Failed climate change predictions

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Throughout the years, the mainstream media has predicted major climate disasters many times over, with many being disproven by time simply passing. The goalpost has continued to move as they have been proven incorrect. They claim that manmade changes will help stunt the impending disasters, which seem to not end up happening anyways.

While predictions for the future are a relatively modern phenomenon climate-wise, there are examples of climate panic going back as far as the 18th century, and really kicking off with warming hysteria in the 1930s. The Observer, a newspaper in London, claimed in 1937 that Europe's climate was drastically warming, saying that their climate within the last 5 years has "no parallel for [nearly] a century and a half", referring to the late 1770s and early 1780s.[1]

The beginning of these predictions in the modern sense, saw a revitalization on Earth Day, in 1970. It began with fears of a global cooling that slowly, over time, evolved to concerns of global warming once it became evident that they were incorrect in their initial predictions.

In the modern day, most predictions about climate change center around either greenhouse gases for terms of global warming, or microplastics in terms of changes to the environment. Climate policy, such as the Paris Climate Agreement, is often dictated by predictions of scientists who make these predictions and projections regarding the environment and weather, but as is shown in the list below, The Science™ is often unreliable or inaccurate. A great example of their inaccuracy comes from the assertions of former National Weather Service (then called the Weather Bureau) head C.F. Marvin, who stated that "There may be trends of hotter, or colder, or drier, or wetter weather for several years, but on the whole, weather balances to about a constant factor."[2] He then cited an example of climate scientists at the time predicting global increases in temperature, despite the fact that 8 years prior, in 1922, Washington D.C. received more than 25 inches of snow in 24 hours, which was more than had ever been recorded in New York, Chicago, Boston, or St. Paul since the NWS had began keeping records of snowfall in 1870.

Following the same trend, the Bureau stated in 1940 that the climate changing was simply a cyclical event. There would be a period of hot, dry years with harsher summers and milder winters followed by some years of cooler, wetter seasons.[3]

"Several dark, cloudy mornings in succession have brought to the front the weatherwise contingent who declare that the climate is changing, and that they never knew such weather in May. There is not the slightest reliance to be placed on weather sharps, unless they have accurate records to back their recollections. Such records as have been kept wholly disprove the not uncommon assertion that the climate is changing, and show that the average of temperature, of barometic pressure, of coudy and clear days, and of climate generally, is just about the same, year in and year out." - Oakland Tribune, 23 May 1888[4]

Ice caps

  • In 1931, the Times Union expressed concern over a seemingly smaller number of icebergs than reported 20 years earlier.[5] This has been proven to be a fallible metric for determining actual loss of glacial ice due to raw numbers of glaciers not providing any information in the physical amount of ice dispersed among the icebergs.[6]
  • In 1934, the New Castle News of New Castle, Pennsylvania, claimed that Alaska's permafrost was receding away from the south.[7] In 2008, surveyors found that 85% of the state was still completely covered in permafrost, and that only the most southern parts of the state, as well as some inland moving rivers had land that was not frozen the entire year.[8]
  • In 1972, Bernt Balchen predicted that the Arctic would be ice-free by the year 2000.[9]
  • In 1999, the Birmingham Post predicted that the Himalayas would melt by 2009.[10]
  • In 2006, German magazine Der Spiegel claimed that climate change could cause the extinction of the Baltic ringed seal[11], but in April of 2013, Swedish newspaper "The Local" reported a record late freezing period in the Baltic region during the springtime.[12][13]
  • In 2008, James Hansen predicts that the arctic will be ice free by 2018.[14]
  • In 2009, former vice president of the United States Al Gore predicted that ice caps would be gone by 2014. [15]
  • Around 2010, Glacier National Park placed a sign saying that the park will have melted by 2020. In 2020, they removed the sign.[16]
  • In 2012, climate alarmist Peter Wadhams predicted the collapse of arctic sea ice by 2016.[17]
  • In 2013, US Naval Intelligence and fellow scientists conducted a study similar to Wadhams that claimed that the arctic circle could experience ice-free summers by 2016.[18]

Rising sea levels

  • In 1869, newspapers claimed that the Great Salt Lake was growing in size at an extra foot of elevation every year, stating that irrigation would no longer be necessary to cultivate crops in the state.[19] In 2023, researchers at Brigham Young University pivoted in the other direction, saying that the Great Salt Lake will be gone by 2028.[20]
  • In 1971, biologist Paul Ehrlich predicted that the United Kingdom would be an archipelago of hungry people by 2000.[21]
  • In 1988, climatologists claim that the Maldives will be underwater by 2018.[22]
  • In 1988, Climatologist James Hansen predicted that the West Side Highway in Manhattan would be submerged underwater by 2008.[23]
  • In 1989, UN environmental officials claims that entire nations would be "wiped off the face of the earth" if climate change went unchecked by 2000. Over 20 years later, this has yet to happen.[24] Even liberal fact checkers admit fault with this statement.[25]
  • In 2003, Pentagon scientists predicted that many parts of California would be completely underwater as part of a new delta by the year 2013.[26]
  • In 2005, ABC predicts that NYC will be underwater by 2015.[27]
  • In 2017, the president of the Maldives claimed that his country would be submerged under water by 2024. As of August 30th, 2023, 2024 is a few months away and there is no sign that the Maldives will be submerged.[28]

Greenhouse gases

  • In 1974, a scientist tells congress that ozone depletion will cause "great peril" and that rates of skin cancer could increase to 8,000 extra people per year by 1990.[29]
  • In 1990, Bill Kurtis of PBS predicted that increasing greenhouse gas usage would cause the rainforests of Madagascar would be gone by 2000.[30]
  • In 2006, the Telegraph reported "global doom" centered in Europe after a reported "hottest year" on record in almost 350 years.[31]
  • In 2006, following the release of "An Inconvenient Truth", former Vice President Al Gore stated that humanity had until 2016 to reduce GG emissions before reaching a "point of no return".[32]
  • In 2009, Prime Minister Gordon Brown claimed that the world had 50 days to save Earth from irreversible climate change.[33]
  • In 2014, French foreign minister Laurent Fabius warned that humanity had 500 days before "climate chaos".[34]
  • In 2018, CNN published an article titled 'Global warming is killing the Great Barrier Reef, study says'.[35] 4 years later, they reported, 'Parts of Great Barrier Reef record highest amount of coral in 36 years'.[36]

Warming climate

  • In 1855, newspapers warned of the warming climate, as rivers like the Rhine and the Tiber were no longer consistently frozen over.[37] Despite the fact that 1963 saw the coldest German winter of the 20th century, freezing over the Rhine,[38] modern scientists have discovered that the freezing and non-freezing of the Rhine were most likely linked to solar magnetism and sunspot activity, and not a permanently changing climate.[39] Additionally, concurrent scientists of the time predicted that shifting magnetism would cause cold meridians of the earth to freeze the Tiber over again.[40]
  • In 1874, Ohio newspapers claimted that the migration patterns of Parakeets (Paroquets) were changing due to a lack of "Indian Summers". Not only is this claim erroneous in nature, but unfit as a scientific comparison, as Parakeets are not native to the Americas, as they came from Australia.[41] As of current times, Parakeets still live in the north in the United States, going as far as parts of Upstate New York and South Dakota.[42]
  • In 1880, the Knoxville Daily Chronicle claimed that a warming climate was causing more Americans to develop Rheumatism,[43] and modern studies have corroborated that in a lack of air conditioning, higher temperatures and humidity levels can exacerbate symptoms of Rheumatoid Arthritis.[44]Due to this correlation, one would expect levels of RA to rise given the claims of modern climate scientists, but studies show that the prevelancy of RA is declining in the United States.[45]
  • In 1934, the Daily News of New York claimed that the climate of New York City would become warm enough to support plants and animals of a tropical climate. Nearly 90 years later, this remains untrue.[46]
  • In 1934, the Vancouver Sun stated that the climate of British Columbia had been getting milder since the 1880s.[47] In 1968, Vancouver's temperature reached a low of -18.3 C (-0.9 F), the lowest ever recorded temperature in the city.[48]
  • In 1939, the Paducah Sun-Democrat predicted that the entire world would experience warming climates, in one instance citing the "hottest temperature ever recorded" being that of Tripolitania, Libya, being recorded only 17 years prior at a temperature of 136.4 degrees.[49] Modern scientists now consider the readings inaccurate, as it is most likely that the temperature was never observed in the presence of an actual human, and the temperature being so improbable so close to a body of water (the Mediterranean Sea).[50]
  • In 1940, The Knoxville News-Sentinel suggested that the idea than sunspots were not a good theory for a warming climate, and did not even discuss the topic of human activity. In its place, the paper suggests that volcanoes are the likely culprit for global warming. Despite the fact that scientists already know that volcanic eruptions can cause drops in temperature, there is a stark lack of modern volcanic eruptions to correspond with modern day climate claims.[51]
  • In 1989, the St. Louis Dispatch claimed that by the year 2004, New York would have the climate of Florida.[52]
  • In 1990, the Tribune claimed that there would be reverse migration away from the Sun Belt as climate change makes the climate uninhabitable.[53] Record migration to Florida in the 2020s contradicts this statment.[54]
  • In 1990, during a PBS documentary, actress Meryl Streep stated that by the year 2000, Earth would be the hottest it had been in over 100,000 years.[55]

Snow decline

  • In 1868, English newspapers noted a stark lack of long-continued frosts compared to the late 18th and early 19th centuries.[56] Nearly 100 years later, in 1962 (which should've possessed an extra-mild winter compared to the standards of these journalists), saw one of the harshest winters in English history, which included snowdrifts over 20 feet dee and temperatures in Scotland below -20 degrees Celcius. Additionally, the river Thames froze over in Oxford, being sold cold that one car drove over it.[57]
  • In 1879, The Times of London disproved the notion that Christmases were getting warmer than they used to be by citing the fact that no meteorological evidence gave way to the notion of a warming winter.[58] Records show that Christmases have remained pretty cold in London, with an average temperature ranging from 30s to 40s Fahrenheit, and that there have actually be 16 white Christmases since the publication of the article. Although the year 1840 in London held a much colder Christmas than usual (about 18 Fahrenheit), the following years' average lows are pretty regularly met in modern times.[59]
  • In 1878, the Brooklyn Daily Eagle claimed that American winters were becoming much milder than in the past.[60] Despite this, all of the 6 coldest cold snaps in American history occurred after the article was written.[61]
  • In 1890, climatologists in Philadelphia claimed that winters were getting apparently warmer with each passing year, shown in a decline in purchases of ice skates.[62] Despite this, in the past 100 years, yearly low temperatures from the 1920s in Philadelphia are regularly met with each passing year in modern times.[63]
  • In 2000, climatologist David Viner stated that snowfall could become a thing of the past.[64][65]
  • In 2000, Mojib Latif of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology says that “Winters with strong frost and lots of snow like we had 20 years ago will cease to exist at our latitudes.”[66]
  • In 2000, The New York Times theorized that snow would become a rare occurrence in the state of New York.[67]
  • In 2004, Dr. Jeremy Williams predicts that a white Christmas in Wales (Snowdon) could soon be a "thing of the past".[68]Snowdon in Wales temporarily closed in 2013 after being hit with massive amounts of snowfall.[69]
  • In 2004, the Guardian predicted the end of the Scottish skiing industry.[70] In winter of 2012, Scottish skiing slopes opened early due to more snow coverage.[71]
  • In 2004, Greenpeace predicted that snow in Belgium would become "increasingly rare".[72] In 2020, World Wanderista reported that the High Fens mountains in the country experienced an average of 43 days of snow a year.[73]
  • In 2008, the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology predicts that Europe would see snowless winters by 2021.[74]
  • In 2019, the Reno Gazette-Journal was fearmongering about rising temperatures in Lake Tahoe due to manmade global warming.[75] Luckily for them, this should not be a concern, because in the winter season of 2022-2023, the region saw a whopping 52 feet of snowfall.[76]

Season shifting/Hurricane & tornado season

  • In 1793, the Maryland Gazette reported that a changing climate was causing April to become less and less windy each year.[77] Modern environmental reports still show that April is the windiest month across the United States.[78]
  • In 1878, San Francisco meteorologists were freaking out about the shifting of rain seasons.[79] In spite of this, general precipitation trends have remained relatively consistent in both monthly proportion and yearly variation.[80]
  • In 1879, The Republic of Indiana issued a response to another climate change piece that had been publicized in newspapers, discussing anecdotal evidence that the climate is shifting for the worse. One evidence they cite is that sugar trees were no longer in full bloom by the first week of April.[81] Fortunately, this has not changed, despite their claims. Sugar trees across the midwest still bloom between late March to mid-May.[82]
  • In 1880, newspapers claimed that manmade activity has contributed to the development of tornadoes in Kansas.[83] This notion is heavily misguided, as tornadoes have been a large part of Kansan geography since before European settlement, with the first Kansan tornado documented by settlers in the 17th century.[84]
  • In 1941, Stanford University predicted that the Humboldt current would cause Pacific hurricanes to shift 10 degrees south of where they used to be, generally around Acapulco in Mexico.[85] Far from the case, the 2020 Pacific hurricane season still hit around the middle of Mexico.[86] If anything, major storms are travelling further north, as Hurricane Hillary, a Category 4 storm, hit Southern California in August of 2023, making landfall north of Mexico.[87]
  • In 1997, the BBC predicted that the El Nino cycle would last for 18 years of warmth, rather than 18 months.[88]
  • In 2006, the Guardian predicts massive season shifting as a result of climate change.[89]
  • In 2006, The Ledger predicted 'super hurricanes' could become a thing.[90]
  • In 2012, the Washington Post predicts that cherry blossom trees will be blooming in Washington D.C. by wintertime.[91]
  • In 2022, President Biden warned of a "tough" hurricane season in the coming summer.[92] Later, reports came out declaring that August may not see any tropical storms for only the 3rd time in 60 years.[93] This contradicts mainstream narratives that climate change hastens the creation and increases the severity of hurricanes.[94]


  • In 1825, forecasters predicted decrease in the flow of the Susquehanna River causing a lack of water access, due ot the river's sources staying frozen over too long.[95] In 2023, climate scientists have pivoted, describing the river as "flood-prone" and stating that climate change poses a risk in terms of temperature increases, rather than decreases.[96]
  • In 1936, the at-the-time Secretary of Agriculture, Henry A Wallace, claimed that the United States would be affected by climate change in a way where droughts would be "a frequent occurrence from year to year."[97] From 2010 to 2022, the only severe droughts occurring in the United States were those in California, a state already known for mismanagement of forests and wildfires.[98]
  • In 1944, the Rutland Daily Herald expressed concern that Vermont's summer climate was unusually dry, and that it may indicate signs of climate change and a drying world.[99] Local Vermont news reports in 2023 showed that the state then experienced the most intense summer rainfall on record that year.[100]
  • In 1988, NASA scientists warn of mass droughts in the 1990s.[101]
  • In 1990, IPCC author Michael Oppenheimer predicted that the North American continent would be overwhelmed by famine and crop failures by 1995.[102]
  • In 1990, the Denver Post predicted that the Great Plains would turn into desert.[103] A 2019 survey found that 91% of the Great Plains were ranches and agriculturally productive land.[104]


  • In 1880, a writer for the British magazine Nature suggested that by the year 1900, all animal life would cease to exist as a result of pollution from burning coal.[105] It has been more than 120 years since the deadline for that prediction, and animal life has ceased to cease.
  • In 1969, the New York Times publishes "Everyone Will Disappear In a Cloud Of Blue Steam By 1989".[106] As of 2023, the human race has yet to disappear in a cloud of blue steam.
  • In 1970, Life magazine predicted that all urban city dwellers would need to wear gas masks in order to survive in an air polluted climate by the year 1980, and that sunlight would only penetrate half as hard as it did due to particles in the air.[107]
  • In 1970, biochemist George Wald claimed that pollution, among other things, would bring the demise of civilization by the year 2000.[108]
  • In 1970, the New York Times said that man must conserve resources to "save the [human] race from intolerable deterioration and possible extinction".[109]
  • In 1970, Kenneth Watt stated that it would only be a "matter of time" before nitrogen buildup would block all light and all agricultural land would become unusable.[110]
  • In 1980, acid rain is called a "front page concern" over the possible mass extinction events involving aquatic life.[111]


  • In 1867, the Michigan state legislature considered passing laws to promote forestation, as they believed that deforestation was causing more severe winters.[112] This is contradictory to modern climate theory, which states that a lack of trees are causing carbon emissions to go unabsorbed, causing warmer winters.
  • In 1876, worries came of droughts in Massachusetts as a result of deforestation and other manmade activities.[113] Modern climate scientists are now going in the other direction, claiming that Massachusetts will see more precipitation as a result of human activity.[114] It is becoming more evident that perhaps the issue is not with humans, but that sometimes climates vary.
  • In 1877, Nevada newspapers claimed that the Sierra National Forest was going to disappear due to logging practices, and would drastically affect climate in California.[115] Although later subdivided, the current forest is still over 1.3 million acres in size.

Global cooling

  • In 1834, French scientists M. François Arago stated that compared to 1553, French summers had been getting colder, leading to issues growing grapes in the department of Mâcon for wine.[116] In modern times, the department sees average yearly highs around 80 degrees Fahrenheit, and prior to the French heat waves, had experienced a maximum high of 103 degrees.[117]
  • In 1845, climate forecaster "Dr. Sherwood" made the claim that climate changes every 666 years, and that at the current time, America was on track to get milder temperatures, and Europe was on track to become colder overall.[118] Nowadays, modern climate scientists attempt to convince us otherwise, saying that the entire world is consistently getting warmer.
  • In 1873, a few newspapers printed stories on a study noting that winters in the Gulf were becoming more and more severe.[119] Not only did this story fall flat in its predictions and concerns, this is in contrast to modern day climate alarmists, who voice that Florida and Louisiana will be underwater within 20 years.
  • In 1877, The Washington Standard reported that in Siberia, winters were getting colder and summers were getting warmer.[120] In the past 20 years, the region has seen a very reasonable average daytime temperature ranging from -27 Celcius to 25 Celcius throughout the year (-16 to 77 degrees Fahrenheit).[121] 2023 also saw the coldest winter in Russia in the past 20 years (record low of nearly -80 degrees), and close to the coldest in history. Climate activists claim that this is "in spite" of climate changing, despite the constant alarms that winter is disappearing due to greenhouse gas emissions.[122] If global warming is true, surely it should prevent record low tempuratures from being achieved?
  • In 1883, some San Francisco residents and officials spread the perception that San Francisco was becoming colder with the passing of time.[123] Historical data shows that the average temperature of San Francisco has not changed one bit in the past 100 years.[124]
  • In 1970, Kenneth Watts stated that by the year 2000, the globe will have cooled by 11 degrees.[125]
  • In 1971, Dr. S. Ichtiaque Rasool predicted that the earth would enter into a new ice age within the coming decades.[126]
  • The Brown University Department of Geological Sciences predicted an ice age by 2070, which contrasts to new claims of heating crises by modern climate alarmists.citation needed
  • In 1975, Newsweek ran an article called "Cooling World", predicting that the climate was cooling at such a fast rate that there would be mass famine. Newsweek later retracted the claim in 2014.[127]
  • In addition to that, the "Population Bomb" by Paul Ehrlich claimed that 65 million Americans would starve to death in the 1980s.[128]
  • In 2004, the Guardian leaked a Bush intelligence document that predicted that Great Britain would be plunged into a Siberian-like climate by 2020.[129]


  • An odd example, in 1930, Smithsonian paleontologist James A. Gidley claimed that dinosaurs slowly became extinct over the course of "several million years" due to climate change.[130] Even today, Old Earth scientists refute this claim.
  • In 1936, The Great Falls Tribune warned of the destruction of the American agricultural industry due to eroding soil.[131] The Salt Lake Telegram made similar claims in the same year, saying, "our nation itself – may pass away because of the improper use of the soil".[132] As of 2022, The US is still one of the top 4 largest producers of food in the world.[133]
  • In 1969, Paul Ehrlich claimed that “Most of the people who are going to die in the greatest cataclysm in the history of man have already been born." [134]
  • In 1970, biologist at Washington University Barry Commoner said “We are in an environmental crisis which threatens the survival of this nation, and of the world as a suitable place of human habitation.”[135]
  • In 1970, the founder of Earth Day, Denis Hayes, said that "it is already too late to prevent mass starvation".[136]
  • In 2005, the United Nations Environmental Programme predicted that there would be 50 million climate refugees by 2010.[137]
  • In 2009, Prince Charles predicted that humanity had 96 months (8 years) to save the world from severe ecological damage.[138]

See also


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