Difference between revisions of "2014 Midterm Elections"
(add Nate Silver's forecast) |
(format, updates) |
||
| Line 7: | Line 7: | ||
===Democrat Incumbents=== | ===Democrat Incumbents=== | ||
| − | *[[ | + | *'''Alabama''' |
| − | *[[Mark | + | |
| − | *[[ | + | [[Jeff Sessions]] |
| − | *[[ | + | |
| − | *[[ | + | *'''Alaska''' |
| − | *[[ | + | |
| − | *[[ | + | [[Mark Begish]]: Three GOP candidates are running to challenge Begish: Lieutenant Governor Mead Treadwell, Iraq veteran [[Joe Miller]], and State Natural Resources Commissioner Dan Sullivan. April 5th polling, Treadwell (47) Begish (43) |
| − | *[[Tom Harkin]] | + | |
| − | + | *'''Arkansas''' | |
| − | + | ||
| − | *[[Carl Levin]] | + | [[Mark Pryor]]: Republican Rep. Tom Cotton is the challenger and April 5th polls show a dead heat (46) to (46). |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | *'''Colorado''' | |
| − | *[[ | + | |
| − | + | [[Mark Udall]]: Two-term GOP Rep. Cory Gardiner will challenge Udall. April 5th polling, Gardiner (40) Udall (42). | |
| − | *[[ | + | |
| − | + | *'''Delaware''' | |
| − | *[[Jeanne Shaheen]] | + | |
| − | *[[ | + | [[Chris Coons]] |
| − | *[[ | + | |
| − | *[[Mark Warner]] | + | *'''Hawaii''' |
| + | |||
| + | [[Brian Schatz]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Illinois''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Richard Durbin]]: GOP Jim Oberweis will face Durbin. The establishment has already conceded the race to Democrats. Fellow Illinois liberal Republican Mark Kirk endorses Democrat Dick Durbin. Jon Cornyn held a fundraiser in Illinois and wouldn't give Oberweis any support. <ref>[http://wakingamericaup.wordpress.com/tag/john-cornyn/ What Leadership Isn't, Waking America Up Blog]</ref> | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Iowa''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Tom Harkin]][1]: Democrat Rep. Mark Braley has declared. Conservative Republican Sam Clovis and former U.S. attorney Matt Whitaker has declared. The GOP establishment chooses liberal Republican Mark Jacobs. [[Sarah Palin]] and the Heritage Foundation have endorsed former Iraqi veteran and state Senator Joni Ernst. April 5th polling, Jacobs (38) Braley (41). | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Louisiana''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Mary Landrieu]]: The establishment [[GOP]] picks [[RINO]] Bill Cassidy for the nomination. The [[Senate Conservatives Fund]] picks Air Force Col. Rob Maness. <ref>[http://dailycaller.com/2013/11/08/maness-looks-to-shake-up-louisiana-senate-race/#ixzz2kD0wxeWf Maness looks to shake up Louisiana Senate race, DailyCaller.com, November 8, 2013]</ref> April 5th polling, Cassidy (46) Landrieu (42). | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Massachusetts''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Ed Markey]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Michigan''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Carl Levin]][1]: GOP Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land will face Democrat Rep. Gary Peters. April 5th polling, Land (40) Peters (38) | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Minnesota''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Al Franken]]: Franken remains popular but polls at just 50%. Republican Mike McFadden is considered most likely to win the party nomination. Sarah Palin endorses Julianne Ortman. April 5th polling, Ortman (41) Franken (44). | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Montana''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Max Baucus]][1]: Obama appointed Baucus as the Ambassador to China. Democrat Lt. Gov. John Walsh was appointed interim Senator and is the 2014 nominee. Republican state representative Steve Daines leads in April 5th polling (51) Walsh (37) | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''New Hampshire''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Jeanne Shaheen]]: Shaheen is poised for reelection in liberal NH. Republican [[Scott Brown]] is challenger and is losing by double-digits. | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''New Jersey''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Cory Booker]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''New Mexico''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Tom Udall]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''North Carolina''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Kay Hagan]]: All potential Republican challengers lead Hagan in polling; Thom Tillis(Endorsed by Karl Rove), [[Dr. Greg Brannon]] (Endorsed by Rand Paul), Heather Grant, Mark Harris, and Bill Flynn. April 5th polling, Tillis (46) Hagan (45) | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Oregon''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Jeff Merkley]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Rhode Island''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Jack Reed]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''South Dakota''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Tim Johnson]][1]: Democrat Rick Weiland to face former Republican Gov. Mike Rounds. Rounds is projected as taking Johnson's seat. April 5th polling, Rounds (51) Weiland (31). | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Virginia''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Mark Warner]]:Republican Ed Gillespie has declared his intention to run against Warner. | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''West Virginia''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Jay Rockefeller]][1]: GOP establishments seeks House Rep. Shelley Capito. Democrats will likely run Natalie Tennant, West Virginia Secretary of State. Capito leads in polling by double digits. April 5th polling, Capito (49) Tennant (35). | ||
===Republican Incumbents=== | ===Republican Incumbents=== | ||
| − | * | + | *'''Georgia''' |
| − | + | ||
| − | *[[ | + | [[Saxby Chambliss]][1]: The daughter of long-time Democrat Senator Sam Nunn, Michelle Nunn has declared. David Perdue holds a slim lead in the crowded field of Republican nominations. Other Republicans include Rep. Jack Kingston, Rep. Paul Broun, Rep. Phil Gingrey, former Georgia Secretary of State Karen Handel(Endorsed by Sarah Palin), Eugene Yu, Minister Derrick Grayson, and Art Gardner. |
| − | *[[ | + | |
| − | + | *'''Idaho''' | |
| − | *[[ | + | |
| − | *[[ | + | [[James Risch]] |
| − | *[[James Inhofe]] | + | |
| − | + | *'''Kansas''' | |
| − | *[[ | + | |
| − | + | [[Pat Roberts]]: Republican Dr. Milton Wolf is challenging Roberts. Wolf is endorsed by the Senate Conservatives Fund. | |
| − | *[[ | + | |
| − | *[[ | + | *'''Kentucky''' |
| − | * | + | |
| − | + | [[Mitch McConnell]]: The Democrat challenger is Alison Lundergan Grimes and the Tea Party endorsed candidate is [[Matt Bevin]]. April 5th polling, McConnell (43) Grimes (42). | |
| + | |||
| + | *'''Maine''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Susan Collins]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Mississippi''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Thad Cochran]]: Conservative Chris McDaniel, endorsed by Sarah Palin, is challenging Thad in the primaries. | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Nebraska''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Mike Johanns]][1]: Conservative Ben Sasse is the Tea party favorite and endorsed by Sarah Palin. | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Oklahoma''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[James Inhofe]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Tom Coburn]][1]: State Rep. James Lankford is endorsed by the establishment GOP. Sarah Palin has endorsed T.W. Shannon. | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''South Carolina''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Tim Scott]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Lindsey Graham]]; Five GOP challengers have emerged; Nancy Mace, state Sen. [[Lee Bright]] (Constitutional Conservative), Richard Cash, Bill Conner, and Det Bowers. | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Tennessee''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Lamar Alexander]] | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Texas''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[John Cornyn]]: Cornyn will face the winner of the Democrat primaries, anti-Obama and anti-Obamacare Kesha Rogers or multimillionaire dentist David Alameel. | ||
| + | |||
| + | *'''Wyoming''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | [[Mike Enzi]] | ||
==House== | ==House== | ||
Revision as of 21:20, April 5, 2014
The 2014 Midterm Elections begin with the Texas primary on March 4, and continue with a primary or a "runoff" nearly every week somewhere in the United States until Tuesday, September 9th.[1] Soon thereafter early voting begins in some areas, culminating in the general election day on Tuesday, November 4th.
Successful political forecaster Nate Silver says Senate Republicans are now slight favorites to win at least six seats and capture the chamber. [2]
Senate
Democrat Incumbents
- Alabama
- Alaska
Mark Begish: Three GOP candidates are running to challenge Begish: Lieutenant Governor Mead Treadwell, Iraq veteran Joe Miller, and State Natural Resources Commissioner Dan Sullivan. April 5th polling, Treadwell (47) Begish (43)
- Arkansas
Mark Pryor: Republican Rep. Tom Cotton is the challenger and April 5th polls show a dead heat (46) to (46).
- Colorado
Mark Udall: Two-term GOP Rep. Cory Gardiner will challenge Udall. April 5th polling, Gardiner (40) Udall (42).
- Delaware
- Hawaii
- Illinois
Richard Durbin: GOP Jim Oberweis will face Durbin. The establishment has already conceded the race to Democrats. Fellow Illinois liberal Republican Mark Kirk endorses Democrat Dick Durbin. Jon Cornyn held a fundraiser in Illinois and wouldn't give Oberweis any support. [3]
- Iowa
Tom Harkin[1]: Democrat Rep. Mark Braley has declared. Conservative Republican Sam Clovis and former U.S. attorney Matt Whitaker has declared. The GOP establishment chooses liberal Republican Mark Jacobs. Sarah Palin and the Heritage Foundation have endorsed former Iraqi veteran and state Senator Joni Ernst. April 5th polling, Jacobs (38) Braley (41).
- Louisiana
Mary Landrieu: The establishment GOP picks RINO Bill Cassidy for the nomination. The Senate Conservatives Fund picks Air Force Col. Rob Maness. [4] April 5th polling, Cassidy (46) Landrieu (42).
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
Carl Levin[1]: GOP Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land will face Democrat Rep. Gary Peters. April 5th polling, Land (40) Peters (38)
- Minnesota
Al Franken: Franken remains popular but polls at just 50%. Republican Mike McFadden is considered most likely to win the party nomination. Sarah Palin endorses Julianne Ortman. April 5th polling, Ortman (41) Franken (44).
- Montana
Max Baucus[1]: Obama appointed Baucus as the Ambassador to China. Democrat Lt. Gov. John Walsh was appointed interim Senator and is the 2014 nominee. Republican state representative Steve Daines leads in April 5th polling (51) Walsh (37)
- New Hampshire
Jeanne Shaheen: Shaheen is poised for reelection in liberal NH. Republican Scott Brown is challenger and is losing by double-digits.
- New Jersey
- New Mexico
- North Carolina
Kay Hagan: All potential Republican challengers lead Hagan in polling; Thom Tillis(Endorsed by Karl Rove), Dr. Greg Brannon (Endorsed by Rand Paul), Heather Grant, Mark Harris, and Bill Flynn. April 5th polling, Tillis (46) Hagan (45)
- Oregon
- Rhode Island
- South Dakota
Tim Johnson[1]: Democrat Rick Weiland to face former Republican Gov. Mike Rounds. Rounds is projected as taking Johnson's seat. April 5th polling, Rounds (51) Weiland (31).
- Virginia
Mark Warner:Republican Ed Gillespie has declared his intention to run against Warner.
- West Virginia
Jay Rockefeller[1]: GOP establishments seeks House Rep. Shelley Capito. Democrats will likely run Natalie Tennant, West Virginia Secretary of State. Capito leads in polling by double digits. April 5th polling, Capito (49) Tennant (35).
Republican Incumbents
- Georgia
Saxby Chambliss[1]: The daughter of long-time Democrat Senator Sam Nunn, Michelle Nunn has declared. David Perdue holds a slim lead in the crowded field of Republican nominations. Other Republicans include Rep. Jack Kingston, Rep. Paul Broun, Rep. Phil Gingrey, former Georgia Secretary of State Karen Handel(Endorsed by Sarah Palin), Eugene Yu, Minister Derrick Grayson, and Art Gardner.
- Idaho
- Kansas
Pat Roberts: Republican Dr. Milton Wolf is challenging Roberts. Wolf is endorsed by the Senate Conservatives Fund.
- Kentucky
Mitch McConnell: The Democrat challenger is Alison Lundergan Grimes and the Tea Party endorsed candidate is Matt Bevin. April 5th polling, McConnell (43) Grimes (42).
- Maine
- Mississippi
Thad Cochran: Conservative Chris McDaniel, endorsed by Sarah Palin, is challenging Thad in the primaries.
- Nebraska
Mike Johanns[1]: Conservative Ben Sasse is the Tea party favorite and endorsed by Sarah Palin.
- Oklahoma
Tom Coburn[1]: State Rep. James Lankford is endorsed by the establishment GOP. Sarah Palin has endorsed T.W. Shannon.
- South Carolina
Lindsey Graham; Five GOP challengers have emerged; Nancy Mace, state Sen. Lee Bright (Constitutional Conservative), Richard Cash, Bill Conner, and Det Bowers.
- Tennessee
- Texas
John Cornyn: Cornyn will face the winner of the Democrat primaries, anti-Obama and anti-Obamacare Kesha Rogers or multimillionaire dentist David Alameel.
- Wyoming
House
Every seat of the 435 member chamber is up for election. The new term will be the 114th United States Congress.
Notable Races
- John Boehner (Ohio) - Republican Majority Speaker
Republicans Eric Gurr and J.D. Winteregg seek to oust Boehner in the primaries. - Eric Cantor (Virginia) - Republican Majority Leader
Republican David Brat seeks to defeat Cantor in the primaries. - Kevin McCarthy (California) - Republican Majority Whip
- Nancy Pelosi (California) - Democrat Minority Leader
- Steny Hoyer (Maryland) - Democrat Minority Whip
Governors
Democrats
- Neil Abercrombie (Hawaii)
- Mike Beebe (Arkansas) [1]
- Jerry Brown (California)
- Lincoln Chafee (Rhode Island) [1]
- Andrew Cuomo (New York)
If no Republican primary exists, expect Donald Trump to challenge Cuomo. - Mark Dayton (Minnesota)
- Maggie Hassan (New Hampshire)
- John Hickenlooper (Colorado)
- John Kitzhaber (Oregon)
- Dan Malloy (Connecticut)
- Martin O'Malley (Maryland) [1]
- Deval Patrick (Massachusetts) [1]
- Pat Quinn (Illinois)
- Peter Shumlin (Vermont)
Republicans
- Robert Bentley (Alabama)
- Jan Brewer (Arizona) [1]
- Terry Branstad (Iowa)
- Sam Brownback (Kansas)
- Tom Corbett (Pennsylvania)
- Dennis Daugaard (South Dakota)
- Nathan Deal (Georgia)
- Mary Fallin (Oklahoma)
- Nikki Haley (South Carolina)
- Bill Haslam (Tennessee)
- Dave Heineman (Nebraska) [1]
- John Kasich (Ohio)
- Paul LePage (Maine)
- Susana Martinez (New Mexico)
- Matt Mead (Wyoming)
- Butch Otter (Idaho)
- Sean Parnell (Alaska)
- Rick Perry (Texas) [1]
Republican Attorney General Greg Abbott will face off against Democrat Wendy Davis. Abbott leads by double digits. [5] - Brian Sandoval (Nevada)
- Rick Scott (Florida)
RINO turned Democrat Charlie Crist seeks to unseat Scott. - Rick Snyder (Michigan)
- Scott Walker (Wisconsin)
[1] Indicates a term-limited or retiring candidate
References
- ↑ Election days listed chronologically or 2014
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast: GOP Is Slight Favorite in Race for Senate Control, FiveThirtyEight.com, March 23, 2014
- ↑ What Leadership Isn't, Waking America Up Blog
- ↑ Maness looks to shake up Louisiana Senate race, DailyCaller.com, November 8, 2013
- ↑ POLL: GOP'S GREG ABBOTT SOARS OVER WENDY DAVIS IN TX GOVERNOR RACE, Breitbart.com, February 24, 2014