Essay: Contemporaneous war reporting Feb-Mar 2026

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The peace deal is really a land deal. In exchange for Putin's acceptance of Trump's plan for Gaza and seizure of Greenland, Trump will agree to all of the territory that Putin has re-incorporated into Russia, including the territory from which Ukrainian forces are yet to be driven....Helmer suggests that Washington is drawing Russia into joint deals which will be used to compromise Russian sovereignty. This enormously pleases the Russian Atlanticist Integrationists and the Russian oligarchs. It also makes Russia complicit with Washington in the destruction of Palestine, and in substituting a resort in the place of a country and a people. This will weaken BRICS as its members will see Putin as an American accomplice.
Note: Reread Mark Carney's Davos speech.
General Harald Kujat, former Chief of the Bundeswehr and ex-Chairman of NATO’s Military Committee, warns against Western missteps and the growing risks of escalation in Ukraine.
"resilience" has turned into a convenient propaganda screen. It allows the world to admire Ukrainian endurance instead of admitting the obvious — people are simply exhausted to the breaking point. Despite the endless stream of "experts," patriotic bloggers, and official spokespeople who keep telling the world about Ukraine’s "unbreakable spirit," the myth collapses the moment you speak with ordinary Ukrainians."
Note to User:Conservative: Now that the liberal MSM has officially approved it, you can openly discuss such delusional topics.
IOWs (for the guy who takes his place) make sure the killers you hire aren't captured alive.
Comment: Budanov, former head of the Gestapo and now Zelensky chief-of-staff, is only 39 years old and US/CIA trained. (Zaluzhny is property of MI6). If a Ukraine rump state can survive, Budanov is likely the future. (The joke on Russian channels is, the only way Ukraine can win is by joining the Russian Federation.)
"I entitled this article for my VK “The Importance of Documenting Events as They Occur” because I didn’t at the time...One of the events I linked to but never turned into a separate article was the very unusual televising of a meeting of Russia’s Security Council held prior to Putin’s historic speech recognizing the independence of the Donbass Republics. Clearly that was done with the intent that all Russians would be informed of the discussion and debate on what would become an existential decision about Russia and its people’s future....you can find Putin’s historic 21 February speech that reviews most of the history related to the issues at hand that led to Putin’s recognizing the independence of those Republics. Combined, these two events show a degree of governmental transparency unprecedented in history, making Russia IMO the most democratic of the world’s nations. Obama was supposedly a legal scholar; but when compared to Putin the lawyer, Obama is just a tin-pot shyster as are those of his crew [ Jake Sullivan, Victoria Nuland, et al ] that are responsible for today’s conflicts and international crimes."
Comment: Ordinarily, I would avoid reposting material from a Patriotic website so as to not make Conservapedia merely an echo chamber for conservative views. However, due to User:Conservative's relentless and excessive trolling and ad hominem attacks on wiki and the Sysop email list, he will be exposed for his advocacy of Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, and Joe Biden neocon globalist foreign policy, and the malicious harm he has done to Conservapedia's readership & editor base. RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 18:49, February 22, 2026 (EST)
Trump is not in control of CIA or American foreign policy.
For decades, in the Clinton & Trump impeachments, apologists argued that "high crimes" was not defined in the US Constitution. Legal experts now say the Constitution explicitly says that only Congress can declare war. Unilateral action by the President without the advise and consent of Congress may be or is a "high crime" and impeachable offense. For example, in modern anti-Communist, de-Stalinized Russia, the Constitution explicitly forbids and criminalizes Russian leaders from starting a war of aggression, which is why the Ukraine operation is called a "Special Military Operation". Dissidents in Russia who accuse Putin or Russia of "starting a war" may face charges of subversion and providing aid and comfort to the enemy.
"Whether this was done at the US’ behest or behind the US’ back remains to be determined, but there’s no doubt that this is an extremely unfriendly move, and it’s also very likely that Russia tipped India off. Six Ukrainians and one American were just arrested in India on the grounds that they illegally crossed from there into neighboring Myanmar to train Indian-designated terrorists in drone warfare. [8]
"the American political establishment – Congress, the media, and much of the foreign policy bureaucracy – was deeply uncomfortable with a peace formula that could hardly be presented domestically as a victory over Russia”, ergo why the “spirit of Anchorage” fizzled out. Trump “appears to have aligned himself more closely with powerful political and financial groups in Washington, including neoconservative circles and the Israeli lobby”, thus “sidelining” his “original MAGA allies”. The end result is that “Instead of presiding over the slow decline of the liberal-globalist order, Trump is attempting to build a new version of American hegemony, one based far more openly on force.” Correspondingly, Trenin believes that “Washington’s objective today is not necessarily to construct a stable new world order. Rather, it may be to generate global instability and then dominate within that chaos.”
No mention of reform of corrupt and bloated system after Trillions spent on wunderwaffen over the past 50 years proven ineffective on the battlefield.
"In March 2026, the conflict between the United States and Iran, dubbed Operation Epic Fury, has devolved into a high-stakes war of attrition that contradicts President Trump’s public assertions of a total military victory.... Moving forward, the U.S. faces a dilemma: it must either find a modified strategy to end the war successfully or find a diplomatic off-ramp before the domestic political cost and global energy crisis become untenable."
My take: This is old news. Zelensky probably smells blood in the water because of Trumps falling Approval ratings.


"This will bring down the economies of the world." [1]
  • CENTCOM reports the loss an aerial refueller in Iraq over "friendly airspace", two aircraft were involved, and the deaths of 6 service men.
  • Here's what's wrong with that reporting
(a) it is not "friendly airspace" as the democratic parliament which the United States installed in Iraq wants Americans out;
(b) The KC-135 typically has a crew of three: a pilot, a co-pilot, and a boom operator. Some missions require the addition of a navigator. Still, it was reported that six service members were killed.
Comment: the incident more resembles the earlier falsely reported "friendly fire" incident in Kuwait that downed 3 F-15s.
Aside: a KC-135 pilot who flew in Afghanistan told me the US Air Force changed its protocol and jargon cause a boom operator, who is in direct contact with the fighter pilot, normally would say "take your top off" to reveal the receptor valve when the fighter jet was aligned properly. He said that to a female pilot and was written up for sexual harassment.
Comment: The original plan called for the US to arm Kurdish proxies (which Erdogan opposed) to initiate a ground war in Iran from the northwest. Iran apparently decided to have that ground war in Iraq.
Question: What is an "Army civilian"? I'm sure they have an official definition.
  • S-300PMU-2 Missile System for the First Time HIT U.S. 'F-35' and Stealth SPY UAV 'RQ-180'. [14]
"A massive explosion ripped through the Valero oil refinery in Port Arthur, Texas."
Note: The Valero refinery in Port Arthur is ranked as one of the ten largest refineries in the United States and processes the heavy crude from Venezuela. See: Crude oil#Types for how there are hundreds of different types of Crude oil depending on sulfur content, and how refinery infrastructure is built to service a particular grade of crude oil originating from a specific geographical location.


NATO escalates war

NATO escalation, March 26, 2026.

Zaporozhye front

(a) The war has dragged out because of Putin's desire to avoid civilian casualties. However, now the gloves are off.
(b) The Dnieper will not be crossed until after the spring snow melt and run off. This year has been record snowfall, so the delay could be six weeks.
Interpretation: After the spring runoff and the Russians cross the Dnieper, if the Russians continue west and south toward Nikolaev and Odessa means a shorter war, whereas if they turn north as Krapivnik says to Dnepropetrovsk means a longer war (which ultimately threatens Kyiv and all of Ukraine).


Iran

  • Report: Putin offers Trump an off-ramp for war with Iran: Iran to ship enriched uranium to China. [16]
China has transferred to YLC-8B to Iran. This is how combat testing of an innovation works before it is used in Taiwan. Let's see if Trump, Hegseth, and the boys in the Pentagon are stupid enough to take the bait despite being warned.
Here's the danger: (a) Russia & China will not allow Iran regime change; (b) any attack on Iran will not be a "one and done" (a "pin prick" as Mearsheimer calls it) like the 12 Day War or Venezuela and Nigerian operations; (c) the boys in the Pentagon may be tempted to see how the Chinese YLC-8B radar system operates to apply to Taiwan defense planning. However, once a bombing operation commences, the US cannot walk away. The US will be committed to at least an 8 or 9 month war which ultimately it will lose.
Krapivnik says the YLC-8B was combat tested in the 2025 India-Pakistan war.
"The short story is that, for the US air forces to cover the vast distances they will need to cover—and return—they will need to be refueled in the air right up near Iran’s borders—within easy range of Iran’s AD. That’s crazy. It’s worse than that, actually, because Iran’s S-300s (and S-400s?) can reach out hundreds of miles to catch US planes before or near where they would need to be to launch standoff missiles....
"The YLC-8B is a three-dimensional, long-range anti-stealth surveillance radar developed by China’s Nanjing Research Institute of Electronics Technology. It’s a UHF-band radar, which is particularly effective against stealth aircraft because longer radio wavelengths are harder for aircraft to evade through traditional radar-absorbent materials...."
  • TWZ: The massive questions surrounding a major American air war against Iran. [18]
  • "There is absolutely no appetite domestically to engage in another ground war in the Middle East, so that option is a non-starter, which is a good thing, as America’s track record in this regard is terrible....there is a broad misconception that Israel wiped out Iran’s ballistic missile capabilities. This couldn’t be further from the truth."
The theory is something like this: The US wants regime change; Israel wants Balkanization to keep various ethnic group fighting among themselves and not be a threat to the outside. In both instances, the assumption is these heirs of a 3,000 year old civilization are too stupid and inexperienced to understand they are being manipulated by outside powers.
The killing of 175 schoolgirls should put to rest, at least among non-bigots, the lie that Iran doesn't allow girls to go to school. In fact, more females graduate from college in Iran than males. Most medical doctors in Iran are women.
Three interesting scenarios.
Of course Iran prepared for this over years. Geez. I thought Iran posed no threat...

Joe Kent 9.25.24:

google

"Iran has been after Trump since January of 2020 after he ordered the targeted killing of the terrorist Qasem Soleimani. This isn't a new threat. The secret service consistently failing to secure Trump is new. We need to figure out exactly why these failures keep happening.". [20]LaMarina (talk) 15:00, March 17, 2026 (EDT)


I think this refers to 47 years, when the US imposed economic sanctions, gave WMD to Saddam, and 300,000 people were killed in the Iran-Iraq war. RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 16:21, March 17, 2026 (EDT)


USS Gerald Ford and alleged sabotage

User:Conservative: "The United States will remain the leading power in the world" if the rest of the planet decides to let it. Afterall, we believe in democracy, majority rule and the consent of the governed. Kidnapping and whacking out foreign leaders may not be persuasive or the way to get a consensus in support of American foreign policy, like gay rights, the homosexual agenda, gay marriage, transgenderism and other "god given" human rights.
Comment: My apologies. It was over my protests that Andy allowed sewage to become such a major foreign policy issue in Conservapedia. History will remember that it was American sailors sabotage by clogging up toilets on Supercarriers that led to the defeat of the American Empire in the Middle East. RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 16:48, February 26, 2026 (EST)
"While the Iranian saga has kept the world on its toes, it has now turned from travesty-in-making to total farce. The USS Gerald R. Ford—the most expensive and ‘advanced’ aircraft carrier in history—has become “mired” in quite a stink—pun intended—as it was revealed that demoralized sailors are potentially sabotaging the ship by flushing items like clothing and mop heads into the ship’s sewage systems, causing widespread septic blockages—a kind of “color revolution of the seas” (color mutiny?), with the color being brown." See also: Essay: The United States may be the leading power in the world for the foreseeable future. What a legacy. The historians gotta cover this up - how a bunch of lazy, traitorous mutineers saved us from World War III.
"Bad things are happening to American aircraft carriers — and we don’t know exactly what, why, or how. Everything in the American InfoVerse is “laundered”. But the stains remain. Laundering the Truth: A laundry fire that takes thirty hours to extinguish on a $13 billion carrier with the most advanced damage control systems in any navy on earth. That displaces 600 crew from their berths. On a ship designed to take battle damage and keep fighting. And the explanation is the laundry. The Ford has automated fire suppression. It has damage control teams that train constantly. It has redundant systems specifically because carriers are built to survive hits in combat. A laundry fire on a ship designed to survive anti-ship missiles does not burn for thirty hours and render 600 berths uninhabitable. That’s not a laundry fire. That’s damage."
"A perfect storm involving three U.S. Navy aircraft carriers highlights the strain on the fleet amid an ongoing war in the Middle East and tensions in Asia...One of the carriers was damaged by a fire, another just saw its service life extended for the second time, while a third had its delivery pushed back until 2027...Given that America is in a new war with an uncertain future, there could be further shockwaves to the Navy’s plans for its carrier fleet".
Freeman confirms massacre of 108 Iranian schoolgirls, says Khamenei's death yet unconfirmed.
Rossi: 4 members of Khamenei's family killed including a daughter and granddaughter. No confirmation of Khamenei's death.
"In reality, both parties could begin looking for off-ramps to what is likely an unsustainable exchange for both:...Trump has told CBS News that he believes today’s attacks by Israel and the United States against Iran, which resulted in the death Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, have been effective and could create a pathway to diplomacy, stating that negotiations could be, “Much easier now than it was a day ago, obviously - because they are getting beat up badly.” But of course the big elephant in the room is the fact that the Ayatollah is a figurehead who had already ceded control over military matters to the Supreme Council of the IRGC in the wake of last summer’s US strikes. On top of that, Iran is said to be readying a replacement, who may end up being a much bigger hardliner than Khamenei ever was...."

Destruction of radars leaves American military blind


Screenshot 19-2-2026 15838 .jpeg
"This worst-case scenario of the US’ dividing-and-ruling RIC can be averted by Iran deterring or breaking a US blockade on its oil in parallel with Russia doing the same with respect to any British one against its “shadow fleet”. These options require immense political will since they entail the potential cost of a hot war breaking out between Great Powers so it’s unclear whether they’ll be implemented, but likewise, so too might the US and UK ultimately back off from their possible blockades for the same reason."
"From a recent article in Responsible Statecraft:
“ Even those who hope Trump chooses to avoid military action in Iran altogether should be taken aback to hear that eight months after the last extended U.S. military campaign ended (the defense of Israel during the 12-day war and Operation Midnight Hammer), American missile defense arsenals could still be in such rough shape…

But eight months should be sufficient to return stocks of some types of defense interceptors to less critical levels. If the missile defense cupboard is truly still bare, however, something else must be going on.

That something else, it turns out, is Ukraine.

Although President Trump and his advisers are quick to argue that the United States is no longer paying for the military aid supporting Ukraine’s ongoing war, this is only one piece of a larger story. In fact, the United States is still sending billions in weapons to Ukraine, often diverting new weapons intended for the U.S. military directly to Ukraine instead.

”
The article goes on to discuss Venezuela, Cuba, Taiwan, etc.
"Propaganda usually works in a drip-drip-drip fashion. Small stories are launched each other day spreading the similar talking points over and over again. But today, due to some mix up, two of the major propaganda outlets, the New York Times and the Washington Post, launched very similar propaganda stories on the very same day....It is a bit disappointing how ritualistic and boring propaganda like this has become."
  • Recommended.
Probably won't have much luck against a more experienced Russian-built air defense system. Hey, but it's a good waste of taxpayer money.
"The US position is significantly weaker that it was earlier because the terms of any deal have been significantly narrowed and watered down. Trump also is in a tough spot since the Iranians have managed to give him a take it or leave it challenge, where it would be difficult for Trump to have support from US allies. Britain Won’t Support the US if it Attacks Iran."
  • Iran claims 108 schoolgirls killed in "decapitation strike" on girl's school in Minab. [24]
Editor's note: In the fog of war, it doesn't have to be true. Like the 9/11 attack, there isn't much sympathy inside Iran for the collaborators with Iran's external enemies. RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 20:06, February 28, 2026 (EST)
Updated count: 165 schoolgirls killed ages 7-12. Scott Ritter claims outdated targeting information fed into AI that the building was once used by the Iranian military led to the massacre.
Comment: This corroborates Ritter's assessment made in less than 24 hours of the event. His sources in government appear to be reliable. His assessment that AI was fed targeting data that was 15 years out of date appears to be spot on. As to Hegseth's assertion, "we don't target civilians", remains arguable, maybe not deliberately in this case, but negligently. And that leaves aside discussion of the late December and early January uprising.

Bombing schoolgirls

165 graves for the girls killed in the Minab school in Iran this Saturday following the US-Israeli air strike. Most of the victims were between 7 and 12 years old.
Source: Chronicles of the Conflict.
Sorry, it's too late to walk away from the potential violence President Trump has exposed all Americans to after whacking a foreign religious leader and America has depleted its weapons stockpile.
Caveat: This is a partisan source.
  • Mass shooting in Texas likely reprisal for killing the Ayatollah. [25]
The gang that couldn't shoot straight.
  • TWZ: Questions whether Kuwaiti pilot went rogue seem possible based on evidence. [29] IOWs, the cover story of a "friendly fire" incident was BS from the gitgo.
Question: Did Netanyahu accept Jesus Christ as his personal Lord & Savior? Will Bibi be caught up in the Rapture?
Confirmed Iranian hits on US bases and radar. [2]
These differ from the more traditional stereotypic floating mines.
Update: Third Worlders who use outhouses can now cross America's ocean moats with drones to attack California.
Sending a manned aircraft after an unmanned UAV is risky & costly.
"Plural"? So now there are multiple schools? (Disregarding Iran's "claims").Dianne3000 (talk) 17:55, March 27, 2026 (EDT)

Bombing South Pars

Iran warns people to evacuate Gulf States after Israel strikes the world's largest gas field, the South Pars. BBC: Oil hits $110 bbl.
"After the US and Israel carried out strikes on civilian industrial facilities in Iran over the past 48 hours, resulting in the deaths of workers who were at the enterprises during the bombings, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps stated that from now on, all American industrial enterprises in the region, as well as companies with American investment involvement, are considered their legitimate military targets.
"The IRGC also issued an urgent recommendation to evacuate areas near American industrial enterprises in the Middle East.
"Save yourself if you can - and thank the Americans."
Interpretation: "from disruption to destruction" means energy price increases are no longer "short term pain for long term gain" as infrastructure has to be rebuilt. 3-5 yrs min to rebuild. Infrastructure cannot be rebuilt (a) during war and (b) without assurance it won't be destroyed again if or when fighting resumes. IOWs, accept Iran's demands to (a) end economic sanctions, and (b) security guarantees that Iran will not be attacked again (similar to Russia's demands for a new regional security architecture agreement) or accept permanent energy & food price increases which have not peaked yet.
"The rationale could have been to stop the so-called “petroyuan” dead in its tracks after Iran began flirting with the possibility of only allowing safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz for tankers that prove that they paid for their oil and gas in China’s currency. Iran’s interests in this policy would be to deal a powerful blow to the “petrodollar”, which is one of the pillars of the US’ global strength, while the US’ interests in allowing Israel to strike the South Pars gas field would have been to punish Iran for even considering such a move."
Trump & Bessent give Iran sanctions relief to stabilize world oil prices.
"But right now they are not only getting formal sanctions relief. The war itself, paradoxically, this I did not predict, has offered the Iranians sanctions relief or actually become sanctions relief. The Iranians are now selling more oil than they were prior to the war. Prior to the war, they sold less than 1.1 million barrels a day at price of $65 minus 18 for the kind of sanctions discount they had to give. Now they're selling about 1.5 million at a price of $110 with only a discount of $2 to $4. They're selling almost 50% more oil than before at a price almost three times of what they did before. But they give that up just to go back to the previous status quo. I'm not saying they're winning because of this. I'm just saying that time is far more on their side than that of trust because of this massive miscalculation going into this war in the first place."


2025/2026: Not involved in "regime change"

Israel only prepares for conditions to facilitate but it is ultimately depended upon Iranians.


1. PMO: Regime change in Iran not war goal. PMO: Regime change in Iran not war goal However, if the Iranian people shake off the shackles of oppression, that would be welcome, government spokesman David Mencer tells JNS. Jun. 24, 2025

2. IDF aims to reduce Iran threat, not force regime change. Mar 11, 2026

3. IDF spox.: Israel targeting Iran systems, not regime change Mar 15, 2026 — The IDF is not aiming to overthrow the Iranian regime, but is rather aiming to "damage all of the regime's systems and capabilities..."LaMarina (talk) 15:40, March 19, 2026 (EDT)

Question: What is the difference between "regime change" and "state collapse"? It seems "state collapse" has more harsh or severe consequences than "regime change". Either way, it's interference in the sovereign affairs of another state. RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 15:48, March 19, 2026 (EDT)
For a long time, since 1981 actually, Iran has been, not just 'meddling in' but actively attacking Israel via its founded Hezbollah [36], PIJ and Hamas. Then you have the bombings of Jews in Panama and Argentina in 1992/4 (3 separate attacks), etc. And repeated declarations of annihilation since 1991. For them, it's existential. Just saying.Telling (talk) 18:02, March 19, 2026 (EDT)
For "them", I'm assuming you are saying "Israel". RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 16:59, March 19, 2026 (EDT)
  • Yes, of course. Thanks.

Here is a bit of a summary:

It set up Hezbollah on 1981 in Lebanon, a year before Israel responded to "Palestine" Arafat attacks on its civilians who began the infamous methods of 'dead baby strategy', using its own people as human shields. The tactics lasting to these days and adopted by Hezbollah and other Islamists.

June 14, 1985: TWA Flight 847 was hijacked by Hezbollah after taking off from Athens. Passengers with Jewish-sounding names were separated from the others. U.S. Navy diver Robert Stethem was murdered, and his body was thrown onto the tarmac. Dozens of passengers were held hostage for two weeks until some of the hijackers’ demands were met.

Pursuing the nuclear bomb: Late 1980s-1990s: Iran began covertly purchasing technology and constructing secret sites.

Since 1991, had declared its annihilation wish/plan on Israel, including using nukes.

March 17, 1992: A Hezbollah suicide bombing of the Israeli Embassy in Buenos Aires killed 29 civilians, including two Israelis, and injured 242 additional civilians. The embassy building collapsed, as did a nearby Catholic church, a school and an apartment building across the street. Most of the casualties were Argentine civilians, mainly children from the school.

On July 18, 1994, in Argentina’s deadliest terrorist attack ever, a truck bomb exploded near the Argentine Mutual Israelite Association (AMIA) Jewish community center building in Buenos Aires, killing 85 people and injuring hundreds more. The Lebanon-based Iranian terrorist proxy Hezbollah, at the instruction of Iran’s top leadership and under the supervision of Iranian diplomats and intelligence officers, carried out the bombing.

A day later:

July 19, 1994, Iran's terror strikes again: Alas Chiricanas Airlines Flight 00901 which exploded near Colon, Panama, killing all 21 people on board, including 12 Jewish business leaders.

May 2008: Two Hezbollah terrorists were captured as they prepared to attack the Israeli embassy in Baku, Azerbaijan. The terrorists underwent advanced training in Iran before departing to Baku, carrying Iranian passports. During their arrest, security forces discovered pistols with silencers, explosives, cameras, binoculars and photographs of the Israeli embassy in their vehicle. The two were tried and sentenced to 15 years in prison. Prior to this thwarted attack, a planned attack by Iran’s Quds Force, aiming to harm Jewish figures at the Eurovision contest in Baku, was also prevented in 2008.

May 26, 2011: Eight Turkish citizens were injured in the attempted assassination of the Israeli Consul in Istanbul. The Quds Force led the attempted assassination with assistance on the ground from Hezbollah members. Preceding this attempt, in 2009 and 2010, were a number of unsuccessful attempts by Iran and Hezbollah to strike Israeli targets in Turkey.

Feb. 14, 2012: Several bombings in Bangkok, Thailand, injured five people. Thai authorities said the bombings were a botched attempt by Iranian nationals to assassinate Israeli diplomats. Several Iranians were arrested and charged with the attacks.

July 18, 2012, Hezbollah suicide bomber targeting a bus filled with Israeli tourists at Bulgaria's Burgas Airport. The explosion killed six people—five Israelis and the Bulgarian driver—and injured 32 others.

May 30, 2015: A Lebanese-Canadian Hezbollah member was arrested in Larnaca, Cyprus, after 8.2 tons of potential bomb-making material were found in his basement. A month later, he was sentenced to six years in jail for preparing the ground for Hezbollah “to harm, through terrorist attacks, Israeli interests in Cyprus.”

Aug. 9, 2018: Two Iranians who collected information on Israeli and Jewish targets in the U.S. and on opponents of the Iranian regime were arrested and later charged with spying for Tehran. One of those charged had carried out surveillance and took photos at several Jewish centers in Chicago, including the Hillel Center and the Rohr Chabad House.

2023. Clear link with Iran on the Oct 7 attack, atrocities.

2024-2025: 2024, Iran using criminal gangs to plot attacks on Jews and others. Especially in Sweden. 2025, And 14 countries in Europe and North America have accused Iran of plotting killings and kidnappings on Western soil. Telling (talk) 16:48, March 19, 2026 (EDT)

What could possibly go wrong?

Roaring Lion after Rising Lion

Israel's Air Force has deployed new tactics never used before against Iran, enabling a far larger number of fighter jets to strike.

Steep, high-speed takeoffs slash fuel use and refueling needs, while Operation Roaring Lion shattered Iran's remaining air defenses—destroying 92% of its top-tier mobile missile systems after the 2024 S-300 takedown—leaving just five weakened layers.

Innovation in action. 🇮🇱 [37] [38]Telling (talk) 16:25, March 19, 2026 (EDT)

Missile impact site of Israeli attack on Iran's Bushehr nuclear power plant.
"The Washington Post says (archived) that the U.S. has fired some 850 Tomahawk cruise missiles onto Iran. The total available stock of Tomahawks is somewhere between 3,000 and 4,000.
"But the limit for the use of these long reach weapons is elsewhere. The missiles are usually fired from U.S. Navy vessels. They have limited loads of up to 72 Tomahawks each. When those are expended the vessels need to leave the scene to go to a friendly harbor for reloading....
"The 16 or so destroyers and submarines the U.S. has around the Gulf are by now mostly ‘Winchester’, i.e. out of Tomahawk missiles to fire. But they can no[t] leave the scene yet as their air-defense capabilities are still needed to take on Iranian missiles.
"Air-defense missiles are also lacking. As the British Royal United Service Institute (RUSI) reported three days ago...[40]
  • Wolfgang Pusztai: Options for Ground Forces in Iran. In a recent interview with the prestigious Salzburger Nachrichten, I explained the options for using U.S. ground forces in a war with Iran.

S-500 delivered

"48 hours ago, Russian cargo aircraft began landing at Tehran's Mehrabad airport. The flights were tracked by NATO intelligence. Antonov An-124s, the heaviest military transport aircraft in the Russian fleet. Six flights in 36 hours, each carrying components that have never been exported outside Russian territory. The S-500 Prometheus, Russia's most advanced air defense system. The weapon designed to shoot down American F-35s. The system that can engage targets at 600 km, including stealth aircraft, cruise missiles, and ballistic warheads. The technology Moscow swore it would never share. It's now in Iranian hands, and NATO just called an emergency meeting. But here's where this story breaks apart. This isn't about one weapon system. This is Russia declaring that America's air dominance over Iran is over. Every F-35 mission, every B-2 sorty, every cruise missile strike, everything that's been working for the past four weeks just became exponentially more dangerous. The S-500 isn't an upgrade. It's a paradigm shift.
"American pilots have been operating over Iran with near impunity. Iranian air defenses, aging Soviet systems, limited domestic designs, couldn't touch fifth generation aircraft flying at altitude. That asymmetry allowed the air campaign to proceed with zero American aircraft losses. Zero losses in four weeks of intensive combat operations. That number is about to change. The S-500 was designed specifically to kill what America flies. Stealth profiles, high altitude trajectories, hypersonic approach angles. Russian engineers studied American aircraft for decades and built a system to defeat them.
"Now Iran has it. And Russia's message is unmistakable. Moscow just told Washington, "You are not the only great power in this war anymore. Every escalation against Iran risks Russian technology killing American pilots. Every strike package faces systems designed to shoot down exactly what you're sending. Because here's what we know for certain. NATO's emergency meeting isn't about issuing statements. It's about confronting a reality that changes everything. Russia has entered this war through the back door. And America's strategy just became obsolete overnight. This is no longer US versus Iran. This is US versus Iran equipped with Russian weapons designed to defeat."
2 Comments: (1) Now we know why the US started this unprovoked war: they wanted to test out American aircraft against the S-500; (2) You can bet it is not Iranian technicians running the equipment. RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 22:36, March 30, 2026 (EDT)
It's payback time for the sinking of the Moskva and a dozen other red lines crossed. One S-500 missile can shoot down 36 helicopters in the ground invasion. RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 22:53, March 30, 2026 (EDT)

Lebanon

Venezuela

The recent trade deals announced with India & China to buy Venezuelan oil are contingent upon those countries putting up the capital for oil industry infrastructure improvements, which may not occur in the 3 year remaining window of Trump's term.

Cuba

"any US-instigated humanitarian crisis due to the de facto oil blockade, which might become a formal one if the Venezuelan blockade is expanded to encompass Cuba, could lead to a large-scale influx of Cuban refugees by sea. That could complicate the Republicans’ prospects ahead of this fall’s midterms, especially in Florida with its massive Cuban-American community..."

Mexico

  • Just the News: Violence erupts in Mexico after killing of Nemesio ‘El Mencho' Oseguera, most wanted drug trafficker. [45]
You can see exactly what happened here. Sheinbaum whacked El Mencho, whom they could have whacked a long time ago, under the threat of "if you don't, we will" from the United States (a serious threat based on previous Trump statements and the Venezuela operation). The violent reaction with innocent bystanders becoming victims is why the Mexican government didn't act earlier. Now the US State Dept. is advising Americans to leave. This how the US gets its reputation abroad for being a violent bully. RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 17:10, February 22, 2026 (EST)

China

“ the Pentagon effectively launched hundreds of strikes on Russia in the last four years, using the NATO-orchestrated Ukrainian conflict as a way to test and probe the Russian military, as well as the Kremlin’s strategic reactions and posturing. Many of these attacks were launched at purely civilian targets, the most notorious of which was on June 23, 2024. On that day, at least four US-made ATACMS missiles were shot down by Russian air and missile defenses above Sevastopol, Crimea. The banned cluster submunitions (primarily used against infantry) of at least one missile exploded above the crowded beaches at Uchkuyevka and Lyubimovka on the northern outskirts of Sevastopol.

The attack, nearly coinciding with the anniversary of the Nazi invasion of Russia, killed four civilians and injured over 150 others. At the time of this act of terrorism, US/NATO ISR (intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance) assets were present above the Black Sea, prompting Moscow’s direct response.

The US, aided by its numerous vassals and satellite states, could easily use a similar scenario in a potential confrontation with China, particularly if the warmongers and war criminals in Washington DC manage to escalate yet another conflict, just this time over Taiwan.

”

Asia Pacific

Europe

WSJ reports a single Ukrainian team of 10 drone operators was able to eliminate “two NATO battalions” in a single day without any losses:
Whom do they fear more - Germany that exterminated 5 million in death camps or Russia that occupied them for 40 years?

South Caucusus

India-Pakistan front

Thai-Cambodia front

Greek-Turkish front

Disputed Aegean Islands by NATO allies Greece and Turkiye.
Caveat: Faddis is a Russophobic deep state globalist warmonger.

Economy

What are the weaknesses of this article: The US Dollar: Not a Traditional Safe Haven. Conservative (talk) 02:46, January 31, 2026 (EST)
I give up. What? RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 14:35, January 31, 2026 (EST)
My bad. I forgot you are still using a machine to do your thinking for you.
Overall, the article is stronger on explaining historical patterns and distinguishing mechanics than on forecasting or addressing all 2025-2026 policy/geopolitical drivers of dollar sentiment. It's a solid contribution to the debate but represents one interpretive lens rather than a definitive debunking of the dollar's safe-haven reputation.
Still hung up on fortunetelling and predictions, I guess, rather than learning the basic tools that go into analytical thinking.. RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 01:47, February 1, 2026 (EST)
Get your head out of the sand.
Comment: It appears more AI related as AI replaces humans in the workforce (such as in the recent WaPo layoffs) and foreign competition due to the high cost of US 'labor productivity', etc.
"if you’re a coder, the machines are coming for you! Their shares fell by almost 25%. And if the machines can self-code and self-evolve, are human coders really needed here? Maybe you have a few programmers or managers to oversee things, but hiring an army of coders isn’t necessary anymore."
takes steps to avoid US sanctions blackmail.
  • J.P. Morgan analysts estimate that each of the vessels currently inside the Persian Gulf would require oil-pollution, salvage, hull and third-party liability coverage in the event of a total loss, implying about $352 billion of maximum insurance coverage that private markets are not currently providing, they said. They estimated that 329 oil tankers are in the Gulf, in addition to hundreds of container and other types of ships.
Caveat: many conservative's need to be brought up to speed on "oligarchy" and "Epstein Class" before making traditional Cold War defenses of "capitalism". RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 16:19, March 6, 2026 (EST)
Comment: Trump fell into the Jimmy Carter trap. He thought whacking the Iranian leader and killing 165 school children would be a "one and done". Iran is making him look impotent. The US can't just walk away if Iran decides to not negotiate or stop fighting after they got hit with a 9/11-style attack.
Iran doesn't care what happens to the global economy. US economic sanctions have excluded Iran from the global economy for 47 years. RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 23:56, March 10, 2026 (EDT)
  • Mining for Truth in the Smog of War. Iran rejects all of Trump's overtures about the war coming to a quick close by immediately doing the opposite of his demands and telling him where to shove his ceasefire.
So what happens if Iran remains intransigent until November, while Trump tries to take it off the table as an election year issue? The Democrats win big, and Trump gets impeached? He's lost control of events by starting the war.
Pump prices in Los Angeles, March 8, 2026.
"Terry Duffy, the head of CME Group has warned that US intervention in oil futures would be a “biblical disaster”. He stressed that oil prices should be set by supply and demand and not manipulated in any way" - quoted in the Financial Times - US intervention in oil futures would be ‘biblical disaster’, CME warns. “Markets do not like it when governments intervene in pricing,” Duffy told the conference in Boca Raton, Florida. Such a move would risk a “biblical disaster” if investors lost confidence in markets to set the price of critical commodities, he said. [52] Note: Scott Bessent is an idiot.
Mark Wauck: Long War Analyses.
"...Iran gained more sanctions relief from closing Hormuz than through any diplomatic means, including the JCPOA...."
📍 $125 today — Saudi light crude via Red Sea
📍 $138–140 next week as storage runs out
📍 $150 → $165 → $180 in the weeks ahead
If Hormuz stays shut past April.
"If oil prices hit $200 per barrel, the national average for gasoline could exceed $6.50–$7.00 per gallon...At $200 per barrel, over $400 billion in discretionary spending could vanish, severely impacting sectors like retail, travel, and hospitality...Oil at $200 per barrel could push headline inflation above 7–8%, levels not seen since the 2022 crisis...Projections indicate that $200 oil could shrink U.S. Real GDP by 1.5% to 2.5%... Industries that rely heavily on energy, such as chemicals, plastics, and steel, would see their profit margins collapse."
Leo Hohmann: FOOD CRISIS BEGINS: Supply chain already being affected by US/Israel-Iran war, and guess who's ready to step in and profit with fake-meat alternative proteins? Bill Gates and the state of Israel have a plan to feed the world when WWIII-driven famine hits and people can no longer afford to buy dwindling supplies of meat, fish, etc.
"Thousands of Brent and WTI contracts changed hands 15 minutes before president’s message on Truth Social. Traders made bets worth half a billion dollars in the oil market about 15 minutes before Donald Trump’s post touting “productive” talks with Iran sent the price of crude tumbling and ignited volatility in other assets. Roughly 6,200 Brent and West Texas Intermediate futures contracts changed hands between 6.49am and 6.50am New York time on Monday, just a quarter of an hour ahead of the US president’s post on Truth Social that there had in recent days been “productive conversations” with Tehran to end the war in Iran. The notional value of those trades was $580mn, according to FT calculations based on Bloomberg data. Trading volumes for Brent and WTI leapt at the same time, 27 seconds before 6.50am. Futures tracking the S&P 500 share index jumped in price moments after the oil trade, with volumes also rising significantly during that timeframe. It was not known whether one entity or several entities were behind Monday’s trades. Trump’s announcement at 7.04am triggered a sharp sell-off across global energy markets and jumps in S&P 500 stock index futures and European equities as investors dialled back bets of a prolonged conflict."
Screenshot 27-3-2026 105939.jpeg
"The trigger would be US defeat against Iran, with a much stronger and influential Iran emerging controlling traffic in the strait of Hormuz and liberating the oil producing regions of the ME from American domination – as well as the rule of the dollar. Tolls on the Strait of Hormuz will favor the petroyuan....Without the ability to “bomb” or occupy, the U.S. loses its only remaining leverage to prevent countries from leaving the dollar system—that is, if the US loses and is forced to give up its military domination of the ME.
"According to Michael Hudson’s analysis, if the U.S. were to “lose” against Iran and be forced to withdraw from the Middle East, the “Treasury Bill Standard”—which has funded the U.S. economy and military for decades—would collapse .
"Right now, the US has a “free lunch” because foreign central banks are forced to recycle their dollar surpluses largely from oil back into U.S. Treasury bonds to maintain their own exchange rates. But if the US loses, it can no longer coerce foreign nations into holding dollars, which would end the US’ ability to run massive deficits without facing high interest rates or a currency crash.
"Iran has already begun charging ships $2 million to pass through the Strait of Hormuz as “advance payments” for war reparations. A U.S. withdrawal would likely codify this and accelerate the shift toward oil being priced in Yuan, Rupees, or local currencies. Most countries would not need to hold the large dollar reserves they need now. And the US would not be able to skim off the top. .
"The U.S. would become isolated -- unable to trade its paper IOUs for real physical goods. At the same time, its high-cost, financialized economy would inhibit reindustrialization. The US’s only real commodity is debt.
"To attract buyers for its $34 trillion debt the U.S. would have to offer significantly higher interest rates – which we already see happening. Unable to export inflation to fund military spending, it would face soaring inflation — and would likely cut domestic spending, leading to both economic and social instability . Remember the Weimar Republic.
"A US defeat would accelerate the shift of the “Global Majority” (BRICS+) to financial alternatives leaving the “West” in an long-term economic depression. Listen to what Alastair Crooke says. US defeat is the end of the PetroDollar and US hegemony.
"[Michael] Hudson characterizes U.S. as a Mafia state and its military presence as a “protection racket”. Without the ability to “bomb” or occupy, the U.S. loses its only remaining leverage to prevent countries from leaving the [petro]dollar system."
Note: The "foreign central banks" refers to the oil profits from the Gulf States & Saudi Arabia invested in T-Bills to finance the US deficit (MIC, USAID, Somali fraud scandal, Obamacare, gay comic books in Peru, etc.), Look no farther for the worthlessness of US "security guarantees" that Zelensky is begging for than what is happening to the undemocratic corrupt oligarchic Gulf States now. RobSAbnormal is fine. Stupid isn't. 13:59, March 27, 2026 (EDT)
The Great Leveling: Median income in the Gulf States in some cases exceeds $60,000 per year, while US economic sanctions on Iran for the past 47 years have held Iran's median income under $6,000. Sure, Iran has much more population, but the economic sanctions have also widened the disparity.

Arms race

It is too late to execute a full reextension of the nuclear arms control agreement, but the U.S. can take steps toward stability with Russia.
"nothing would come of it without the involvement of the United Kingdom and the French Republic, as the United States' closest allies, both possessing nuclear weapons and, in the current, highly tense international situation, pursuing a highly aggressive course toward our country. Therefore, ignoring their nuclear arsenals would be irresponsible."
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