User:Conservative/technology

YouTube

• Asianometry

Innovation

• Innovation excellence blog

• Top 40 innovation bloggers of 2013

• Top 50 innovation blogs - Blogmetrics

• Innovation blogs - Idea connection

• Innovation Insights - Wired

• What is next - CNN

Innovation articles:

• Innovation Labs publications

USA vs. China

• Wake Up, America: China Is Overtaking the United States in Innovation Capacity

Per capita USA is more innovative than China, but China has more people so total innovative output is higher. But China's economy and demographics are in SAD SHAPE so its economy will crash and burn in about a decade. Also, in terms of labor productivity per capita and GNP per capita, the USA still leads China! USA! USA! USA!

See:

• It's time to be very bearish about China's long-term economy
• The United States will be the leading power in the world for the foreseeable future
• Why the USA's per capita income is MUCH higher than China's
• The USA has one of the highest labor productivity rates in the world - significantly higher than both China and Russia
• High income countries are rarely authoritarian countries in our technological age driven by innovation

Life is a marathon and not a sprint. See: Slow and steady growth over the long term via capitalism and the rule of law versus short-sighted authoritarian economic growth that is costly to the long term economy and How long will the American civilization last? Strong reasons it could be a very long time

USA! USA! USA!

Artificial intelligence

Videos:

• Artificial intelligence - video playlist, Video playlist

Resistance/Ludditism

• The rage against machine - countries compared and other data, 2025

What percent stronger is the USA vs. China when it comes to artificial intelligence?

• What percent stronger is the USA than China when it comes to artificial intelligence and why?, Grok 10-8, 2025

• Summary statement: The United States is approximately 20-30% stronger than China in artificial intelligence, driven by superior private investment (~11x higher), compute access (2-3x advantage), and high-impact research, though China's rapid catch-up in model quality, patent volume, and talent production narrows the gap.

• https://citizenwatchreport.com/ai-inflation-a-once-in-a-lifetime-boom-in-hard-assets/
• https://davidstockman.substack.com/p/economic-idiocy-with-a-full-face

Financial/economic aspects

Expected 10-year return on AI stocks

• Give me the average expected 10-year returns of AI stocks, Grok 10-3-2025: 12%. AI Sector Basket (e.g., NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL)

What is the probability that there is an AI bubble? Give scenarios and probabilities

• What is the probability that there is an AI bubble? Give scenarios and probabilities

2025: USA vs. China: Expected labor productivity improvements from AI

2025: How much is AI expected to increase or decrease the labor productivity of the USA and China respectively? Give me scenarios and probabilities, Grok 10-3-2025

Given their expected access to future energy supplies, is the USA or China more likely to see bigger gains in their economies. Give me scenarios and probabilities

• Given their expected access to future energy supplies, is the USA or China more likely to see bigger gains in their economies. Give me scenarios and probabilities, Grok 10-3-205

What is the probability that the USA will have to get uranium from Russia in order to make AI economically and environmentally feasible?

• What is the probability that the USA will have to get uranium from Russia in order to make AI economically and environmentally feasible?, Grok 10-3-2025

Deepseek vs. ChatGPT

• What Is Deepseek and How Is It Different From ChatGPT? - ChatGPT offers limited customization options but provides a polished, user-friendly experience suitable for a broad audience. DeepSeek responds faster in technical and niche tasks, while ChatGPT provides better accuracy in handling complex and nuanced queries.

• DeepSeek vs ChatGPT - how do they compare? -Brainstorming: ChatGPT responded in seconds with six neatly summarised ideas. DeepSeek, on the other hand, responded with just one idea - "Luna and the Boy Who Chased the Stars". It struck me that while ChatGPT gave me ideas, DeepSeek wrote a full story. It wasn't particularly good.

• DeepSeek vs. ChatGPT: I tried the hot new AI model. It was impressive, but there were some things it wouldn't talk about., Business Insider, 2025. Plenty of caveats. For one, DeepSeek is subject to strict censorship on contentious issues in China. The classic "how many Rs are there in strawberry" question sent the DeepSeek V3 model into a manic spiral, counting and recounting the number of letters in the word before "consulting a dictionary" and concluding there were only two.

• Here's what DeepSeek AI does better than OpenAI's ChatGPT, Mashable (I learned that DeepSeek is significantly less intelligent than US AI models when it comes to processing, analyzing, researching images, and identifying the image and its location. Another area noted for DeepSeek is its major shortcoming versus ChatGPT is doing verbal interactions and conversations. Another area noted for DeepSeek also is less capable of doing creative thinking and discussions or reports of news articles. There may be several other shortcomings that may be revealed as techs test the range of tasks that DeepSeek can do. )

• DeepSeek: Is It A Stolen ChatGPT? - DeepSeek as much as ChatGPT and Claude are bringing the Western world view into China. They are not just exposing Chinese citizens to the Western world view every day, but also teach them in it. Every day. Deep Seek will not change that, but accelerate it.

Summary:

ChatGPT is clearly superior overall. This confirms what my macroeconomics professor emphasized. There is no free lunch. Once again, free market capitalism is superior to communism/socialism.

Changing face of workplace

Droids:

• Are droids taking our jobs
• Federal Reserve policies and droid technology

Robotics:

• Mish Shedrock on Robotics - Part I
• Mish Shedrock on Robotics - Part II
• Humans Need Not Apply
• Rising Robots: Is it Obvious Robots Cost Human Jobs? Looking for Someone to Blame

Robots and economic process of creative destruction:

• Don't worry about robots "stealing" jobs - Yahoo news

Robots and repetitive jobs:

• Robots and repetitive jobs

Problems with modern scientific community

• Modern science is non-science
• Quackery Crisis! Less than 1 percent of Scientific Journals Utilize Scientific Method

Scientific community and science publications

• 7 Crazy Realities of Scientific Publishing

• The present scientific community and character issues

• The business of progressive science

• Scientific fraud problem in science community

• Peer review problems in science

• Scientific replication problems and current published science articles

Social science literature has major problems

• 60 percent of "important" social science studies could not be replicated

Environmental science

• Poisoned Waters (full documentary)

Military technology

SR-71 Blackbird:

• SR-71 Blackbird was so fast it outran every missile, Mig fighter jet encountered over enemy territory
• Lockheed SR-71 Blackbird Fastest Jet in the World

Apache helicopters and helicopter gunships:

• Boeing AH-64 Apache-World's Most Advanced Attack Helicopter-Military Documentary.

• Apache Helicopter Gunships - The Black Death - BBC

Creation vs. evolution

"The one in 1068 is the probability of calling out each card — in order — as you turn them up. That’s the correct analogy between cards and evolution. It’s a certainty you will get a sequence. But is it the exact sequence you want? Correct math, wrong application. The probability is 1 you will get a sequence, but much less likely you could correctly call out each card as it’s dealt (This is also sometimes illustrated as a group of monkeys randomly typing out the works of Shakespeare)."[1]

Innovation and Scientific progress not as effective as it used to be

• Peter Thiel and Andy Kessler on the state of technology and innovation

• Is the End of Science Near?