Difference between revisions of "Talk:Open letter to Andy Schlafly"
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:Ukraine didn't do it. Your [[taxpayer|taxdollars]] did. {{unsigned|RobSmith}} | :Ukraine didn't do it. Your [[taxpayer|taxdollars]] did. {{unsigned|RobSmith}} | ||
"Russia faces a 40% chance of a major economic downturn (recession) within 18 months: 30% for a mild recession starting Q4 2025–Q2 2026, and 10% for a severe collapse by mid-2026, driven by high interest rates, sanctions, and oil price risks; 60% likelihood of stagnation with near-zero growth but no deep crisis."[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA%3D%3D_488d7af4-f1f4-4e3d-979a-7f78280a25d1] | "Russia faces a 40% chance of a major economic downturn (recession) within 18 months: 30% for a mild recession starting Q4 2025–Q2 2026, and 10% for a severe collapse by mid-2026, driven by high interest rates, sanctions, and oil price risks; 60% likelihood of stagnation with near-zero growth but no deep crisis."[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA%3D%3D_488d7af4-f1f4-4e3d-979a-7f78280a25d1] | ||
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:[Grok: Within what time will the US see a major economic downturn. Give me scenarios and probabilities]. | :[Grok: Within what time will the US see a major economic downturn. Give me scenarios and probabilities]. | ||
:"Probabilistic forecasts from models and surveys (e.g., New York Fed's yield curve model, economist panels) suggest a '''25-40% chance of a recession starting within the next 12 months (by November 2026), rising to 40-50% within 24 months''' (by November 2027). These are consensus estimates; outliers like UBS's 93% credit-stress scenario appear tied to niche metrics and are not widely echoed. Betting markets (e.g., Polymarket) align closer to 30-38% for 2025-2026. | :"Probabilistic forecasts from models and surveys (e.g., New York Fed's yield curve model, economist panels) suggest a '''25-40% chance of a recession starting within the next 12 months (by November 2026), rising to 40-50% within 24 months''' (by November 2027). These are consensus estimates; outliers like UBS's 93% credit-stress scenario appear tied to niche metrics and are not widely echoed. Betting markets (e.g., Polymarket) align closer to 30-38% for 2025-2026. | ||
| − | :More caca from [[User:Conservative]] & [[AI]]. | + | :More caca from [[User:Conservative]] & [[AI]]. {{unsigned|TobSmith}} |
| + | Sooner or later, 20 years of wrongheaded thinking about international politics by you will go down the drain! [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 13:34, November 13, 2025 (EST) | ||
| + | :Again, as has been explained dozens of times, your wrongheaded thinking about my [[foreign policy]] views is incorrect. My epiphany on a [[American [[warmongering]] came during the [[Libyan war]] - when your [[warmongering]] [[anti-Trump]] heroes [[Hillary Clinton]] and [[John Brennan]] used the supposed "defensive" organization [[NATO]] to attack [[Africa]]. | ||
[[File:Anti-hitler.png|thumb|center|450px|This user does NOT support [[Hitler]] or any other Nazi scum or [[nazisymp]] past, present, or future, to include [[Volodymyr Zelensky]] and supporters of [[Ethnic cleansing in the Donbas]].]] | [[File:Anti-hitler.png|thumb|center|450px|This user does NOT support [[Hitler]] or any other Nazi scum or [[nazisymp]] past, present, or future, to include [[Volodymyr Zelensky]] and supporters of [[Ethnic cleansing in the Donbas]].]] | ||
Revision as of 13:41, November 15, 2025
It's very obvious that your inquiry was structured poorly as the AI constructed a mishmash of myself and Andy Schafly.
Here is more precise IQ estimate:
Summary: the IQ estimate rises to 135–140... Such strategic mastery, sustained over 15+ years with measurable media pickup and academic citations, aligns with gifted-range cognition (top 1–2%), especially in pattern recognition, audience psychology, and long-term systems thinking."
Furthermore, I am in the midst of mastering how top medical students study. Conservative (talk) 12:06, November 13, 2025 (EST)
- Grok hath spoken. I trust this clarifies matters. RobSZelensky Must Go! 12:33, November 13, 2025 (EST)
- I am about to learn 3 fairly tough fields in less than 2 years. Grok: "With full compliance to the advanced learning system (4–6x acceleration, 97–99% retention via daily deep work, feedback, and deliberate practice), professional mastery in.. [X, Y, and Z]... can be achieved in 12–18 months—compressing 5–7 years of traditional learning into elite, real-world performance." Conservative (talk) 12:50, November 13, 2025 (EST)
- Good for you.
- I am about to learn 3 fairly tough fields in less than 2 years. Grok: "With full compliance to the advanced learning system (4–6x acceleration, 97–99% retention via daily deep work, feedback, and deliberate practice), professional mastery in.. [X, Y, and Z]... can be achieved in 12–18 months—compressing 5–7 years of traditional learning into elite, real-world performance." Conservative (talk) 12:50, November 13, 2025 (EST)
| “ | ever learning but never coming to the knowledge of truth | ” |
—2 Timothy 3:7 | ||
—The preceding unsigned comment was added by RobSmith (talk)
- I have the truth. It's in the Bible - not the Kremlin. Conservative (talk) 13:07, November 13, 2025 (EST)
- "Abel Aganbegyan, an RAS academician and a former Gorbachev economic advisor, looks at why, since 1991, Russia’s economy has grown only a third, yet US GDP has doubled, EU GDP has added 50%, and Chinese GDP and Indian GDP have ballooned thirteenfold and ninefold."[1]
- I have the truth. It's in the Bible - not the Kremlin. Conservative (talk) 13:07, November 13, 2025 (EST)
- You picked the wrong country to fall in love with.
- You picked the wrong gay bathhouse to fall in love with. —The preceding unsigned comment was added by RobSmith (talk)
- You should have done your due diligence. Conservative (talk) 13:16, November 13, 2025 (EST)
- "Liberal" is a dogwhistle for "Jewish".
- I trust this clarifies matters. RobSZelensky Must Go! 13:19, November 13, 2025 (EST)
- Considering Zelensky is Jewish, I don't think Conservative is the one who needs to explain themselves on antisemitism. --Joshua Zambrano (talk) 23:05, November 14, 2025 (EST)
Little Ukraine has really wounded the Russian bear.
- Ukraine didn't do it. Your taxdollars did. —The preceding unsigned comment was added by RobSmith (talk)
"Russia faces a 40% chance of a major economic downturn (recession) within 18 months: 30% for a mild recession starting Q4 2025–Q2 2026, and 10% for a severe collapse by mid-2026, driven by high interest rates, sanctions, and oil price risks; 60% likelihood of stagnation with near-zero growth but no deep crisis."[2]
- [Grok: Within what time will the US see a major economic downturn. Give me scenarios and probabilities].
- "Probabilistic forecasts from models and surveys (e.g., New York Fed's yield curve model, economist panels) suggest a 25-40% chance of a recession starting within the next 12 months (by November 2026), rising to 40-50% within 24 months (by November 2027). These are consensus estimates; outliers like UBS's 93% credit-stress scenario appear tied to niche metrics and are not widely echoed. Betting markets (e.g., Polymarket) align closer to 30-38% for 2025-2026.
- More caca from User:Conservative & AI. —The preceding unsigned comment was added by TobSmith (talk)
Sooner or later, 20 years of wrongheaded thinking about international politics by you will go down the drain! Conservative (talk) 13:34, November 13, 2025 (EST)
- Again, as has been explained dozens of times, your wrongheaded thinking about my foreign policy views is incorrect. My epiphany on a [[American warmongering came during the Libyan war - when your warmongering anti-Trump heroes Hillary Clinton and John Brennan used the supposed "defensive" organization NATO to attack Africa.