Conservapedia:Unofficial 2020 presidential election predictions

With the 2020 U.S. presidential election approaching, this project page is a list of state by state predictions made by Conservapedia editors to provide a helpful insight on the background of the overall election. Projections are made by analyzing the best and latest available polls in each state, as well as a host of non-numerical factors.

2016 Election Results

State	Hilary 2016	Electoral Votes	Trump 2016	Electoral Votes
Alabama	72,947	0	1,318,255	9
Alaska	116,454	0	163,387	3
Arizona	1,161,167	0	1,252,401	11
Arkansas	380,494	0	684,872	6
California	8,753,788	55	4,483,810	0
Colorado	1,338,870	9	1,202,484	0
Connecticut	897,572	7	673,215	0
Delaware	235,603	3	185,127	0
Florida	4,504,975	0	4,617,886	29
Georgia	1,877,963	0	2,089,104	16
Hawaii	266,891	4	128,847	0
Idaho	189,765	0	409,055	4
Illinois	3,090,729	20	2,146,015	0
Indiana	1,033,126	0	1,557,286	11
Iowa	653,669	0	800,983	6
Kansas	427,005	0	671,018	6
Kentucky	628,854	0	1,202,971	8
Louisiana	780,154	0	1,178,638	8
Maine	715,326	3	671,154	1
Maryland	1,677,928	10	943,169	0
Massachusetts	1,995,196	11	1,090,893	0
Michigan	2,268,839	0	2,279,543	16
Minnesota	1,367,716	10	1,322,951	0
Mississippi	485131	0	700714	6
Missouri	1,071,068	0	1,594,511	10
Montana	177,709	0	279,240	3
Nebraska	568,940	0	991,808	5
Nevada	539,260	6	512,058	0
New Hampshire	348,526	4	345,790	0
New Jersey	2,148,278	14	1,601,933	0
New Mexico	385,234	5	319,667	0
New York	4,556,124	29	2,819,534	0
North Carolina	2,189,316	0	2,362,631	15
North Dakota	93,758	0	216,794	3
Ohio	2,394,164	0	2,841,005	18
Oklahoma	420,375	0	949,136	7
Oregon	1,002,106	7	782,403	0
Pennsylvania	2,926,441	0	2,970,733	20
Rhode Island	252,525	4	180,543	0
South Carolina	855,373	0	1,155,389	9
South Dakota	117,458	0	227,721	3
Tennessee	870,695	0	1,522,925	11
Texas	3,877,868	0	4,685,047	38
Utah	310,676	0	515,231	6
Vermont	178,573	3	95,369	0
Virginia	1,981,473	13	1,769,443	0
Washington	1,742,718	12	1,221,747	0
West Virginia	188,794	0	489,371	5
Wisconsin	1,382,536	0	1,405,284	10
Wyoming	55,973	0	174,419	3
Total	65,538,514	229	62,984,828	306

Statewide Projections

To estimate the likely distribution of electoral college votes this November, a first stage is gathering cumulative data on polling from which to draw inferences.

Alabama

College Votes at Stake: 9

Alabama looks set to be another comfortable win for President Trump. Two different polls show the President with a comfortable 20 point lead over Biden.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Mason-Dixon	2/11/20	625	38	58
WPA Intelligence	1/28/20	500	38	59

Alaska

College Votes at Stake: 3

Alaska was a Republican red state in the last election and all indications suggest it will be so again in 2020. A Zogby Analytics poll from July-August 2019 showed President Trump comfortably beating all candidates and beating Biden by 5. A more recent poll shows President Trump continues to lead Biden. And another shows a complete decimation.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Zogby Analytics	Jul-Aug 19	321	40	45
Public Policy Polling	Jul 2020	1081	45	48
Auburn University	Jul 2020	558	41	55

Arizona

College Votes at Stake: 11

Arizona looks set to be a tough race this time. A couple of polls show Trump closely behind Biden, but within the margin of error, in the state. A June 2020 poll shows President Trump pulling ahead, supporting Conservapedia's analysis of President Trump's powerful ground game within the State.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Gravis Marketing	06/27/20	527	45	49
Monmouth University	03/14/20	847	46	43
Public Policy Polling	03/02/20	666	48	47

In addition, the ground support for President Trump looks very good in Arizona: "“We have over two million voter contacts,” said Keith Schipper, the campaign’s regional communications director responsible for Nevada and Arizona. “Contrast that with Joe Biden, who just hired his first two staffers last week. They are parachuting in to try to build these relationships. Arizona voted for the president in 2016 and it’s going to go for him again in November.”

Arkansas

College Votes at Stake: 6

Arkansas will be a very comfortable victory for President Trump. Polls from February show President Trump sailing to victory with a lead of 22 points.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Progress Campaign Poll	02/27/20	643	36	58

California

College Votes at Stake: 55

California being one of the most liberal states in the union is a safe bet for the Democrats. Emerson Polling shows Biden leads Trump by 30 points, but only 54% of Californians expect Biden to be the next president. Enthusiasm for Trump is higher at 55% while sleepy Joe Biden has a low enthusiasm rate of 48% in California.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump	"Biden Expectation"
Emerson Polling	05/10/20	800	59	29	54

Colorado

College Votes at Stake: 9

Colorado has consistently polled in favor of Biden, but some of those polls were before the disclosures of Tara Reade that Biden sexually assaulted her had had their impact on voters. It remains to be seen if Biden's lead will decrease as a consequence of it in coming months.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Five Thirty Eight	05/06/20	600	55	36
Five Thirty Eight	05/05/20	380	53	35
Five Thirty Eight	02/19/20	485	46	43

Connecticut

Candidate Biden is favored to win in Connecticut. Polls show him in a commanding lead too distant to be merely coincidental or down to polling fraud.

College Votes at stake: 7

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Quinnipiac	05/06/20	945	56	33

Delaware

Candidate Biden is favored to win in Delaware. Polls show him in a commanding lead too distant to be merely coincidental or down to polling fraud.

College Votes at stake: 3

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Gonzalez Research	01/27/20	410	56	40

Florida

College Votes at stake: 29

President Trump has a very good chance to win again in Florida. Polls show President Trump roughly tied with Biden, but the President has a strong base of support in the State.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Trafalgar Group	07/03/20	1072	46	46

Georgia

College Votes at stake: 16

President Trump has a very good chance to win again in Georgia. There are polls that show President Trump ahead of Biden, and the President has a strong base of support in the State.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Target Smart	06/03/20	321	40	44

Hawaii

College Votes at stake: 4

Idaho

College Votes at stake: 4

Illinois

College Votes at stake: 20

Indiana

College Votes at stake: 11

President Trump has a very good chance to win again in Indiana. Polls show President Trump ahead by a very solid margin and coasting to victory.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Victoria Research	May 2020	894	39	49
Change Research	April 2020	1021	39	52

Iowa

College Votes at stake: 6

President Trump has a very good chance to win again in Iowa as well. Polls show President Trump ahead by a solid margin.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
GBAQ	July 2020	500	45	48
Public Policy Polling	May 2020	1221	46	48

Kansas

College Votes at stake: 6

President Trump has a very good chance to win again in Kansas. Polls show President Trump ahead by a solid margin and comfortably sailing to victory.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Civiqs	June 2020	699	40	52
Public Policy Polling	March 2020	1567	40	52

Kentucky

College Votes at stake: 8

President Trump has a very good chance to win again in Kentucky as well. Polls show President Trump far ahead and comfortably sailing to victory.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Civiqs	June 2020	898	37	57
RMG Research	May 2020	500	36	53

Louisiana

College Votes at stake: 8

President Trump has a good chance to win in Louisiana. Polls are unavailable, but the state was carried by Trump last time around and has remained red since 2000. It normally favors incumbent and therefore can be classified as safe R this time.

Maine

College Votes at stake: 4

Candidate Biden is favored to win in Maine. Polls show him in a commanding lead too distant to be merely coincidental or down to polling fraud.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Public Policy Polling	07/02/20	1022	53	42

Maryland

College Votes at stake: 10

Candidate Biden is favored to win in Maryland. Polls show him in a commanding lead too distant to be merely coincidental or down to polling fraud.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Gonzalez Research	07/02/20	810	59	35

Massachusetts

College Votes at Stake: 11

Massachusetts is a liberal blue state typically and was in the last election and all indications suggest it will be so again in 2020. An Emerson College poll showed Biden comfortably beating President Trump.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Emerson College	May 20	740	67	33

Michigan

College Votes at Stake: 16

Michigan is a top swing state typically and it was an extremely close call in the last election, with President Trump eking out a narrow victory by less than 0.5%. All indications are it will be a close race again in 2020. An Atlas Intel poll from March 2020 shows President Trump in a narrow lead.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Atlas Intel	Mar 20	1120	44	46

Minnesota

College Votes at Stake: 16

Minnesota is another swing state typically and was also a close call in the last election, with President Trump losing by a small margin less than 5%. All indications are it will be a close race again in 2020. A Mason Dixon poll from May 2020 shows President Trump behind Sleepy Joe Biden.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Mason Dixon	May 2020	800	49	44

Mississippi

College Votes at Stake: 6

Mississippi is a red state which President Trump comfortably won in 2016. All indications are that he will win it again by a comfortable margin.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Millsaps College	June 2020	568	41	50

Missouri

College Votes at Stake: 10

Missouri is a red state which President Trump comfortably won in 2016. All indications are that he will win it again by a comfortable margin.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Remington Research	June 2020	1152	43	51

Montana

College Votes at Stake: 3

Montana will be a very comfortable victory for President Trump. Polls show President Trump sailing to victory with a lead of 14 points.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Progress Campaign Poll	06/26/20	517	38	52

Nebraska

College Votes at Stake: 5

Turnout in the party primaries implies this state will vote for Trump by a large margin again this year, although the second congressional district may be close.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
DCCC Targeting	May 2020	448	52	41

Nevada

College Votes at Stake: 6

Nevada looks like it will swing to President Trump this time. Polls show President Trump has a slight lead in the state.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Emerson College	Nov 2019	1089	49	51

New Hampshire

College Votes at Stake: 4

New Hampshire looks like it will be won by President Trump this time. Polls show President Trump is ahead by a small margin in the state.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Emerson College	Feb 2020	576	44	46

North Carolina

College Votes at Stake: 15

North Carolina looks like it will be won by President Trump this time. Polls show President Trump is ahead by a small margin in the state.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Gravis Marketing	June 2020	631	43	46

North Dakota

College Votes at Stake: 3

North Dakota looks like it will be a very comfortable win by President Trump. Conservapedia predicts he will almost certainly carry the state.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
DFM Research	March 2020	400	38	55

New Jersey

It's a liberal blue state. Trump lost in 2016. Biden is ahead in most polls.

New Mexico

It's a liberal blue state. Trump lost in 2016. Biden is ahead in most polls.

New York

It's a liberal blue state. Trump lost in 2016. Biden is ahead in most polls.

Ohio

College Votes at Stake: 18

Ohians have high levels of enthusiasm for President Trump, at 70% vs just 39% for Biden, a factor that could be key in a landslide victory for the President. Trump's lead over Biden is much closer, at just 3 points, but the massive enthusiasm gap could have a huge impact e.g. on voter turnout, on election day, Nov. 3rd.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump	"Trump Expectation"
Emerson Polling	05/10/20	725	43	46	62

Oklahoma

College Votes at Stake: 7

Oklahoma is a red state which President Trump comfortably won in 2016. All indications are that he will win it again by a comfortable margin.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Amber Integrated	June 2020	500	36	55

Oregon

College Votes at Stake: 7

Oregon is a liberal blue state which President Trump lost in 2016. All indications so far are that Candidate Sleepy Joe Biden will win it this time.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Amber Integrated	June 2020	500	36	55

Pennsylvania

College Votes at Stake: 20

Pennsylvania is a swing state which President Trump managed to win in 2016. All indications are that he will win it again by a small margin.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Change Research	June 2020	579	46	50

Rhode Island

College Votes at Stake: 4

Rhode Island went to Hilary Clinton in 2016 and there are indications it will go to Candidate Biden this time around.

South Carolina

College Votes at Stake: 9

South Carolina is a red state which President Trump comfortably won in 2016. All indications are that he will win it again by a comfortable margin.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Civiqs	May 2020	591	42	52

South Dakota

College Votes at Stake: 3

South Dakota is a red state which President Trump bagged in 2016. President Trump should be able to eke out a victory again in the state.

Tennessee

College Votes at Stake: 11

President Trump repeatedly demonstrates a very solid ground game and massive support in Tennessee. Conservapedia predicts he will almost certainly carry the state.

Texas

College Votes at Stake: 38

Texans are very enthusiastic about Trump (67%) compared to Biden (40%), a factor that could prove decisive in the end. Trump's lead over Biden is much closer, at just 5 points, but the huge enthusiasm gap suggests Biden is just unable to click with voters in the way that President Trump clearly has.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump	"Trump Excitement (Enthusiasm)"
Emerson Polling	05/10/20	800	41	46	61

Utah

College Votes at Stake: 6

Utah is a red state which President Trump comfortably won in 2016. All indications are that he will win it again by a comfortable margin.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Y2 Analytics	May 2020	1078	38	48

Vermont

College Votes at Stake: 6

Vermont is a lib state which President Trump lost in 2016. All indications so far are that Candidate Joe Biden will win it this time.

Virginia

College Votes at Stake: 13

Virginia went to Hillary Clinton in 2016. It looks set to be a tossup in November.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Mason Dixon	Dec 2019	625	45	49

Washington

College Votes at Stake: 12

Washington is a liberal blue state typically and was in the last election and all indications suggest it will be so again in 2020. A Zogby Analytics poll from July-August 2019 showed Biden comfortably beating President Trump.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
Zogby Analytics	Jul-Aug 19	321	52	31

West Virginia

College Votes at Stake: 5

West Virginia will be a clean and comprehensive victory for President Trump. He has a massive, incredible lead in the polls.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
WPA Intelligence	Jan 2020	500	31	66

Wisconsin

College Votes at Stake: 10

Washington was a red state in the last election and there are indications suggest it will be so again in 2020. A recent poll shows President Trump maintaining a slight lead over Sleepy Joe Biden.

Source	Date	Sample	Biden	Trump
[1]	06/25/20	1021	45	46

Wyoming

College Votes at Stake: 5

President Trump looks set to win again in Wyoming as he did last time. It was a Republican red state in 2016 and there are indications it will be again. The incumbent, President Trump, is traditionally favored.

National projections

Stony Brook University's Professor Helmut Norpoth, who correctly predicted a Donald Trump victory in 2016 against mainstream media naysaying, estimates there is a 91% likelihood that President Trump will win again in November 2020: ""OK, the key to the November election is the primaries. And, the only primaries [are] already giving us a lot of information," he explained.

And, based on that, Donald Trump won them very easily in his party," Norpoth continued. "Joe Biden -- the likely nominee for the Democrats -- had a great deal of trouble holding it together. But, on balance, it's that stronger performance of primaries that gives Donald Trump the edge in November."

Conservapedia Projections

With the 2020 U.S. presidential election approaching, this project page is a list of predictions made by Conservapedia editors to provide a helpful insight on the background of the elections, taking into account key issues and factors.

State	Fake News Projections (average)	RCP ratings	Conservapedia Prediction
Alabama	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R
Alaska	Lean R	Likely R	Safe R
Arizona	Lean D	Tossup	Tilt R
Arkansas	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R
California	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D
Colorado	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D
Connecticut	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D
District of Columbia	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D
Delaware	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D
Florida	Lean D	Tossup	Lean R
Georgia	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R
Hawaii	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D
Idaho	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R
Illinois	Safe D	Likely D	Likely D
Indiana	Lean R	Lean R	Safe R
Iowa	Tilt D	Tossup	Lean R
Kansas	Lean R	Likely R	Safe R
Kentucky	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R
Louisiana	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R
Maine	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D
Maryland	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D
Massachusetts	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D
Michigan	Likely D	Tossup	Tossup
Minnesota	Likely D	Tossup	Tilt R
Mississippi	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R
Missouri	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R
Montana	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R
Nebraska	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R
Nevada	Likely D	Tossup	Tilt D
New Hampshire	Likely D	Lean D	Tilt D
New Jersey	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D
New Mexico	Safe D	Lean D	Likely D
New York	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D
North Carolina	Lean D	Tossup	Tilt R
North Dakota	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R
Ohio	Tilt D	Tossup	Lean R
Oklahoma	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R
Oregon	Safe D	Lean D	Lean D
Pennsylvania	Likely D	Tossup	Tossup
Rhode Island	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D
South Carolina	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R
South Dakota	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R
Tennessee	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R
Texas	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R
Utah	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R
Vermont	Safe D	Safe D	Safe D
Virginia	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D
Washington	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D
West Virginia	Likely R	Safe R	Safe R
Wisconsin	Likely D	Tossup	Tossup
Wyoming	Safe R	Safe R	Safe R

2020 Election Projections

State	Biden 2020	Electoral College Votes	Trump 2020	Electoral College Votes	Comment: Explanation/Reasoning
Alabama		0		9	Alabama is one of America's solidly Republican states.
Alaska		0		3	Alaska is a conservative state, although the media is trying to paint it as a "lean-likely R" state.
Arizona		0		11	Too close to call, as more data is needed for clear inference, especially with fake "polling" rampant. While generally considered a red state, Arizona has long elected RINO John McCain into office, given a coalition of neocons that especially play an important political role in Maricopa County. Currently somewhat of a tossup, Trump's chances of winning are similar to Martha McSally's in the latter's concurrent Senate special election. The state is currently being carpetbagged by common sense-lacking California liberals who move there and continue voting for Democrats that favor destructive policies. Awarded to President Trump on strength of ground support. However, Arizona has become more lighter red, to the point of shifting toward Democrats, despite the governors, the state legislature, state senators, state judges, and commissioners being Republican.
Arkansas		0		6	Trump will have a very comfortable victory there.
California		55		0	Biden, with a 25+ point lead, would secure his lead, giving Trump very little hope of winning the 55-electoral-vote state.
Colorado		9		0	Polls imply Biden has a double-digit lead in the state. At one point a solidly Republican state, Colorado has been trending purple, then blue, ever since the 2008 presidential election, although Trump lost by only just under 5% in the state in 2016.
Connecticut		7		0	A solid blue state; Biden has a commanding lead in the polls.
Delaware		3		0	Candidate Biden has a commanding lead in the polls, although some have noted that the state isn't as solidly blue as many expect.
Florida		0		29	President Trump won Florida in 2016 and still has strong support; the state is known for tending to favor incumbents, despite Republicans having a small lead, since Florida is tilting Republican.
Georgia		0		16	President Trump comfortably won in 2016, although Georgia is slightly trending blue. It is still very light red, or magenta, in terms of "political colours".
Hawaii		4		0	Hawaii is the 2nd most Democratic state; Biden will clearly win the state.
Idaho		0		4	Idaho is clearly Republican; since it is mostly rural.
Illinois		20		0	This state has a small GOP base, especially in the rural parts, but the Democrats come mostly from Chicago.
Indiana		0		11	Indiana is clearly Republican, mostly due to Mike Pence.
Iowa		0		6	Iowa is just leaning Republican; Biden may win if the GOP mismanages the state; so Democrats must do dirty tricks, and Republicans must make the state deeper red and secure their lead.
Kansas		0		6	Kansas is a deep red state which Trump will easily win in 2020.
Kentucky		0		8	Many fake polls show Mitch Mc Connell losing in the polls, but, however, Kentucky is a solidly red state in which both Trump and McConnell will win easily.
Louisiana		0		8	President Trump comfortably won in 2016 and the state has been red for 20 years.
Maine		4		0	Maine is a light-to-moderate blue state; Biden has a chance of win; although it is not over for Trump.
Maryland		10		0	Maryland is a very liberal state which Biden will very easily win.
Massachusetts		11		0	Massachusetts is so liberal that conservative commentators call the state "Liberal Massachusetts".
Michigan		16		0	Michigan is a competitive state which Trump won in 2016 and is defending in 2020; Biden got a clearer lead, and this state is slightly to clear blue, although some polls are faked by 6 points, so it may just be tilting-to-leaning Democrat. However, overall, it is "Lean Democrat".
Minnesota		0		10	Once a navy blue state, Minnesota has gotten lighter blue, and now Trump and Biden are tied in fake polls. Trump may possibly win the increasingly conservative state, despite the Democrats defending the state in 2020.
Mississippi		0		6	Trump doesn't have to worry in Mississippi, since is it safely Republican.
Missouri		0		10	Missouri was purple in 2008. It got more clearly red, and Republicans don't have to worry about this state.
Montana		0		3	Trump is ahead hugely in Montana, despite having a small Democrat base.
Nebraska		0		5	Nebraska is a deep red state that Trump is way ahead.
Nevada		0		6	Nevada is a very competitive state; Trump may win, if he does serious work.
New Hampshire		4		0	Former Vice President Biden is ahead in key polls. However, this state is light blue.
New Jersey		14		0	New Jersey is very liberal; Biden will easily win.
New Mexico		5		0	In 2000, New Mexico was solidly Republican. It got increasingly liberal, although the Republicans have a small-to-medium-sized base. New Mexico is lean to likely Democrat.
New York		29		0	Trump is losing badly in this liberal blue empire state, despite NY being his hometown.
North Carolina		0		15	North Carolina is a swing state, although some polls try to make the state look like leaning Democrat. However, it is tilting Republican, although any party can win.
North Dakota		0		3	North Dakota is a very deep red state, which Trump will easily win in 2020.
Ohio		0		18	Ohio is leaning Republican; Trump can expect to slightly-to-moderately win the state.
Oklahoma		0		7	A deep red state; Trump will win big.
Oregon		7		0	Oregon is expected to be won big, but not so big, for Joe Biden.
Pennsylvania		0		20	The battleground state is very competitive; Trump or Biden may win the state very closely; this state may decide the election.
Rhode Island		4		0	Biden will easily win this deep blue state.
South Carolina		0		9	South Carolina is leaning Republican; Trump will win by about 10 points.
South Dakota		0		3	A very deep red state; Trump will easily win the state.
Tennessee		0		11	Trump will win big in this safely red state.
Texas		0		38	Despite some Democrat gains, Texas is leaning-to-likely Republicans. Trump will win the state in 2020, even though the media is trying to make Texas look like a swing state.
Utah		0		6	This solidly red state will be won extremely easily by Donald Trump.
Vermont		3		0	Vermont, the third most liberal state, will be won easily by Joe Biden.
Virginia		0		13	Virginia is leaning-to-likely Biden; Trump made the state slightly more competitive.
Washington		12		0	A deep establishment blue state; Biden will easily win the state.
West Virginia		0		5	Trump will very easily, although not extremely easily, win the state.
Wisconsin		10		0	Polls show Biden is slightly ahead in this state.
Wyoming		0		3	Wyoming is the most Republican state; Trump will exceptionally easily win the state.
Total		249		289

See also

• Conservapedia:Unofficial 2020 Senate predictions