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Hi Liberal Tears. I saw the page: https://www.conservapedia.com/Conservapedia:Unofficial_2020_Senate_predictions. Let me know if you would like to collaborate on similar predictions for the presidential election - state by state, we can look at the best polls and simulate electoral college totals.

God Bless. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 15:03, 14 May 2020 (EDT)

That does sound like a great idea! Do you want to start the page for the presidential election predictions by state? --Liberaltears^{Your reminder that Biden committed quid pro joe} 15:14, 14 May 2020 (EDT)

I'd love to, LT. Though I'm not sure what would be the right title? Shall I call it, "Conservapedia:Unofficial 2020 Presidential election predictions"? NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 15:25, 14 May 2020 (EDT)

That's a great suggestion, and I would personally remove the capitalization for "Presidential". --Liberaltears^{Your reminder that Biden committed quid pro joe} 15:29, 14 May 2020 (EDT)

Also, since the presidential election is technically one election divided in 51 (fifty states plus DC), I would remove the "s" from "predictions". --Liberaltears^{Your reminder that Biden committed quid pro joe} 15:31, 14 May 2020 (EDT)

Great! It's done: https://www.conservapedia.com/Conservapedia:Unofficial_2020_presidential_election_predictions this is going to be an exciting project! I hope it's good to start off with. If we need to make any editions, and for future additions, I hope we can make it there. God Bless. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 15:35, 14 May 2020 (EDT)

Post your message below

Liberaltears, I set up your talk page in a way that will prevent vandalism to your talk page and I locked it.

You can see what I did at: User talk:Liberaltears.

If you didn't like what I did, you can get an admin to revert it.Conservative (talk) 22:33, 7 May 2020 (EDT)

Liberal Tears, I'm going to create a Table (first in Excel, then later, if it is good, we'll add it to the article) with Columns "State, Electoral college votes, 2016 result, 2016 popular vote tally, projected 2020 result, projected 2020 popular vote tally". Do you think that is workable? If you have an email id, I will share it with you on Excel when it is done. And if you like it, I will make the table here in the article. Thoughts? NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 15:45, 14 May 2020 (EDT)

Sorry for not responding earlier. So I'm not exactly sure about having it shared to me via Excel, do you think you can mention your thoughts on the project talk page? --Liberaltears^{Your reminder that Biden committed quid pro joe} 23:19, 14 May 2020 (EDT)

No worries. I'll post it there when it's done. God Bless NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 11:15, 15 May 2020 (EDT)

Alright. And God bless you too! --Liberaltears^{Just say no to quid pro joe! | Free Roger Stone!} 11:19, 15 May 2020 (EDT)

Hi. Can you take a look at the page? I got popular vote, electoral vote data for 2016 for all 50 states. I just filled in for 10 states. Do you want me to fill for the remaining forty? I believe the final tally was 307-230. So once 2016 is done, we'll do for 2020 similarly based on projections. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 13:53, 15 May 2020 (EDT)

I saw your edits, and they seem great! About the remaining forty, I may perhaps do some, as my focus is largely on the Senate elections. Unfortunately, I have some other problems at the moment, and it may be harder to do as much CP editing as I usually do as of right now. --Liberaltears^{Just say no to quid pro joe! | Free Roger Stone!} 14:02, 15 May 2020 (EDT)

Hey, thanks for the quick reply. Glad you like it; I can finish the 50, no problem, if that's cool with you. I have all the data on my computer. You can edit it afterward for any corrections. For the next 50, the 2020 predictions, when you're free next time, we can put our heads together. Based on the cumulative polling, we can arrive at the closest projections possible, drawn from the latest data. Thanks for all your efforts, I've seen many of the great articles you've authored or edited for Conservapedia. The election can be so close, you never know. A Presidential election may be won by a single state. Then think how glad we'll be on Nov. 3rd for all our efforts! Similarly a single seat more in the senate may give us the key vote necessary for very important legislation. Our liberal friends will weep, and we will laugh, when it comes to that! NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 14:14, 15 May 2020 (EDT)

Hi again LT. Have you any thoughts or data on how we can estimate likely numbers of the electorate in each state? Last time it was close to 140 Million, this time they say it'll be over 155 million nationwide. I'll finish filling in some of the college votes for states in some time. Since most are winner take all, that's relatively easier to project, at least in states where there is a clear majority. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 12:38, 16 May 2020 (EDT)

Unfortunately, I dunno much about estimating the hard numbers. I'm not entirely sure where to gather the data on voter registration, and I tend to focus more on the general likeliness of certain states to vote either Republican or Democrat based on the incumbent officeholders, their popularity, enthusiasm, etc, their opponent(s), as well as trends and polling. --Liberaltears^{Just say no to quid pro joe! | Free Roger Stone!} 13:43, 16 May 2020 (EDT)

No worries. I'm sure we'll get there in the end. We have 5 1/2 months to spur interest and hopefully have an impact on voter turnout. I think turnout will be key for Repbulicans this time. I'll be adding a bit more to the article from time to time. This is a liberal site, but it mentions the likely increase in turnout in 2020: https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2019/06/2020-election-voter-turnout-could-be-record-breaking/591607/ Some 10 million voters voted for a third party candidate who had no chance of winning. We should try to discourage that by emphasizing that that is foolish. If Trump wins anything like 80 million votes overall, I'm sure he will pull through successfully. Dems are worried many new voters will vote for him.

One possible method of proceeding would be seeing what polls were saying last election around this time. If they indicated roughly the same numbers we see now, and the ratio of voters in the state was e.g. 60% Trump, we can estimate it will be around the same. The net increase in voting population for each state will have to be factored in. Those are just some preliminary thoughts to proceed, we'll figure out the number-crunching as we go on. God bless. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 14:00, 16 May 2020 (EDT)

Hello again. Made three important changes thus far, on California, Texas and Ohio. Also computed provisional totals with Trump at 74 and Biden at 55 (California) with 7 states computed so far. Arizona is still uncertain, and is a toss-up as you mentioned in the comment. We'll get down to more exact predictions later on, combining everything from support, enthusiasm, expectation etc. Let's try to fill the easier states with clearer outcomes first. I'll be continuing and let you know if anything in particular comes up or I have any question. Hope you are well. God Bless. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 11:52, 17 May 2020 (EDT)

Hello Liberal Tears. Hope you are well. Been busy with other things for a while, but just updated the numbers for Oklahoma, not based on a poll, but based on the massive enthusiasm for the Trump Rally there. I think Trump will carry the state with great ease, especially in light of 2016 numbers. Also, I was thinking - it's estimated there will be a 10% increase in turnout overall in 2020, close to around 150 million votes overall. So, as a beginning strategy for estimating numbers in each and every state, do you think starting out with 10% increases on 2016 numbers for both candidates would be a good way to begin? If you agree, please let me know. I can do it on Excel and will copy it to Conservapedia after that. God Bless.

By way of example, if Trump got 1 million votes and Clinton 400 K in a state, we will project, if all else is same, Trump 1.1 M and Biden as 440 K. Progressive adjustments will be made to the number after that, in light of new data, if polling or enthusiasm etc suggsts it is required.NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 22:38, 17 June 2020 (EDT)

Good analysis, NishantXavier! In regards to your question about voter turnout, I suppose adding 10% is a good place to start, though I don't know too much about projecting such. To make good predictions on that, I would really attention to primary turnout numbers, as I've mentioned in an example here. By the way, can you also see if you can add any good analyses to this prediction page as well if you have time? While there are certain things I can catch up on right now, I don't exactly have the sufficient time to add major updates yet, and it may take two weeks before I finish up some annoying tasks I'm occupied with currently. Thanks! —Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 22:59, 17 June 2020 (EDT)

Hi again Liberal Tears. I changed the 1 million thing since it didn't materialize; it was a liberal prank. Anyway, analyzing the primaries is a great suggestion. Would you happen to have primary information in a readily accessible source? I will definitely take a look, and try to improve, the predictions for the Senate elections too when I have time. I'm closely following the Senate races and as we know they were very important for the Supreme Court. God Bless. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 00:31, 22 June 2020 (EDT)

For all primary election information this year, I recommend using this (browse to the bottom of the page for state by state), although I should note the only problem is that no hard number of votes are given for unopposed candidates. Also, about the Senate races, here are five quick "pop quiz"-style questions if you want to answer them for fun:

1. Which Democrat-held seat is nearly guaranteed to flip?
2. Why might John Hickenlooper lose the upcoming Democrat primary in vying to challenge Cory Gardner?
3. Why is Steve Daines' seat vulnerable despite running for re-election in a solid red state?
4. Who are the mainstream Democrats cheering on to challenge Mitch McConnell?
5. Should current polling with low sample sizes be absolutely trusted? (Hint: they were wrong in 2016)

—Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 00:59, 22 June 2020 (EDT)

Thanks, Liberal Tears. I've completed 13 States and plan to do about 2-3 states daily. So I should be finished in another 12-18 days if I keep up to that; maybe by the end of the month. The polls are a little tricky for some of the reasons you mention. I think rally size in the state and "enthusiasm" of voters recorded in the polls may be better gauges. For e.g. there is a huge enthusiasm gap between Trump and Biden in some states. Anyway, I plan to have delegates for all 50 states awarded based on projections by Aug 3 so we have 3 months to see how it pans out. Arriving at final numbers for each state will be a little more difficult; but I will begin with adding 10% and then use some of the suggestions you mentioned as well. We'll see how that goes. That should be done by next month end. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 11:30, 8 July 2020 (EDT)

Okay, thank you NishantXavier! —Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 12:23, 9 July 2020 (EDT)

Hello again Liberal Tears. Congratulations to you on all your hard work for Conservapedia, and for being promoted! You truly deserve it! I really pray for great things for Conservapedia in the years to come, that OUr Good Lord Jesus will use this Encyclopedia mightily for His Cause, to promote the Gospel and the Conservative worldview, throughout the world.

Anyway, just wanted to congratulate you, and to note that, since I also can now use the other time as well, I should be able to complete 5 states a day. So in about 5-6 days now (quite the increase from the 12-18 earlier!) I should be completing all 50 states, and then we can discuss further on the improvements you suggested and any change of delegates as well.

Hope all is well. In Jesus and Mary, Nishant Xavier. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 01:41, 10 July 2020 (EDT)

Thanks NishantXavier, and congratulations in regards to your promotion as well! —Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 01:45, 10 July 2020 (EDT)

Thanks, Liberal Tears! Btw, I completed 30 states! So it looks like we're ahead of schedule. I should be able to do 40 tomorrow, and complete it the day after that. So we were thinking of Aug 3rd, but now it'll be done by July 13th. That's good. I wanted to ask your opinion on the Arizona poll. It sounds like good news. Do you think it suggests President Trump has a solid ground game in the state? Poll: https://d2pggiv3o55wnc.cloudfront.net/oann/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Arizona-OANN-June-28-2020-v3.pdf NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 11:23, 11 July 2020 (EDT)

Hi NishantXavier, nice job on your work for the predictions! And thanks for reminding me about that Gravis/OANN poll, I'm thinking about potentially doing an essay on thoroughly analyzing it sometime. I've seen most of the data there, and I unfortunately have some high suspicions due to the low sample size, high margin of error at ±4.3%, and under-sampling of 2016 Hillary voters. However, I think there were several parts they probably got right; for one, the 2016 Gary Johnson voters may be more inclined to vote for Trump this year. Also, some interesting side notes:

• if Republicans are doing this well with Asian voters, then no wonder the Democrats are panicking and resorting to desperate race-baiting tactics amidst the CCP pandemic, such as whining over jokes like "kung flu"
• If McSally actually wins a majority of the black vote, it will become much harder for Kelly to win the general election
• unlike what liberals are spewing in mocking the poll simply because they see "OANN", the latter group only paid for it to be conducted by Gravis Marketing
• there is a chance that Sen. McSally may lose the Republican primary in early August because her opponent there is telling voters that she's somehow a swampy establishment "RINO"

—Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 11:51, 11 July 2020 (EDT)

Hi Liberal Tears, thanks for the feedback. As an Asian who has worked for American companies, I know many Indian-Americans who support Trump. "President Trump is incredibly grateful for the widespread support he has received from the people of India and from millions of Indian-Americans across the United States. https://www.wionews.com/world/donald-trump-is-grateful-for-indian-americans-support-white-house-309041 I think most Americans of whatever background are attracted by the proposition of Making America Great Again and not attracted by the opposition's policies.

I'm at 34 states now, hope to finish 40 by end of today. Can I ask, how is the Senate election predictions coming along? Are there 33 Senate seats up for election this year, if I recall right?

Also, another thing, I want to start a Project Page for Conservapedia's own "Project 100 Million" i.e. websites dedicated to winning 100 million souls for Christ over the next decade. Network 211, on which Conservapedia has reported, has one such plan. But we have had more page visits than they do! If they can do it, then we can and will too! NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 05:14, 12 July 2020 (EDT)

With 50 state results, and 33 Senate seats, let's aim to get at least 80% correct results! We'll then have some 65 entries for Conservapedia proven right! Will be difficult, as that is a high target, but it can be done. Let's get to work and be motivated to complete this, rejoicing on election day when the race is over, and the results turn out well by God's Grace. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 05:34, 12 July 2020 (EDT)

Hi NishantXavier, I unfortunately will not be able to get to any updates on the Senate/House elections until I get out of the way some tedious work I currently have to be occupied with in my life. I already got one rather annoying part done, and there are two parts left that I need to finish. That's why for now, I have mostly worked on some other topics throughout CP here and also went on talk pages somewhat too much. I know that there's obviously the Senate election in Colorado that I need to update since it's now after the primary, as well as primaries for House elections in many states. If you have the time right now, do you suppose you could add updates for the unofficial Senate predictions page here? It's fine if you don't, it's just that right now hasn't been the best time for me to get to those. Also, about the number of Senate elections, there are 33 normal elections and two special elections (one in Arizona and one in Georgia). Thank you and God Bless! —Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 11:35, 12 July 2020 (EDT)

Hi Liberal Tears. I've finished 46 out of 50 states. Trump is winning 325 to 188 XD. So that's awesome. I just have to complete a few others. 2 are liberal states. I'll complete them today or tomorrow. So we have ample time after that. I finished 4 or 5 of the Senate seats. Do you think we should try to predict the primary winner; I believe Susan Collins' opponent will be decided on 14th. For two others, I have. I'll have to think about this and decide whether to do so or not on this third later. Your thoughts are appreciated. Thanks and God Bless. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 00:24, 14 July 2020 (EDT)

So for Maine in the Democrat primary, the party establishment has hand-picked Sara Gideon, so she's most likely going to win by a large margin over the other candidates. When it comes to primaries for the Senate elections, it's important to remember that the two big ones to watch for are the ones for Alabama (which is tomorrow, and will decide whether Sessions or Tuberville is the nominee to face Doug Jones) and Arizona; for the latter, I made this relevant post here, which unforunately no one else responded to. Hope this helps, and God Bless! —Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 00:52, 14 July 2020 (EDT

Right, LT. One other thing. Can you tell me how to add a user box, "this user has more than 500 edits. I tried adding yours, but I think it automatically took the number 2500 instead of 500. Does every 500 have a different userbox or will the same suffice? NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 08:46, 14 July 2020 (EDT)

Sorry for not responding to this sooner. So with the way I used that userbox, you start with {{Userbox|. Then enter in the word for the color you want the left cell to be. So if you want a gray color like I did for the one on my user page, then add gray|, and you should now have {{Userbox|gray|. Next, specify the color you want for the right cell. Assuming that you want it to be white as I did for mine, it should now look like this: {{Userbox|gray|white|. Next, add in the text you want to appear on the left side, add another vertical bar (no space needed), and finally add in the text you want to appear on the right side. So it seems that you want your userbox to be {{Userbox|gray|white|500+|This user has made over 500 edits to [[Conservapedia]].}} Hope this helps NishantXavier! —Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 14:31, 15 July 2020 (EDT)

Thanks, Liberal Tears. I added it as 750. Thanks for your help on all this. I also saw the improvements to the Senate election predictions page. Looks great. I'm almost done with the presidential election, just some finishing touches remain. Then we can really get down to analyzing both the mainstream media projection and arrive at Conservapedia's own projection for each state in the presidential and senate election races. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 17:40, 15 July 2020 (EDT)

Alright, awesome! —Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 17:46, 15 July 2020 (EDT)

All 50 states done in presidential election! Please review and see if anything needs to be added. Senate elections are next. We should be done in 3 to 4 days for those as well. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 05:01, 16 July 2020 (EDT)

Alright, I just reviewed what you did for the presidential election predictions by state, and they seem great! I would note that Nevada and New Hampshire have a strong chance of favoring Trump this time around; Trump only barely lost New Hampshire in 2016, and with Republican Chris Sununu being the governor of the state and holding a high popularity there, that could potentially carry Trump over the finish line. —Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 10:43, 16 July 2020 (EDT)

Project 150 Million Souls for Christ the King in the next 10 to 15 years

Hi Liberal Tears. On Conservapedia, we now have a project: https://www.conservapedia.com/Conservapedia:150_Million_Souls_for_Christ_the_King dedicated to sharing our testimonies for Christ our King. We would like thousands of people to sign up on Conservapedia and share their testimony - it can be a brief testimony, however long or short; from a few sentences to several paragraphs - and it would be great if longstanding members could give their support to this project. Andy approved of the project and asked me to create the page, as I did. Could you help us? The Bible tells us the day is coming one day when every knee will bow and acknowledge Jesus as King. And Christ Our Lord also tells us that everyone who confesses Him before men, He Himself will confess before His Father in heaven, so that we will be saved, because Jesus our Advocate pleads for us. Kindly consider giving your testimony. Thank you. In Our Lord Jesus, Nishant X. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 07:20, 15 July 2020 (EDT)

Hi NishantXavier, I added my story here. —Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 12:23, 15 July 2020 (EDT)

THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR THIS!! Really, I'm so grateful to you, Liberal Tears, and I'm sure Our Lord Jesus is as well. May Our Good Lord amply and richly reward you for your courageous testimony for Him, with every abundant blessing in this life, and with life everlasting in the world to come in eternity. God Bless you. NishantXavier^{For Christ the King} 17:42, 15 July 2020 (EDT)

You're welcome, and God Bless! —Liberaltears^{May Dataclarifier be well!} 17:46, 15 July 2020 (EDT)

Thanks

Thanks for reverting the latest string of rubbish. I was again distracted, and slow on the draw. --DavidB4 ^(TALK) 17:53, 20 May 2020 (EDT)

Yep, no problem! I just went one by one, clicked on the "View history" for all the vandalized pages, found the revisions just prior to being vandalized by the troll, and simply published those. --Liberaltears^{Just say no to quid pro joe! | Free Roger Stone!} 18:10, 20 May 2020 (EDT)

Catholic vs. Protestant debates: I posted this material on User: NishantXavier and User: RobSmith's talk pages

Please read this material I posted on User: NishantXavier's and User: RobSmith's talk pages.

Please stop having debates on talk pages. Conservapedia has debate pages

Conservapedia has debate pages. For example, here is a debate page: Debate:Are alcohol, marijuana, and nicotine gateway drugs?.

What I see now is a whole bunch of repetitive and poorly organized material on talk pages dealing with Catholic vs. Protestant issues that is not bringing web traffic. This needs to stop. I stopped reading this repetive material and I am others have as well.

If you are going to have debates, for the sake of Conservapedia readers, have them on debate pages. Nobody wants to read poorly organized and repetitive material.

So please stop having debates on talk pages. Conservapedia has debate pages.

Thank you.Conservative (talk) 14:14, 18 July 2020 (EDT)

Addendum: Re: Catholic vs. Protestant debates on talk pages

I posted the below message to RobSmith and it refines my thinking on this matter.

RobSmith, I know you do your best to bring in web traffic which Conservapedians appreciate.

I have a small request.

Conservapedia has debate pages. For example, here is a debate page: Debate:Are alcohol, marijuana, and nicotine gateway drugs?.

Having a debate on a specific issue, would make the debate exchanges more organized and debates with debate titles on the page would be more organized.

I would also suggest setting up debate guidelines. Because right now the back and forth between the Protestants and Catholics is getting repetitive. And because it is on talk pages, it tends not to be very organized.

What I see now is a whole bunch of repetitive and poorly organized material on talk pages dealing with Catholic vs. Protestant issues that is not bringing web traffic.

If you are going to have debates, for the sake of Conservapedia readers, have them on debate pages. Conservative (talk) 14:23, 18 July 2020 (EDT)