Talk:Essay: Why did so many self-declared international relations experts miserably fail concerning their multipolar fantasy?
I wrote the essay Why did so many self-appointed geopolitics experts miserably fail concerning their multipolar fantasy?
I give 4 major reasons why this happened.
Can anyone think of any other major reasons? Conservative (talk) 13:42, September 12, 2023 (EDT)
- Out of ideas already, huh? 12,000 bytes of spam will only get you so far. RobSGive Peace a Chance! 14:08, September 12, 2023 (EDT)
- Here's an idea: demonic possession and the Dark Triad personality traits is why multipolar fantasies failed.
- Better yet: Essay: Demonic possession and the Dark Triad personality traits will cause self-appointed geopolitics experts to miserably fail concerning their multipolar fantasy. RobSGive Peace a Chance! 14:12, September 12, 2023 (EDT)
- Here's an idea: "Neocon neo-Nazi warmonger David Brooks wrote, The American Renaissance Is Already at Hand is evidence the multipolar fantasy has failed." RobSGive Peace a Chance! 14:19, September 12, 2023 (EDT)
Here's the problem as I see it: If you had actually read Samuel Huntington's 1996 book, Clash of Civilizations, you wouldn't have denied on April 17, 2022 that civilization had reached a turning point. But you didn't read the book and form any ideas or opinions of your own. Instead, you came up with Huntington by Googling for a few words and phrases to cherry pick a couple of lines for one of your Islamophobic screeds, and to make it sound scholarly, authorative, and researched. And you've never stopped. That's your style. And the more you do it, the more it becomes obvious.
It's simply easier to not pretend, keep your nose out of where it does not belong, and admit when you made an error, rather than spend 18 months writing 2 dozen Essays of pure nonsense and crap. "Yah, but Rob, I get page views". Congratulations. I hope you're proud of being deceptive and misleading conservative students. RobSGive Peace a Chance! 16:38, September 12, 2023 (EDT)
My reply: Essay: The SPECIFIC MONTH OF APRIL 2022 was not a pivotal point in geopolitics that will affect geopolitics for 30 years. Conservative (talk) 19:16, September 12, 2023 (EDT)
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Looks alright to me, Ben. I'd add that it's mostly a product of political extremes: both far-left and far-right actors have their own reasons for promoting a weaker, more fractured international order and more chaos generally.
In terms of how people can so readily ignore so much evidence to the contrary, you should probably have a section on the interplay between motivated reasoning and the Dunning-Kruger effect. ConwayIII (talk) 18:33, September 12, 2023 (EDT)
- Chinaâs new satellites extend its military reach, US says. Dem third worlders gettin' a bit uppidy. RobSGive Peace a Chance! 18:41, September 12, 2023 (EDT)
- The Dunning-Kruger effect especially affects those who don't actively question and try to falsify their ideas. In other words, they do not practice critical thinking.
- Below are some great resources on how political experts and other experts who actively try to falsify their notions/theories achieve superior results and it is based on a significant body of research:
- Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? by Philip Tetlock - video
- Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? by Philip E. Tetlock, Princeton University Press; New Ed edition (August 20, 2006) Conservative (talk) 18:47, September 12, 2023 (EDT)
- OMG. I'm talking to a Trent Toulouse clone now. RobSGive Peace a Chance! 18:53, September 12, 2023 (EDT)
- Not of note. I'm just a chronicler writing a diary. RobSGive Peace a Chance! 18:59, September 12, 2023 (EDT)