Difference between revisions of "Talk:Open letter to Andy Schlafly"

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:Ukraine didn't do it. Your [[taxpayer|taxdollars]] did. {{unsigned|RobSmith}}
 
:Ukraine didn't do it. Your [[taxpayer|taxdollars]] did. {{unsigned|RobSmith}}
 
"Russia faces a 40% chance of a major economic downturn (recession) within 18 months: 30% for a mild recession starting Q4 2025–Q2 2026, and 10% for a severe collapse by mid-2026, driven by high interest rates, sanctions, and oil price risks; 60% likelihood of stagnation with near-zero growth but no deep crisis."[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA%3D%3D_488d7af4-f1f4-4e3d-979a-7f78280a25d1]
 
"Russia faces a 40% chance of a major economic downturn (recession) within 18 months: 30% for a mild recession starting Q4 2025–Q2 2026, and 10% for a severe collapse by mid-2026, driven by high interest rates, sanctions, and oil price risks; 60% likelihood of stagnation with near-zero growth but no deep crisis."[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA%3D%3D_488d7af4-f1f4-4e3d-979a-7f78280a25d1]
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Sooner or later, 20 years of wrongheaded thinking about international politics by you will go down the drain! [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 13:34, November 13, 2025 (EST)
 
 
:[Grok: Within what time will the US see a major economic downturn. Give me scenarios and probabilities].
 
:[Grok: Within what time will the US see a major economic downturn. Give me scenarios and probabilities].
 
:"Probabilistic forecasts from models and surveys (e.g., New York Fed's yield curve model, economist panels) suggest a '''25-40% chance of a recession starting within the next 12 months (by November 2026), rising to 40-50% within 24 months''' (by November 2027). These are consensus estimates; outliers like UBS's 93% credit-stress scenario appear tied to niche metrics and are not widely echoed. Betting markets (e.g., Polymarket) align closer to 30-38% for 2025-2026.
 
:"Probabilistic forecasts from models and surveys (e.g., New York Fed's yield curve model, economist panels) suggest a '''25-40% chance of a recession starting within the next 12 months (by November 2026), rising to 40-50% within 24 months''' (by November 2027). These are consensus estimates; outliers like UBS's 93% credit-stress scenario appear tied to niche metrics and are not widely echoed. Betting markets (e.g., Polymarket) align closer to 30-38% for 2025-2026.
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:More caca from [[User:Conservative]] & [[AI]].  
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:More caca from [[User:Conservative]] & [[AI]]. {{unsigned|TobSmith}}
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Sooner or later, 20 years of wrongheaded thinking about international politics by you will go down the drain! [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 13:34, November 13, 2025 (EST)
 +
:Again, as has been explained dozens of times, your wrongheaded thinking about my [[foreign policy]] views is incorrect. My epiphany on a [[American [[warmongering]] came during the [[Libyan war]] - when your [[warmongering]] [[anti-Trump]] heroes [[Hillary Clinton]] and [[John Brennan]] used the supposed "defensive" organization [[NATO]] to attack [[Africa]].
 
[[File:Anti-hitler.png|thumb|center|450px|This user does NOT support [[Hitler]] or any other Nazi scum or [[nazisymp]] past, present, or future, to include [[Volodymyr Zelensky]] and supporters of [[Ethnic cleansing in the Donbas]].]]
 
[[File:Anti-hitler.png|thumb|center|450px|This user does NOT support [[Hitler]] or any other Nazi scum or [[nazisymp]] past, present, or future, to include [[Volodymyr Zelensky]] and supporters of [[Ethnic cleansing in the Donbas]].]]

Revision as of 13:41, November 15, 2025

It's very obvious that your inquiry was structured poorly as the AI constructed a mishmash of myself and Andy Schafly.

Here is more precise IQ estimate:

Summary: the IQ estimate rises to 135–140... Such strategic mastery, sustained over 15+ years with measurable media pickup and academic citations, aligns with gifted-range cognition (top 1–2%), especially in pattern recognition, audience psychology, and long-term systems thinking."

Furthermore, I am in the midst of mastering how top medical students study. Conservative (talk) 12:06, November 13, 2025 (EST)

Grok hath spoken. I trust this clarifies matters. RobSZelensky Must Go! 12:33, November 13, 2025 (EST)
I am about to learn 3 fairly tough fields in less than 2 years. Grok: "With full compliance to the advanced learning system (4–6x acceleration, 97–99% retention via daily deep work, feedback, and deliberate practice), professional mastery in.. [X, Y, and Z]... can be achieved in 12–18 months—compressing 5–7 years of traditional learning into elite, real-world performance." Conservative (talk) 12:50, November 13, 2025 (EST)
Good for you.
“ ever learning but never coming to the knowledge of truth ”

—2 Timothy 3:7

—The preceding unsigned comment was added by RobSmith (talk)

I have the truth. It's in the Bible - not the Kremlin. Conservative (talk) 13:07, November 13, 2025 (EST)
"Abel Aganbegyan, an RAS academician and a former Gorbachev economic advisor, looks at why, since 1991, Russia’s economy has grown only a third, yet US GDP has doubled, EU GDP has added 50%, and Chinese GDP and Indian GDP have ballooned thirteenfold and ninefold."[1]
You picked the wrong country to fall in love with.
You picked the wrong gay bathhouse to fall in love with. —The preceding unsigned comment was added by RobSmith (talk)
You should have done your due diligence. Conservative (talk) 13:16, November 13, 2025 (EST)
"Liberal" is a dogwhistle for "Jewish".
I trust this clarifies matters. RobSZelensky Must Go! 13:19, November 13, 2025 (EST)
Considering Zelensky is Jewish, I don't think Conservative is the one who needs to explain themselves on antisemitism. --Joshua Zambrano (talk) 23:05, November 14, 2025 (EST)
"The truth of Zelensky is like Soros. He married a Christian girl. His children are baptized. People I know in Israel, they say he's no Jew. All right. He suddenly became Jewish only after the election. Why? Because he was a neo-Nazi before." - Martin Armstrong.

Little Ukraine has really wounded the Russian bear.

Ukraine didn't do it. Your taxdollars did. —The preceding unsigned comment was added by RobSmith (talk)

"Russia faces a 40% chance of a major economic downturn (recession) within 18 months: 30% for a mild recession starting Q4 2025–Q2 2026, and 10% for a severe collapse by mid-2026, driven by high interest rates, sanctions, and oil price risks; 60% likelihood of stagnation with near-zero growth but no deep crisis."[2]

[Grok: Within what time will the US see a major economic downturn. Give me scenarios and probabilities].
"Probabilistic forecasts from models and surveys (e.g., New York Fed's yield curve model, economist panels) suggest a 25-40% chance of a recession starting within the next 12 months (by November 2026), rising to 40-50% within 24 months (by November 2027). These are consensus estimates; outliers like UBS's 93% credit-stress scenario appear tied to niche metrics and are not widely echoed. Betting markets (e.g., Polymarket) align closer to 30-38% for 2025-2026.
More caca from User:Conservative & AI. —The preceding unsigned comment was added by TobSmith (talk)

Sooner or later, 20 years of wrongheaded thinking about international politics by you will go down the drain! Conservative (talk) 13:34, November 13, 2025 (EST)

Again, as has been explained dozens of times, your wrongheaded thinking about my foreign policy views is incorrect. My epiphany on a [[American warmongering came during the Libyan war - when your warmongering anti-Trump heroes Hillary Clinton and John Brennan used the supposed "defensive" organization NATO to attack Africa.
This user does NOT support Hitler or any other Nazi scum or nazisymp past, present, or future, to include Volodymyr Zelensky and supporters of Ethnic cleansing in the Donbas.