Difference between revisions of "United States presidential election, 2012"

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(Says below that Romney's advantage "perhaps meaningless due to decreasing television viewership")
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|Romney's policies are better.
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|Romney favors free enterprise, low taxes, and personal responsibility.
 
|Obama says he inherited the crisis from [[Republicans]].
 
|Obama says he inherited the crisis from [[Republicans]].
 
|The advantage here is Romney's.
 
|The advantage here is Romney's.

Revision as of 14:30, September 24, 2012

The Presidential Election 2012 is on Tuesday, November 6, 2012. No incumbent has won reelection in the past 70 years with unemployment above 7.2%; reported unemployment is at 8.3% (and real unemployment much higher) merely 3 months before the election. The economy grew less than predicted in the first quarter, and "the last time the economy was this slow was in the last year of President George H.W. Bush’s one term in office" - who then lost reelection.[1] The September 7 labor report observed, "Just 63.5% of the working-age population was either employed or actively looking for work -- a 30-year low." [2]

This election will be like either the election of 1980, when a large bloc of undecided voters moved to the socially conservative challenger (Ronald Reagan) in the last few weeks, or the election of 1948, when the RINO Thomas Dewey was unable to attract grassroots voters despite the unpopularity of Harry Truman and the deteriorating economy.

Following the 2012 Republican Primaries the Republican National Convention nominated the RINO Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, and their strategy appears to be to duck and avoid social issues as much as possible. The selection and Paul Ryan as VP and polling during the first half of the convention showed only a slight bounce in voter support for Romney.

A handful of swing states are expected to select the winner. Currently polls show Barack Hussein Obama with a slight lead in many of these states, but this may change once the Presidential debates 2012 start.

Issue or Factor Mitt Romney Barack Obama Comment
Social issues Romney runs away from them. Obama is vocally pro-abortion and pro-same-sex marriage. As with Tom Dewey's loss in 1948, Romney's running away from social issues could cause him to lose the election that he should win in a landslide.
Economic issues Romney favors free enterprise, low taxes, and personal responsibility. Obama says he inherited the crisis from Republicans. The advantage here is Romney's.
Likability Romney's likability rating stands at only 31%, and has been lower. Obama's likability rating is at 48%. Advantage to Obama.
Debates Romney is a good debater. Obama struggles without a teleprompter, but will benefit from liberal moderators. Slight -- but perhaps meaningless due to decreasing television viewership -- advantage to

Romney.

VPs Paul Ryan has youth and energy, but is party of the Big Government Republican leadership in Congress, which has an ultra-low approval rating. Joe Biden is a gaffe-prone goofball, but protected by the liberal media Toss-up here.

Minor Parties

With record-low support for either major party candidate, this could be a year when minor parties do unusually well.

Party Candidate Comments
Constitution Party[3] Virgil Goode[4] Popular ex-Congressman from Virginia who had previously won election as a Democrat, Independent, and Republican. Joined the Constitution Party in 2010. Opposes illegal immigration and calls for a reduction in legal immigration as well. Won the Constitution Party nomination for president in April on the first ballot.
Green Party[5] Jill Stein[6] Defeated Roseanne Barr for the Green Party nomination. Criticizes Obama for allegedly perpetuating the policies of the Bush administration. Supports the Occupy Wall Street protests. Was previously the Green Party candidate in a series of elections in Massachusetts including a Gubernatorial Election against Mitt Romney (among others).
Justice Party[7] Rocky Anderson[8] Former mayor of Salt Lake City, Utah (2000-08)
Libertarian Party[9] Gary Johnson[10] The former Republican two-term governor of New Mexico, Johnson favors the fair tax, ending American military actions overseas, legalizing marijuana, expanding legal immigration and allowing same-sex marriage. Given Ron Paul's libertarian campaign for the Republican nomination and the exclusion of Johnson from most of the debates, there was little room for Johnson as a Republican this election cycle. He won the Libertarian Party nomination on May 5, 2012.
Peace and Freedom Party[11] Roseanne Barr[12] Comedienne and former TV actress
Party for Socialism and Liberation[13] Peta Lindsay Student and activist (not constitutionally qualified to serve as president - less than 35 years of age)
America's Party[14] Tom Hoefling[15]
Objectivist Party[16] Tom Stevens
Socialist Workers Party[17] James Harris
Socialist Party USA[18] Stewart Alexander[19]
American Third Position Party[20] Merlin Miller[21] White Nationalist Party
Grass Roots Party[22] Jim Carlson
Freedom Socialist Party[23] Stephen Durham
Prohibition Party[24] Jack Fellure
Socialist Equality Party[25] Jerry White

References

  1. ↑ http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Elections/President/2012/0427/GDP-report-puts-Obama-in-economic-gray-zone.-Will-Republicans-profit
  2. ↑ http://money.cnn.com/2012/09/07/news/economy/august-jobs-report/index.html
  3. ↑ http://constitutionparty.com/
  4. ↑ http://www.goodeforpresident2012.com/index.html
  5. ↑ http://www.gp.org/index.php
  6. ↑ http://www.jillstein.org/
  7. ↑ http://www.justicepartyusa.org/
  8. ↑ http://www.voterocky.org/
  9. ↑ http://www.lp.org/
  10. ↑ http://www.garyjohnson2012.com/
  11. ↑ http://www.peaceandfreedom.org/home/
  12. ↑ http://www.roseanneforpresident2012.org/
  13. ↑ http://www.pslweb.org/
  14. ↑ http://www.selfgovernment.us/
  15. ↑ http://www.tomhoefling.com/
  16. ↑ http://www.objectivistparty.us/
  17. ↑ http://www.themilitant.com/index.shtml
  18. ↑ http://vote-socialist.org/
  19. ↑ http://www.stewartalexandercares.com/
  20. ↑ http://american3rdposition.com/
  21. ↑ http://merlinmiller2012.com/
  22. ↑ http://www.ballot-access.org/2012/07/07/grassroots-party-nominates-a-presidential-ticket/
  23. ↑ http://www.socialism.com/drupal-6.8/
  24. ↑ http://www.socialism.com/drupal-6.8/
  25. ↑ http://www.socialequality.com/

See also

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