The 2024 United States presidential election, the 60th quadrennial presidential election, will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. While the Democratic nominee remains uncertain, President Donald Trump has a commanding lead over all challengers. Impeachment proceedings were initiated against Joe Biden in September 2023.
The Republican Party announced debate rules beginning with its requirement that each candidate be a natural-born citizen, but then hypocritically failed to apply that to disqualify Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy.
On January 15, 2024, the GOP will hold its Iowa Caucuses, which is two weeks sooner than in 2020. A week later shall be the New Hampshire primary, on Tuesday, January 23, and then the next GOP primary will not be until Saturday, February 24, in South Carolina. Michigan follows that, on Tuesday, February 17.
Democrats are holding theirs in a different sequence this time, to help boost Biden. South Carolina will begin on Saturday, February 3, then Nevada three days later, on Tuesday, February 6, and subsequently Michigan on Tuesday, February 27.
- See also: Republican presidential candidates 2024
Former President Donald Trump is considered a likely candidate to reclaim his office. Notwithstanding "polling data" to the contrary, he maintains a high popularity level among Republican voters who identify as conservative or very conservative. However, only one time has a former President ever reclaimed the office, that being Grover Cleveland who lost to, then defeated, Benjamin Harrison. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and more than a half-dozen other candidates are funded by dark money globalists.
If former President Trump fails to secure the nomination, two current Governors -- Greg Abbott of Texas and Ron DeSantis of Florida -- have had their names floated as possible candidates. Both lead conservative states with fast-growing populations -- Texas is the second-largest state, Florida the third -- and each state is expected to gain at least one seat in the Electoral College once official Census numbers are announced. Both Abbott and DeSantis would be in the middle of their second terms in office in 2024. DeSantis is term-limited under Florida law, and furthermore Florida law would have to change to allow him to keep his office while seeking the Presidency; Abbott is not term-limited and could run for President while keeping his seat, not having to resign until and unless elected (as did his predecessor George W. Bush in 2000, who remained in the Governor's office until the contentious election was finally settled, then resigned prior to the beginning of the Texas Legislature's session), as Texas law has neither of the Florida law's restrictions.
During the first nationally televised presidential debate from Milwaukee scheduled for August 23, 2023 at 9 PM EDT on Fox News, President Trump declined to participate, and offered a competing alternative interview with fired Fox News host Tucker Carlson on X, formerly known as Twitter, in the same timeslot. The Trump interview drew 231,000,000 views, the most viewed social media interview in the history of social media. The debate on cable network news, a relic of a bygone era, averaged a paltry 13 million views.
As it is highly unusual for an incumbent President who is eligible for a second term in office not to seek such, Joe Biden announced his candidacy for re-election in April 2023. As the incumbent he should have an advantage over a primary challenger for the nomination, however no incumbent in recent memory with a primary challenger has won re-election in the general election. In September 2023, impeachment proceedings were initiated against Biden by the US House of Representatives.
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., heir of the Kennedy mantle who espouses much of his father and uncle's ideas, and Marianne Williamson were the first to announce challenges to Biden's leadership. After Kennedy was denied a debate with all declared candidates by the DNC, Kennedy dropped out of the Democrat party to run on a third party ticket. Rep. Dean Phillips of Minnesota and legalized-bestiality advocate Cenk Uygur of the Young Turks both announced candidacy for the nomination in October 2023.
On Election Day Biden would be 15 days shy of his 82nd birthday, which would make him by far the oldest candidate ever. With questions raised about his mental fitness (as well as physical fitness), it is possible voters may seek an alternative, or that he may decide to step down from office prior to completing his term.
If so, then it is likely that current Vice President Kamala Harris will run, either as the incumbent VP or the incumbent President. Her electability has also been called into question, but as an incumbent (either as VP or POTUS) she is supposed to have an advantage. Former mayor over the systemically racist South Bend police department, Trans Sec. Pete Buttigieg has been named as a possible replacement. The Pelosi acolyte presiding over the catastrophe that has become California, Gavin Newsom is being considered by party machine regulars, insiders and donors.
Bu August 2023 reports were circulating that the DNC-aligned MSM was set to pull the trigger on Biden and begin paving the way for his replacement by someone other than RFK Jr. However, the problem remained of disposing of Kamala Harris as well, out of the justifiable fear that DNC insiders may be called out publicly for the racists that they are.
On January 24, 2024 the Biden team announced deputy chief of staff Jennifer O'Malley Dillon would become chair of the Biden campaign committee. O'Malley Dillon called Republicans "a bunch of f***** ".
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. announced his candidacy on a third party ticket on October 9, 2023.
Both the Libertarian Party and the Green Party will almost likely run candidates of their own, being the two largest of the "third parties" with ballot status in all 50 United States. In Europe where the Green Party originated, because the modern Russian Federation has rejected Soviet communism and adopted Orthodox Christianity, the Green party has abandoned its traditional anti-war positions and has become a leading War Party in support of globalism, the Great Reset, and the military industrial complex. It has yet to be seen what the future of the American Green party is. Dr, Cornel West announced his candidacy on the Peoples Party ticket in June 2023 and dropped out in October 2023. West has been highly critical of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders for backing the neocon Democrat party establishment warmongers and not supporting his candidacy.
Other minor parties and non-affiliated candidates are expected to run as well. The last such candidate to have any effect on the overall outcome was Ross Perot in his two attempts, both times gaining enough votes to allow Bill Clinton to win states by a plurality instead of a majority (votes that likely would have gone to the Republican candidate in both cases). West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin, affiliated with the "No Label" movement, was also mentioned as a rebuke to the far left craziness which dominates the DNC voter base in 2024. Manchin officially withdrew his name from consideration on February 16, 2024.
A Harvard Harris poll released in late October 2023, after Robert Kennedy announced his 3rd party bid, still showed President Trump defeating both Kennedy and the Democrat nominee.
2024 swing states for the U.S. presidential election
The 2024 swing states for the 2024 U.S. presidential election are Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin and Nevada. The three states of Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin reportedly flipped from Trump in 2016 to Biden in 2020. Trump can win the 2024 presidential election by focusing on and winning these four states - especially the three states of Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin.
Swing states, other close states and campaign spending
The 2024 election is expected to be the most expensive cycle in history, according to an AdImpact report. Presidential general election spending is projected to ramp up to $2.1 billion, with seven battlegrounds driving three-fourths of that spending.
- Excluding candidates who served the remainder of a predecessor's term and then a full term of their own, only four Presidents -- James Polk, Franklin Pierce, James Buchanan, and Rutherford Hayes -- have declined to seek a second term after serving one full term. Lyndon Johnson who was eligible for a second term, dropped out after being challenged by Robert Kennedy, Sr. during a period of economic and civil unrest at home, and an unpopular proxy war against Russia abroad.
- Like his friend and predecessor Strom Thurmond he thinks he can go on forever.
- Biden's new campaign chair previously called Republicans a 'bunch of f---ers', Joe Schoffstall, January 24, 2024. news.yahoo.com
- Some parties with ballot status in 36 states can attract nationwide attention.
- West slams AOC, Bernie Sanders for refusing to 'tell the truth' about Joe Biden, The Hill, August 15, 2023.
- Joe Manchin Indicates Possibly Leaving Democrat Party Before 2024.
- Inside the Recount, Steve Friess, The New Republic, February 15, 2017. newrepublic.com
- Expert says 2024 race will likely come down to 4 key states, Spectrum News
- Campaign cash floods 2024 swing states, Axios, 2023