United States Senate elections, 2022

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Failing to attain a majority of the U.S. Senate in the elections of 2020 despite having an enormous monetary advantage, Democrats place their hopes on trying to attain a net gain of at least 2 seats in the 2022 United States Senate elections.

The vulnerable Republican Senate seats up for election in 2022 are in the states of:

  • North Carolina: incumbent Deep stater RINO Richard Burr is retiring; anti-establishment Republican representative Mark Walker and liberal Democrat state senator Erica D. Smith are running
  • Pennsylvania: incumbent Pat Toomey announced on Oct. 5, 2020, that he would not run for reelection, after serving three terms in the House and then two terms in the Senate; he was narrowly re-elected in 2016 on the coattails of Trump, won won more votes.[1]
  • Wisconsin: incumbent Ron Johnson may term-limit himself to the two full terms he will have served, although his popularity and effectiveness suggest that he may run again with Trump's strong support.

In addition, Republican incumbents are retiring in Alabama, Missouri, and Ohio. Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley of Iowa seems poised to run for reelection, but has not declared yet.

The vulnerable Democrat-held Senate seats up for election in 2022 are in the states of:

In addition to the above, other states that considered in play are Ohio (the Republican incumbent Rob Portman is retiring) and Missouri (the Republican incumbent Roy Blunt is retiring), although both seats are likely to remain in Republican hands.[4]



Incumbent Richard Shelby is retiring. Katie Britt upset the highly-favored Mo Brooks to win the Republican primary. In this solidly Republican state, Britt's primary win (barring fraud or a disastrous campaign) is essentially "tantamount to election".

Republican candidate primary

Democrat candidates

  • Brandaun Dean, mayor of Brighton (2016–2017)


  • Adam Bowers, forestry professor.
  • Jarmal Jabber Sanders, reverend.


Incumbent moderate liberal Republican Lisa Murkowski is running for re-election to another Senate term.[5] A noted RINO, she has made numerous votes against her party throughout her tenure, including in the Trump era where she only voted with the president 59% of the time in the 116th Congress.[6] Despite having voted to confirm some of Trump's more pro-life judicial nominees[7] including Amy Coney Barrett,[8] she has opposed key pro-life legislation that would ban late-term abortions.[9][10]

AK Republican primary

Former Governor of Alaska Sarah Palin, a noted movement conservative who was John McCain's running mate in the 2008 United States Presidential Election, has hinted at a primary challenge against Sen. Murkowski.[11][12] While President Trump has called for the state's senior senator to be defeated in the primary, Senate RINO Backers including establishmentarian John Thune defended Murkowski despite her RINO voting record.[13] However, Palin instead chose to run in the open seat for Alaska's sole House seat, and was one of four top candidates to face each other in the general election.

  • Kelly Tshibaka, an America First Candidate is currently the most likely candidate to win the primary.
  • Sam Little, Truck driver, National Guard veteran and candidate for governor in 2010.
  • Karl Speights, retired USAF officer


Democrat Incumbent Mark Kelly is running for re-election. America First Republican Andy Biggs is currently the favorite potential Republican Candidate but as of May 2021, Bigg has not announced whether he would run or not. If Biggs runs it is highly likely that the seat will flip.

Republican candidates

  • Mark Brnovich, current attorney general of Arizona.
  • Jim Lamon, solar power businessman.
  • Blake Masters, businessman and CEO of Thiel Foundation.
  • Michael McGuire, Major General.
  • Justin Olson, member of the Arizona Corporation Commission.
  • Robert Paveza, software engineer


Establishment Republican incumbent, John Boozman is running for re-election.[14] Arkansas is a solidly Republican state and therefore Boozman will likely win.

Republican primary candidates


Kamala Harris resigned to become Vice President. Gavin Newsom appointed Alex Padilla. Padilla will almost certainly have a slam dunk win for re-election.

Republican primary candidates

  • James P. Bradley, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for California's 33rd congressional district in 2020.
  • Mark Meuser, candidate for California Secretary of State in 2018.
  • Robert Lucero, political organizer.
  • Cordie Williams, marine veteran and doctor.
  • Lily Zhou, independent candidate for San Diego City Council in 2020.

Democrat primary candidates


Democrat incumbent Michael Bennet will run for re-election. This seat will be competitive but it will likely be held by him.

Republican primary candidates

  • Eli Bremmer, former Olympic athlete, U.S. Air Force major.
  • Ron Hanks, member of the Colorado House of Representatives for the 60th district.
  • Deborah Flora, former radio host
  • Gino Campana, Former Fort Collins, Colorado Council member, city developer
  • Joe O'Dea, business owner


Democrat incumbent Richard Blumenthal is running for re-election and is almost guaranteed to win.


Establishment Republican Marco Rubio is running for re-election. Though Florida is a swing state in Presidential elections, it has trended Republican in recent years. Rubio has a fair popularity level, and is therefore likely to win.

Republican primary candidates

  • Marco Rubio
  • Kevin DePuy, former Marine Corps sergeant
  • Howard Knepper, businessman
  • Jake Loubriel, Florida National Guardsman
  • Luis Miguel, conservative writer and activist
  • Ervan Katari Miller, perennial candidate
  • Earl Yearicks IV, maritime captain

Democrat primary candidates

  • Val Demings
  • Alan Grayson
  • Edward Abud, businessman
  • Allen Ellison, policy consultant and nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018 and 2020
  • Al Fox, president of the Alliance for Responsible Cuba Policy Foundation
  • Dana Harshman, pharmacist
  • Josue Larose, perennial candidate
  • Allek Pastrana, engineer
  • Ken Russell, Miami City Commissioner
  • William Sanchez, immigration lawyer and former special counsel for the U.S. Department of Justice
  • Coleman Watson, federal attorney and stroke survivor
  • Joshua Weil, teacher


Democrat Incumbent Raphael Warnock is running for re-election to serve a full term. Former athlete Herschel Walker won the Republican primary. This race will be close given that Walker has a habit of making unwise comments.

Republican primary candidates

  • Herschel Walker, former NFL player
  • Gary Black, current Agriculture Commissioner of Georgia (2011–present)
  • Josh Clark, former state representative and businessman
  • Kelvin King, U.S. Air Force veteran, businessman, and founder of Osprey Management
  • Latham Saddler, former Director of Intelligence Programs on the National Security Council under President Trump and former Navy SEAL officer.


Democrat incumbent Brian Schatz is running for re-election. He will likely win.


Establishment Republican Mike Crapo is running for re-election.

Republican primary candidates

  • Mike Crapo
  • Natalie Fleming, independent candidate for Idaho's 1st congressional district in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2020.
  • Mike Little, Iraq War veteran.
  • Scott Trotter, business owner.

Democrat candidates

  • James Vandermaas, former law enforcement officer.

Other candidates

  • Ray Writz, janitorial contractor from Constitution Party
  • Scott Cleveland, entrepreneur as Independent.


Incumbent Democrat Tammy Duckworth who is notorious for her bigoted attitude of declining Biden nominees if they are not POC or LGBT, is likely going to win re-election. It is possible for her to lose, but not extremely likely.

Republican candidates

  • Tim Arview, insurance agent
  • Allison Salinas, activist
  • Peggy Hubbard, former police officer, U.S. Navy veteran, and candidate for US Senate in 2020
  • Bobby Piton, activist


Establishment Republican Todd Young is running for re-election.

Republican primary candidates

  • Todd Young, incumbent senator
  • Danny Niederberger, operations analyst and candidate for Indiana's 5th congressional district in 2020
  • John Piper, business owner and withdrawn candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018

Democrat primary candidates

  • Thomas McDermott Jr, mayor of Hammond.
  • Haneefah Khaaliq, professor at Indiana University
  • Valerie McCray, psychologist


This state is likely safe republican. Incumbent Chuck Grassley has filed paperwork.[15]. However, Grassley is 87, and will be around 93 by the time his term ends so if he runs is not known yet.

Republican primary candidates

Democrat primary candidates

  • Abby Finkenauer, former U.S. Representative for Iowa's 1st congressional district (2019–2021)
  • Michael T. Franken, retired U.S. Navy Admiral, former aide to former U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020.
  • Glenn Hurst, member of the Minden city council.
  • Bob Krause, president of the Veterans National Recovery Center, former state representative for the 7th district (1973–1979) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010


Incumbent globalist Republican Jerry Moran is up for re-election in 2022, and has not yet announced whether he would run for another Senate term. The state has notably changed politically during the Trump era, with the rural areas becoming more solidly Republican while Riley County, Shawnee County, and Johnson County have trended towards the Democrats despite previously being strongholds for the Republican Party.[16][17] For the first time since a century, a majority of voters in mostly urban/suburban Johnson County voted Democrat in the 2020 U.S. presidential election.[18]

The state generally favors establishment Republicans; Moran outperformed Trump in 2016 by ten percentage points, particularly in Johnson County.[16] The third congressional district, which contains the latter as well as Wyandotte County and part of Miami County, has significantly trended towards the Democrats, with then-incumbent Koch puppet Kevin Yoder losing re-election in the 2018 Midterms by a wide margin despite previously being heavily favored there.[19] In the same election cycle, anti-establishment conservative Republican Kris Kobach lost the gubernatorial race by a narrow margin after being opposed by the GOP establishment, failing to ground enough support in much of the state. However, Roger Marshall did reveal himself to be on the side of the America First Agenda.


Rand Paul is running for re-election. He will likely win.

Democrat candidates

  • Charles Booker, former state representative (2019–2021) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020
  • Ruth Gao, educator and activist
  • Joshua Blanton Sr., army veteran
  • John Merrill, chemist and navy veteran


Incumbent John Neely Kennedy has not announced that he will run again but will likely run again. He was among those who objected to the results.

Democrat Candidates

Gary Chambers Jr. Luke Mixon, member of the U.S. Navy Reserve and former member of the U.S. Navy


Democrat incumbent Chris Van Hollen is running for re-election and will likely win.


Incumbent Roy Blunt is retiring. Eric Greitens has been the favored successor by Conservatives. Missouri is a swing state (the areas around St. Louis and Kansas City are heavily Democrat, Columbia and Jefferson City trend Democrat, but the remainder of the state is solidly Republican) so this one is a toss-up; Greitens also has personal baggage from a nasty divorce which Democrats have used against him.

Republican primary candidates

  • Eric Greitens
  • Eric Schmitt, current attorney general
  • Billy Long, , auctioneer and U.S. Representative from Missouri's 7th congressional district (2011–present).
  • Vicky Hartzler, U.S. Representative.
  • John Brinkmann, insurance agency owner and financial consultant
  • Jeremy Gundel, farmer
  • Mark McCloskey, attorney and 2020 Republican National Convention speaker.
  • Dave Schatz, president pro tempore of the Missouri Senate
  • Deshon Porter, host of The Big D Zone

Democrat candidates primary

  • Jewel Kelly, U.S. Air Force veteran and small business owner.
  • Lucas Kunce, national security director of the American Economic Liberties Project and retired U.S. Marine Corps officer
  • Gena Ross, college professor and nominee for Missouri's 6th congressional district in 2020[39][40]
  • Tim Shepard, LGBT agenda activist[
  • Scott Sifton, state senator (2013–2021) and former state representative.
  • Spencer Toder, small business owner, entrepreneur and real estate broker


Democrat Incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto is running for re-election. This will be one of the most competitive races.

Republican primary candidates

  • Adam Laxalt, Former Attorney General.
  • Sam Brown, U.S. Army veteran
  • Bill Hockstedler, healthcare executive and USAF veteran
  • Sharelle Mendenhall, pageant queen

New Hampshire

Democrat Incumbent Maggie Hassan is running for re-Election. Republican's favored Candidate is Chris Sununu. While a little iffy on some social issues, it is impossible to get a better conservative in New Hampshire and if he does run, Hassan will likely lose.

Republican primary candidates

  • Donald C. Bolduc, former U.S. Army Special Forces brigadier general and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020.
  • Gerard Beloin, roofing contractor and perennial candidate.
  • Chuck Morse, President of the New Hampshire Senate (2013-2018, 2020-present) and former Acting Governor of New Hampshire.
  • Tejasinha Sivalingam, landlord and candidate for state representative in 2018 and 2020.
  • Kevin Smith, Town Manager of Londonderry and former candidate for New Hampshire governor in 2012

New York

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer is running for re-election. It is not likely for him to lose.

Republican candidates

  • Aleksander Mici, lawyer and candidate for New York City's 13th City Council district in 2021.
  • Joe Pinion, TV host and candidate for New York State Assembly District 90 in 2018.

North Carolina

Never Trumper, Richard Burr is retiring. Mark Walker who is endorsed by Madison Cawthorn and Paul Ryan is running. Anti Establishment, America First, Ted Budd is also running.

Republican primary candidates

  • Ted Budd, US Representative
  • Mark Walker, former US Representative
  • Pat McCrory, Former Governor
  • Jen Banwart
  • Marjorie Eastman, Author and veteran.
  • Kenneth Harper, business owner
Candidates Votes  %
Ted Budd 445,343 58.6
Pat McCrory 186,760 24.6
Mark Walker 70,131 9.2
Marjorie K. Eastman 22,302 2.9
David Flaherty 7,186 1
Kenneth Harper 7,076 0.9
Jen Banwart 3,051 0.4
Charles Kenneth Moss 2,900 0.4
Leonard Bryant 2,876 0.4
Benjamin Griffiths 2,830 0.4
Debora Tshiovo 2,709 0.4
Lee Brian 2,206 0.3
Lichia Sibhatu 2,173 0.3
Drew Bulecza 2,007 0.3
Total votes 759,550 100

Democrat primary candidates

  • Cheri Beasley, Judge
  • Constance Lov Johnson
  • Tobias LaGrone, business owner
  • Everette Newton, mayor of Beaufort (2017-2021)
Candidate Votes  %
Cheri Beasley 497,408 81.1
James L. Carr Jr. 21,668 21,668
Alyssia Rose-Katherine Hammond 20,710 3.4
Marcus W. Williams 17,314 2.8
Total 613,170 100

Other candidates

  • Shannon Bray, Navy veteran from Libertarian Party
  • Matthew Hoh, activist and veteran from Green Party
  • Kimrey Rhinehardt, faculty member at the University of North Carolina Wilmington, former lobbyist for the University of North Carolina system, and former staffer for incumbent U.S. Senator Richard Burr
  • Brenda Rodriguez

North Dakota

Establishment Republican, John Hoeven is running for re-election.

Democrat candidates

  • Michael Steele, small business owner


Establishment Republican, Rob Portman is retiring.

Republican primary candidates

  • J.D. Vance, author of Hillbilly Elegy, U.S. Marine Corps veteran and venture capitalist
  • Matt Dolan, state senator.
  • Josh Mandel, former Ohio state treasurer.
  • Jane Timken, former chair of the Ohio Republican Party.[20]
  • Bernie Moreno, businessman
  • Mike Gibbons, investment banker and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018, leading in the polls as of March 17, 2022.
  • Mark Pukita, IT executive
  • Neil Patel, businessman
Candidate Votes  %
J. D. Vance (winner) 340,991 32.2%
Josh Mandel 253,051 23.9%
Matt Dolan 247,042 23.3%
Mike Gibbons 123,417 11.7%
Jane Timken 62,237 5.9%
Mark Pukita 22,478 2.1%
Neil Patel 9,897 0.9%
Bernie Moreno (withdrew)

Democrat candidates

  • Tim Ryan, U.S. representative for Ohio’s 13th congressional district.
  • Morgan Harper, former senior advisor at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.
  • Demar Sheffey, treasurer of the Cuyahoga Soil and Water Conservation District
  • Rick Taylor
  • LaShondra Tinsley
Candidate Votes  %
Tim Ryan (winner) 355,764 69.7%
Morgan Harper 90,485 17.7%
Traci Johnson 64,113 12.6%
Demar Sheffey (disqualified)
Rick Taylor (disqualified)
LaShondra Tinsley (disqualified)


In a rarity, both Senate seats are up for election. The seat held by James Lankford was due to be contested; he has announced his re-election candidacy. However, the seat held by [Jim Inhofe]] is also being contested after he announced that he will resign effective January 3, 2023.

Republican primary candidates (Lankford seat)

  • Joan Farr, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2020.
  • Jessica Jean Garrison, author, dietician and daughter of former State Senator Earl Garrison.
  • Jackson Lahmeyer, pastor for Sheridan Church, former Oklahoma State Coordinator for Billy Graham Evangelistic Association, and former Crusade Director for Christ for All Nations.
  • James Lankford, incumbent U.S. Senator.

Democrat primary elections (Lankford seat)

  • Jason Bollinger, attorney and former State Department employee.
  • Jo Glenn, attorney.
  • Madison Horn, cybersecurity professional.
  • Bevon Rogers, businessman and 2020 candidate for Oklahoma State Senate.

Republican primary candidates (Inhofe seat)

  • Nathan Dahm, state senator for the 33rd district.
  • Alex Gray, former United States National Security Council chief of staff.
  • Luke Holland, former chief of staff for U.S. Senator Jim Inhofe.
  • Markwayne Mullin, U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district.
  • T. W. Shannon, former speaker of the Oklahoma House of Representatives (2013–2014), former state representative for the 62nd district (2007–2015), and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014.


Democrat Incumbent Ron Wyden is running for re-election.

Republicans candidates

  • Jason Beebe, mayor of Prineville
  • Jo Rae Perkins, former chair of the Linn County Republican Party and perennial candidate
  • Ibra A. Taher, philosopher, peace activist and Green Party nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020.


Never Trumper, Pat Toomey will be retiring. This race will be by far the most competitive. The most prominent Republican candidate is Dr Mehmet Oz. The most prominent Democrat candidate is current Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman.

Republican primary candidates

  • Mehmet Oz, Celebrity, surgeon, professor
  • Carla Sands, former ambassador
  • David McCormick, former U.S. Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs (2007–2009)
  • Jeff Bartos, Republican nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2018
  • George Bochetto, Pennsylvania State Boxing Commissioner (1995–2002)
  • Kathy Barnette, Republican nominee for Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district in 2020
  • Everett Stern, CEO of Tactical Rabbit, Inc

Democrat primary candidates

  • John Fetterman, current Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–present), former mayor of Braddock (2005–2019) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016.
  • Conor Lamb, US Representative
  • Val Arkoosh, chair of the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners and physician
  • Kevin Baumlin, chief of Emergency and Urgent Care Services at Pennsylvania Hospital
  • John Fetterman, Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania (2019–present), former mayor of Braddock (2005–2019) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016
  • Malcolm Kenyatta, state representative for the 181st district (2019–present)
  • Alexandria Khalil, member of the Jenkintown Borough Council (2019–present)

Other Candidates

South Carolina

Tim Scott is running for re-election. South Carolina is a heavily Republican state, thus, Scott is likely to win.

South Dakota

Establishment Republican John Thune will run for re-election. Trump has vowed to campaign against Thune.


Incumbent Mike Lee is running for re-election.


Democrat Incumbent Patrick Leahy has filed paperwork to run for another term. Being at a similar age to Chuck Grassley, he might decide to not run again. Even if he doesn't, this seat is a safe Democrat hold.


Mostly conservative Republican senator Ron Johnson, who was elected in the 2010 Midterm Elections and re-elected in 2016 in an upset, may retire as he previously pledged.[21] However, Trump has endorsed him and wants him to run for another term.

Republican candidates

  • Ron Johnson
  • John Berman, electronic hardware design, test engineer and candidate for U.S. Senate (Minnesota and Kansas) in 2020
  • Brad Beyer, U.S. Army veteran

WI Democrat primary

Democrat Tom Nelson, the executive of Outagamie County, announced in late October 2020 his run for the Senate seat.[22]

Total list

20 Republicans, 12 Democrats:


Roy Blunt MO, John Boozman AR, Richard Burr NC, Michael Crapo ID, Charles Grassley, IA, John Hoeven ND, Ron Johnson WI, John Kennedy LA, James Lankford OK, Mike Lee UT, Jerry Moran KS, Lisa Murkowski AK, Rand Paul KY, Rob Portman OH (retiring, seat will be open), Marco Rubio FL, Tim Scott SC, Richard Shelby AL (elderly). John Thune SD, Patrick Toomey PA (prematurely retiring at merely age 59), and Todd Young IN.


Michael Bennet CO, Richard Blumenthal CT, Catherine Cortez Masto NV, Tammy Duckworth IL, Padilla appointed replacement in CA, Maggie Hassan NH, Patrick Leahy VT, Patty Murray WA, Brian Schatz HI, Chuck Schumer NY, Chris Van Hollen MD, and Ron Wyden OR.

See also


  1. 2016 Pennsylvania Results, without the NYT crediting Trump's coattails
  2. 2016 New Hampshire Results
  3. 2016 Nevada Results
  4. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/555992-9-senate-seats-most-likely-to-flip-in-2022
  5. 201705250200154711.pdf
  6. Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump
  7. Bendery, Jennifer (April 25, 2018). Pro-Choice GOP Senators Keep Voting For Trump’s Anti-Abortion Judges. Huffington Post. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  8. Wu, Nicholas (October 24, 2020). GOP Sen. Murkowski still thinks Supreme Court seat should wait, but will vote to confirm Amy Coney Barrett. USA Today. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  9. National Catholic Register (January 29, 2018). Senate Vote on 20-Week Abortion Ban Fails. NC Register. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  10. Downing, Suzanne (January 17, 2019). Murkowski votes with Democrats to defeat ban on taxpayer-funded abortion. Must Read Alaska. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  11. Gstalter, Morgan (October 5, 2018). Sarah Palin to Murkowski after Kavanaugh vote: 'I can see 2022 from my house'. The Hill. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  12. Two references:
  13. Carney, Jordain. (June 8, 2020). GOP senators urge Trump to back off Murkowski threat. The Hill. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  14. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-endorses-boozman-2022-reelection
  15. https://www.kcci.com/article/grassley-files-statement-of-candidacy-with-federal-election/35730722
  16. 16.0 16.1 Kansas Election Results 2016
  17. Kansas Election Results 2020
  18. Sloan, Nick (November 4, 2020). For first time since 1916, Democratic nominee won Johnson County. KCTV. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  19. Kansas House Election Results 2018
  20. https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-2022-midterm-elections-business-europe-rob-portman-903327323c57c2e410c0921ec5f18c01
  21. Carney, Jourdain (October 10, 2016). Ron Johnson pledges to retire after serving one more Senate term. The Hill. Retrieved December 29, 2020.
  22. Two references: