2050%25%20higher,of%20baseload%20coal%20and%20gas%2Dfired%20power%20sources (Ramaswamy's statement on data centers)].</ref>
As [[GOP]] leadership in [[Washington, D.C.|D.C]] loses touch with the [[grassroots]] and particularly [[Gen Z]], '''[[Dem]]s are expected to win the [[House]] and a narrow majority in the [[Senate]] by taking [[GOP]] seats in [[Maine]] and [[North Carolina]], and two-out-of-four in [[Ohio]], [[Texas]], [[Iowa]], and/or [[Alaska]]'''. The [[Cook Political Report]] rates all four of these Senate races as toss-ups, despite how [[Republican]]s currently hold all four of these seats.<ref>https://www.cookpolitical.com/races</ref> There is [[grassroots]] outrage against [[data center]]s supported by [[GOP]] leadership, particularly in several of these states.<ref>[https://www.daytondailynews.com/local/we-just-need-to-step-on-the-gas-ramaswamy-tells-ohio-chamber-forum/ITLSY6FIJ5HBHCHVGEVXNVOG6Y/#:~:text=Electricity%20costs%20generally%20are%20about%2050%25%20higher,of%20baseload%20coal%20and%20gas%2Dfired%20power%20sources (Ramaswamy's statement on data centers)].</ref>
== Senate ==
== Senate ==
In Texas incumbent Senator [[John Cornyn]] was defeated in a primary runoff by Texas Attorney General [[Ken Paxton]]. Early polls have Paxton in a tight race with Democrat [[James Talarico]]. A [[Libertarian Party]] candidate, Ted Brown, is also running; polls have him between 1-4% of the vote. Talarico's chances of flipping the seat blue depend on whether Cornyn's voters decide to vote for Paxton, vote for Talarico or Brown, or sit the race out.
In Texas incumbent Senator [[John Cornyn]] was defeated in a primary runoff by Texas Attorney General [[Ken Paxton]]. Early polls have Paxton in a tight race with Democrat [[James Talarico]]. A [[Libertarian Party]] candidate, Ted Brown, is also running; polls have him between 1-4% of the vote. Talarico's chances of flipping the seat blue depend on whether Cornyn's voters decide to vote for Paxton, vote for Talarico or Brown, or sit the race out.
== House ==
== House ==