Difference between revisions of "2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary"
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| − | The '''2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary''' | + | The '''2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary''' was the second contest in the [[Democratic Party]] in the process of nominating a Presidential candidate for the 2020 general election, and the first actual primary election (as opposed to the [[2020 Iowa Democratic caucuses|Iowa caucuses]] of the previous week). It took place on Tuesday, February 11, with 24 state delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention up for grabs. |
==Procedure== | ==Procedure== | ||
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Eight presidential debates among the leading candidates have been held, the most recent on February 7. Some of the lesser-known candidates have taken part in a couple of separate forums, including one in Manchester on January 8.<ref>https://manchesterinklink.com/lesser-known-presidential-candidates-make-their-case-in-downtown-manchester/</ref> | Eight presidential debates among the leading candidates have been held, the most recent on February 7. Some of the lesser-known candidates have taken part in a couple of separate forums, including one in Manchester on January 8.<ref>https://manchesterinklink.com/lesser-known-presidential-candidates-make-their-case-in-downtown-manchester/</ref> | ||
| + | |||
| + | ==Results== | ||
| + | |||
| + | Compared to the Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire primary went much more smoothly in the tabulation of votes, though the determination of a winner took longer than past primaries in the state, due to an unexpectedly close race between Sanders and Buttigieg. News agencies called the race at about 11:20 PM EST, with approximately of 80% of precincts reporting. | ||
| + | {| class="wikitable" | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | ! Candidate !! Votes received !! Vote percentage !! Delegates received !! Delegate percentage | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Bernie Sanders || 75,404 || 25.81% || 9 || 37.5% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Pete Buttigieg || 71,464 || 24.46% || 9 || 37.5% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Amy Klobuchar || 57,979 || 19.84% || 6 || 25.0% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Elizabeth Warren || 27,078 || 9.27% || 0 || 0.0% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Joe Biden || 24,540 || 8.40% || 0 || 0.0% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Tom Steyer || 10,454 || 3.58% || 0 || 0.0% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Tulsi Gabbard || 9,574 || 3.28% || 0 || 0.0% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Andrew Yang || 8,230 || 2.82% || 0 || 0.0% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Write-ins || 3,943 || 1.35% || 0 || 0.0% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Deval Patrick || 1,252 || 0.43% || 0 || 0.0% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Michael Bennet || 950 || 0.33% || 0 || 0.0% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Other || 1,319 || 0.45% || 0 || 0.0% | ||
| + | |} | ||
==References== | ==References== | ||
Revision as of 00:47, February 13, 2020
The 2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary was the second contest in the Democratic Party in the process of nominating a Presidential candidate for the 2020 general election, and the first actual primary election (as opposed to the Iowa caucuses of the previous week). It took place on Tuesday, February 11, with 24 state delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention up for grabs.
Procedure
The New Hampshire primary is a "semi-closed" primary, in that both registered Democrats and undeclared or "independent" voters can cast a ballot, but not those voters who are registered as Republicans or members of another party. The state has relatively lax requirements for a candidate to appear on the ballot--only the payment of a $1,000 fee is required--hence, a total of 33 candidates will officially take part in the primary.
On the day of the election, polls will be open from 6:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m. EST, although only the thirteen designated cities in the state will be allowed to remain open until 8:00 p.m.; in all other localities, polls close at 7:00 p.m. New Hampshire will be represented by a total of 33 delegates at the DNC in July, of which nine are unpledged to any candidate and will include the state's four representatives in Congress and five DNC members. The remaining 24 will be pledged to the candidates on a proportional basis in accordance with the results of the election. These 24 delegates are further subdivided into three equal groups: eight for each of the state's two congressional districts (16 total), and eight for the state at large. Delegate pledging is determined according to the primary vote statewide as well as in each district.
As is true in all Democratic presidential primaries, a candidate must receive at least 15% of the vote on either the district or state level to be awarded any delegates.[1]
Polling
Almost without exception, Vermont senator and avowed socialist Bernie Sanders has led in the polls since mid-January, except for one showing him in a tie with former Vice-President Joe Biden, one showing a tie with Pete Buttigieg, and one giving the lead to Buttigieg alone. The most recent poll, from Emerson College (February 7-8), showed Sanders in the lead with 30%, followed by Buttigieg at 20%, Minnesota senator Amy Klobuchar at 13%, Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren at 12%, Biden at 11%, and all others at less than 5% each.[2] Another poll, from WBZ/Boston Globe/Suffolk University, showed a narrower lead for Sanders, with 24%, followed by Buttigieg, Warren, Biden, and Klobuchar, with 22, 13, 10, and 9% respectively.[3]
The most recent poll aggregators have suggested a lead for Sanders, with 26-27%, followed closely by Buttigieg, Warren, and Biden.
| Poll aggregator | Polling date | Bernie Sanders | Pete Buttigieg | Elizabeth Warren | Joe Biden | Amy Klobuchar | Tulsi Gabbard | Andrew Yang | Tom Steyer | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270 to Win | February 4-8, 2020 | 27.2% | 21.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 6.7% |
| RealClear Politics | February 3-8, 2020 | 26.7% | 21.5% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 7.8% |
| FiveThirtyEight | to February 8, 2020 | 26.3% | 20.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.4% |
| Average | -- | 26.7% | 21.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 7.0% |
Forums and Debates
Eight presidential debates among the leading candidates have been held, the most recent on February 7. Some of the lesser-known candidates have taken part in a couple of separate forums, including one in Manchester on January 8.[4]
Results
Compared to the Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire primary went much more smoothly in the tabulation of votes, though the determination of a winner took longer than past primaries in the state, due to an unexpectedly close race between Sanders and Buttigieg. News agencies called the race at about 11:20 PM EST, with approximately of 80% of precincts reporting.
| Candidate | Votes received | Vote percentage | Delegates received | Delegate percentage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Sanders | 75,404 | 25.81% | 9 | 37.5% |
| Pete Buttigieg | 71,464 | 24.46% | 9 | 37.5% |
| Amy Klobuchar | 57,979 | 19.84% | 6 | 25.0% |
| Elizabeth Warren | 27,078 | 9.27% | 0 | 0.0% |
| Joe Biden | 24,540 | 8.40% | 0 | 0.0% |
| Tom Steyer | 10,454 | 3.58% | 0 | 0.0% |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 9,574 | 3.28% | 0 | 0.0% |
| Andrew Yang | 8,230 | 2.82% | 0 | 0.0% |
| Write-ins | 3,943 | 1.35% | 0 | 0.0% |
| Deval Patrick | 1,252 | 0.43% | 0 | 0.0% |
| Michael Bennet | 950 | 0.33% | 0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 1,319 | 0.45% | 0 | 0.0% |
References
- ↑ https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/NH-D
- ↑ https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/new-hampshire-2020-tracking-poll-night-7-debate-shifts-momentum-for-candidates-but-sanders-stays-in-strong-position
- ↑ https://boston.cbslocal.com/2020/02/08/nh-primary-poll-sanders-buttigieg-klobuchar/
- ↑ https://manchesterinklink.com/lesser-known-presidential-candidates-make-their-case-in-downtown-manchester/