2022 midterm elections

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See also 2022 midterm debates.
House standings as reported by Realclearpolitics 11/10/22, 48 hrs after the polls closed.

The 2022 midterm elections were held on November 8, 2022, to determine membership in the 118th Congress for all seats in the United States House of Representatives in addition to Class III U.S. senators. A number of statewide elections were also be held, including gubernatorial races.

An extensive analysis of voting data showed that turnout by young college-educated voters, who tend to be liberal, was higher than the turnout by young non-college-educated voters and this may have swayed some outcomes.[1] The liberal media spin that the abortion issue caused an increase in turnout by young women is not supported by an analysis of the election data.[1]

The Republican Party won 51.1% of the total vote for the House of Representatives, totaling 52,914,952, while the Democrats won only 47%, totaling 48,717,352.[2] In a repudiation of liberals including Biden and Nancy Pelosi, Republicans won control of the House.

The top U.S. Senate races were in Nevada, Georgia and Arizona, where the party that wins two out of those three races will take control of the Senate and the outcomes were unresolved as of the day after the election. More than $250 million was spent by the weekend before the election in Georgia alone, a third of which was by the candidates.[3]

As of November 15, 2022, left-leaning Politico admitted that the GOP was merely one seat away from winning the House. The Dropbox Dems would have to win 14 out of 14 uncalled seats to continue its control of that all-important chamber.[4]

Tens of millions of dollars were spent by Big Weed to legalize recreational cannabis in the Midwest, but three of four states there voted it down by landslide margins: Arkansas, North Dakota, and South Dakota. This stunning defeat of Big Weed may effectively ends its movement to legitimize marijuana nationwide. It narrowly passed in only Missouri and also, by a wider margin, in ultra-liberal Maryland.

Overall, more than a billion dollars were spent on ballot initiatives, including more than $50 million on the pro-abortion side of several initiatives on that issue.[5]

The Democrat majority in Congress was ousted by voters despite their ballot harvesting and vastly outspending Republican candidates. The liberal FiveThirtyEight lamented that most Republicans running against the election fraud of 2020 would win.[6] Only in the final week did FiveThirtyEight begin to predict a GOP takeover of the U.S. Senate, based on a prediction that Herschel Walker and Paul Laxalt would oust Dem incumbents.

In 2022, the four incumbent Democrat senators most vulnerable to defeat are: Mark Kelly (D-AZ), Raphael Warnock (D-GA), Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV), and Maggie Hassan (D-NH). FiveThirtyEight posts a sophisticated estimate who is mostly like to prevail in each midterm race.[7]

This midterm election was the most expensive midterm election ever, surpassing the 2018 midterms by more than $50 million in spending.[8]

RealClearPolitics observes that polling that this time historically underestimate GOP performance, and after factoring this into account predicts a Republican takeover of the Senate by gaining 2 seats.[9] Other forecasters, such as The Economist, predict a 51–49 victory by Democrats.[10] Fivethirtyeight was predicting a Dem majority in the Senate based on these midterm elections, or at least a continuation of the status quo, but beginning October 5, 2022, it began to backpedal on the confidence of its prediction. Nearly daily in early October the likelihood of the GOP winning control of the Senate inched up in the forecast by Fivethirtyeight, and by nine days before the election Fivethirtyeight says the outcome is a 49%-51% dead heat likelihood (GOP-Dem) of which party gains control.[7]

Discrepancy between RCP and FiveThirtyEight predictions

American Greatness explains the discrepancy between RCP and FiveThirtyEight:[11]

Tens of billions of dollars were transferred to Ukraine then laundered back to Democrats in advance of the 2022 Midterm elections.[12]
FiveThirtyEight’s projections appear to be favoring Democrats for two main reasons: They don’t seem to take into account recent years’ polling biases favoring Democrats. And they don’t appear to give any weight to the notion that most late-deciding voters will likely move against the party of an unpopular president. ... RCP’s projections, on the other hand, take into account the degree to which polling five weeks out from previous three federal elections was off, and in which direction it erred.

FTX scandal

See also: FTX scandal

The FTX crypto slush fund run by Sam Bankman-Fried and his MIT college buddies laundered money for Ukraine into nearly $40 million worth of campaign donations for Democrats in the 2022 Midterm elections.[13] In 2022 Joe Biden and the Democrats pushed through $65 billion in funding for Ukraine, using US taxpayer money. Internationally, over $100 billion has been donated to Ukraine, according to www.Devex.com which has compiled worldwide donations and grants to Ukrainian. The corrupt Zelensky regime partnered with a corrupt crypto slush fund to take tax payer dollars from corrupt US government officials and funneled them into the hands of corrupt Democrat candidates to win rigged 2022 Midterm elections.[14]

Campaign spending

The New York Times did an analysis of campaign spending for this election, particularly by top donors.[15] Their influence was mixed at best. Arguably political spending, despite increasingly enormously, is becoming less significant in election outcomes. On March 7, 2023, a referendum to legalize recreational marijuana in Oklahoma failed by a landslide vote of 38%-62%, despite spending being 20–1 in favor of it.

Issues

The enduring image of Biden's concern for the health, safety, and well-being of Americans.[16][17]

Early polling reported by Politico surveyed the Top issues on voters’ minds:[18]

  • The economy (e.g. taxes, wages, jobs, unemployment and spending): 39%The
  • Security (e.g. terrorism, foreign policy and border security): 16%
  • Health care (e.g. the ACA, Medicaid): 12%
  • Seniors’ issues (e.g. Medicare and Social Security): 11%
  • Women's issues (e.g. birth control, abortion rights and equal pay): 6%
  • Education (e.g. school standards, class sizes, school choice and student loans): 4%
  • Energy (e.g. carbon emissions, cost of electricity/gasoline and renewables): 6%
  • Other: 6%

Leftists' Biggest Puppets

The top two puppets of Leftist donors, mostly from California, are Senators Raphael Warnock (D-GA) and Mark Kelly (D-AZ), as more than $115 million in leftwing donations have poured into Warnock's struggling campaign.[3]

Inflation

Biden shut down energy production on the first day he occupied the Oval Office.
See also: Build Back Better, Great Reset, and Green New Deal

In less than 18 months of the Biden regime and Democrat control of both houses, inflation soared to a 40-year eating into paychecks and impoverishing the American people. Personal savings has dropped from a record $4.8 trillion during President Trump's last year in office to $628 billion.[19]

A number of "moderate" Democrats at one point vowed to oppose a massive pork bill pushed by Biden if it did not their demands to restrain spending and potential deficits; they broke their pledged assertions in voting for passage despite their parameters not being met.[20]

Crime

See also: Democrat urban issues

The Democratic Party leads in corrupt municipal governance. 20 of the 20 Most Dangerous Cities in America are run by Democrats. Most dangerous cities are determined by the rate of violent crime per 100,000 people.[21] Most have not had Republican mayors or Republican controlled city councils and school boards in half a century. Cheatsheet.com lists the 15 most corrupt cities in America. Thirteen of the 15 mayors are Democrats.[22]

While Democrat politicians have pumped money into various "urban issues", "projects", and "affairs" over decades, none would dare live in these segregated "urban areas" or take their friends and relatives on a tour visiting the city. Much of the money allocated ends up in front organizations for voter registration drives.[23]

The situation is compounded by White Democrat opposition to improving schools and educational opportunities for Blacks and minorities.[24]

The defund the police movement, no-cash bail laws, and progressive prosecutors led to a crime wave across cities, especially in historically Democrat-controlled cities. Black people represented a massive share of murder victims in six major cities through the first six months of 2021 compared to 2020, which itself saw a large crime surge, according to data analyzed by the Daily Caller News Foundation.[25]

Transgender brainwashing and child grooming in public schools

Parent arrested at Loudoun County, Virginia school board meeting after his daughter was raped in a public school transgender bathroom.

Parents became more concerned about transgender indoctrination and brainwashing in public schools, as well as child grooming by public school teachers. The Biden FBI has placed parents who speak at or attend school board meetings under surveillance, including electronic monitoring, as suspected domestic terrorists.

Immigration

See also: Biden border crisis

An estimated 117,000 migrants crossed the border in February 2021 at the going rate for smuggling humans of $10,000 each, totaling well over $1.1 billion for the cartels and human trafficking networks.[26] 150,000 in March,[27] and 178,000 in April 2021, a two-decade high for a single month. 17,000 of those in April were unaccompanied children.[28] People from Yemen, Iran and Sri Lanka were crossing the border, as well as people on the terrorist watch list.[29] Democrat Reps. Vicente Gonzalez and Henry Cuellar criticized the junta's mishandling of the crisis.[30] Cuellar, whose district sits on the Mexican border where the Biden border crisis was occurring, advocated for the re-institution of President Donald Trump's Remain in Mexico program for asylum seekers.[31] In January 2022 the Biden FBI ransacked Cuellar's home.[32]

It is estimated that about 12,000 criminal illegal aliens per month will not be deported from the United States throughout the existence of the Biden/Harris regime.[33] These illegals can vote unchallenged under the Democrats "For the People Act".[34] Biden also canceled the Trump era Operation Talon which focused on deporting illegal child sex traffickers and sexual predators.[35]

The Biden junta further scrapped the “public charge” rule—a government policy that sought to limit admissions of immigrants likely to become reliant on government benefits.[36]

Political repression

Following the 2021 Capitol protests, Democrats accused President Trump of inciting an unarmed "insurrection". Ten mostly establishment-leaning Republicans joined House Democrats in passing an impeachment resolution,[37] which the Senate voted on after Trump left office. By election day, election fraud protesters were still being held in the DC gulag on trespassing charges.

Left-wing violence

See also: Leftwing violence under the Biden junta

In September 2021, a left-wing group sent a letter to the Federal Communications Commission which suggested murdering Republicans to "reclaim our democracy."[38] In Florida, a volunteer canvasser for Gov. Ron DeSantis and Sen. Marco Rubio was beaten mercilessly by liberal fascists requiring facial reconstruction surery.

On the eve of the 2022 Midterms, the White House Visitors Center still had Donald Trump displayed as the current sitting president.[39]

Election integrity

See also: Election integrity

The Department of Homeland Security admitted in June 2022 that Dominion Voting Systems have inherent vulnerabilities easily manipulated by local election officials.[40]

Citizens who posted comments about the integrity of the 2020 presidential election on social media were subject to FBI harassment, arrest and imprisonment. Catherine Engelbrecht of True The Vote, a voter integrity and poll watching project, was arrested by the Biden Justice Department and thrown in jail 8 days before election day while early voting was in progress.[41][42]

Mar-a-Lago raid

See also: Mar-a-Lago raid

The Mar-a-Lago raid was a combination of a politically motivated stunt in advance of the 2022 Midterm elections and an effort to cover up documentary evidence of FBI wrongdoing in possession of President Donald Trump. It also attempted to discredit President Trump as a candidate for president in the 2024 presidential election. The warrant served had no basis in law under the Presidential Records Act, the Federal Records Act, or the Espionage Act as alleged by the Department of Justice-National Security Division (DOJ-NSD). During the FBI break-in, the FBI stole privileged attorney-client materials outside the scope of the search warrant, among other personal property.[43]

Biden regime human rights abuses

See also: Biden/Harris attack on civil liberties

Glenn Greenwald observed:

"Involvement of the intelligence community in the domestic activities of U.S. citizens is one of the most dangerous breaches of civil liberties and democratic order the U.S. Government can perpetrate. It was after World War II when the CIA, the NSA and other security state agencies that wield immense and unlimited powers in the dark were created in the name of fighting the Cold War. Legal and institutional prohibitions on wielding that massive machinery against the American public were central to the always-dubious claim that this security behemoth that operates completely in the dark was compatible with democracy. As the ACLU noted, “in its 1947 charter, the CIA was prohibited from spying against Americans, in part because President Truman was afraid that the agency would engage in political abuse.”[44]

CNET reported the following back in 2008:

“Months before the Oklahoma City bombing took place, Biden introduced another bill called the Omnibus Counterterrorism Act of 1995. It previewed the 2001 Patriot Act by allowing secret evidence to be used in prosecutions, expanding the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act and wiretap laws, creating a new federal crime of ‘terrorism’ that could be invoked based on political beliefs, permitting the U.S. military to be used in civilian law enforcement, and allowing permanent detention of non-U.S. citizens without judicial review. The Center for National Security Studies said the bill would erode ‘constitutional and statutory due process protections’ and would ‘authorize the Justice Department to pick and choose crimes to investigate and prosecute based on political beliefs and associations.’[45]

Democrat institutional racism

See also: Democratic Party#Racist Democrat officials
Biden's Dark Brandon speech with a hellscape background where he declared Civil War on American citizens.

In June 2019, Joe Biden boasted of his "civility" with white supremacist senator James Eastland several decades ago:[46]

I was in a caucus with James O. Eastland. He never called me ‘boy,’ He always called me ‘son.’

Following the racially insensitive remarks, many members in the Congressional Black Caucus, who have been known to erroneously accuse Trump of white supremacy, defended Biden[47] and later endorsed him in the 2020 presidential election. Biden has also defended neo-Confederates, calling them "very fine people":[48]

I, too, heard that speech and, for the public listening to this, the senator [Howell Heflin] made a very moving and eloquent speech. As a son of the Confederacy, acknowledging that it was time to change and yield to a position that Sen. Carol Moseley-Braun raised on the Senate floor, not granting a federal charter to an organization made up of many fine people who continue to display the Confederate flag as a symbol.

Biden, 1993

In late August 2021, Biden referred to black adviser Cedric Richmond by a racially derogatory term:[49]

I’m here with my senior adviser and, uh, boy who knows Louisiana very well, man. And New Orleans. Cedric Richmond.

—Biden, August 2021

The term "boy" has historically been used by Southern white supremacists to insult black men by insinuating that they were unequal, and to this day is considered a racial epithet when used in such a context.[50]

Abortion

On September 24, 2021, House Democrats passed a pro-abortion bill in response to the refusal of the United States Supreme Court to block the Texas Heartbeat Act.[51] In a demonstration of the unified far-leftism, only one House Democrat (Henry Cuellar of Texas) opposed the measure. Cuellar became the target of FBI arrest and was defeated in the primaries.

With the Supreme Court overturning the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision, leftist violence erupted as Democrat Leader Cuck Schumer promised and assured. A leftwing insurrectionist was arrested for the attempted murder of Justice Brett Kavanaugh after a progressive domestic extremist group put bounties on several Supreme Court Justices heads.[52]

Chris Christie predicted that the Dems. will regret focusing that much on this as the issue.[53]

Court packing

In 2021, White House officeholder Joseph R. Biden established a commission via executive order that would consider court packing in retaliation against the successful nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to the United States Supreme Court.[54][55] Court packing has traditionally been[56] – and still is[57] – highly unpopular among the majority of Americans.

Foreign policy

Ukraine-Spending-1-Map-1024x680.jpg

Funding to protect Ukraine's borders while ignoring America's borders, as well as funding for Ukrainian law enforcement while defunding American police helped fuel inflation.

Biden, given the nickname "Fool of Kabul" over the botched Afghanistan withdrawal which led to a Taliban rise, has sunken the chances of so-called "moderate Democrats" in swing congressional districts being re-elected in 2022,[58] a fact even CNN admits.[59]

United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken under the administration of present White House officeholder Biden has faced an impeachment resolution introduced by Republican representatives over disastrous policies pertaining to Afghanistan.[60]

NATO war in Ukraine

See also: NATO war in Ukraine
Americans spent $54 billion on NATO's war in Ukraine with no end in sight.

After the disgraceful pullout from Afghanistan, abandonong $83 billion worth of equipment to terrorists, 57 House members -- all Republican -- voted against the $40 Billion aid to perpetuate war in Ukraine bill, HR 7691.[61] The original bill, S. 3522 (The Ukraine Democracy Defense Lend-Lease Act of 2022, was introduced in the Senate on January 19, 2022, more than 5 weeks before the Russian incursion into Ukraine began.[62] Only $6 billion will actually make it to Ukraine.[63] The bill pays the salaries and pensions of Ukrainian government officials, effectively making Ukraine a U.S. colony. The United States would have to borrow the $40 billion from the Peoples Republic of China in order to fund the bill.[64]

One of the first actions of the Ukrainian parliament after receiving the aid was to vote themselves a 70% payraise.[65] A CBS News documentary found that only 30% of U.S. aid sent to Ukraine ever made it to the front lines.[66][67]

In addition to paying the salaries of the corrupt civil service system, the Ukrainian government, terminated social security pensions for Ukrainian citizens of Russian origin.[68]

Iron Dome funding

In May 2021, House Democrats voted against a measure sponsored by Texas Republican Tony Gonzales for Israel's Iron Dome, which has saved thousands of lives.[69] Two weeks later, a number of them flip-flopped and claimed to support the military defensive system.[70]

On September 22, 2021, several far-left progressive Democrats in the House worked to strip funding for the Iron Dome.[71] They were ultimately outmaneuvered when the House included the funding in a separate bill.[72] Following their defeat, the group of anti-Zionist representatives raged and seethed.[73] Rashida Tlaib falsely accused Israel of apartheid and was condemned by fellow Democrat Ted Deutch for anti-Semitism.[74]

The Democrats who attempted to strip Iron Dome funding were Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Rashida Tlaib, Ayanna Pressley, Betty McCollum, Jamaal Bowman, Cori Bush, Pramila Jayapal, and Ilhan Omar.[71]

Iran

On September 21, 2021, Biden stated that a return to the Iran nuclear deal would be likely.[75] Only several days later, a watchdog report emerged asserting that Iran failed to comply with a United Nations agreement regarding nuclear weapon inspections.[76]

Miami Dade FL

In an interview, titling it: "Miami-Dade: A 'Red' County?" - South FL's CBS' Jim DeFede[77] said that the Democrats might have made a mistake, assuming that only the older generation of Cubans vote Republican but the younger generation will just all vote Democrat.

Answering to the possibility of Miami Dade County turning Red, Rene Garcia, as well as about the Dems. pointing to having previously a few extremists in the party, like the Proud Boys.

"We are the most diverse [Republican group] in Florida and maybe the most diverse group in the country." Pointing to the left not denouncing the Woke ideology. "I will denounce any fascist here. There is no room for any hate. They [the keft] try to paint us as fascists.. I have denounced them. We are not about that. We are quite the opposite.. The Democrats have taken the Hispanic group for granted..." He also mentioned areas Surfside (electing recently GOP) and Sunny Isles turning red.

On Nov 1, 2022, Biden cane to S. Florida. [78]

CBS Miami's Jim DeFede explained, that Biden comes as Crist is far behind in the polls.

DeSantis reacted that "misery loves company."

Washington State

In a piece titled: Lefty Washington State Is Now 'Ground Zero for Wave Election Upset' in Senate Race, it was reported at the end of Oct 2022:[79]

Things are getting more interesting in the U.S. Senate race between that barnacle-encrusted boat anchor, Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.), and veterans’ activist and nurse Tiffany Smiley, the Republican. RealClearPolitics has moved the race from “leans Democrat” to “toss-up.” One poll predicts that “right now, the Washington Senate race has become ground zero for a wave election upset.”

Key Senate races

There are six Senate races considered to be toss-ups, half currently held by one side or the other:

An additional two Senate races are close but seem to favor one side:

Within a week prior to the election, poll showed, the Senate battle coming down to Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania.[80]

Competitive Senate races

State Race Comment Outcome
Alaska Lisa Murkowski (R) vs Kelly Tshibaka (R) vs Patricia Chesbro (D) RINO Lisa Murkowski succeeded in finishing first place because many Democrats voted for her in primary election. However, since there is a Democratic candidate in the general election, there is a chance for Tshibaka to win.
Arizona Mark Kelly (D) vs Blake Masters (R) RINO Minority leader Mitch McConnell decided to not fund Blake Masters campaign for unknown reason. Recent polls showing fake moderate Mark Kelly leading with lean margin.
Florida Marco Rubio (R) vs Val Demings (D) Recent polls showing Marco Rubio leading safely.
Georgia Raphael Warnock (D) vs Herschel Walker (R) Trusted polls like Trafalgar and Emerson college showing Walker leading.
Nevada Catherine Cortez Masto (D) vs Adam Laxalt (R) Masto seems to be weakest incumbent senator in this election. Many trusted polls like Trafalgar showing former Nevada Attorney general leading with 3 points. Laxalt benefited from backing of entire GOP in country.
New Hampshire Maggie Hassan (D) vs Donald Bolduc (R) Due to low Biden approval rating in state, Republicans have chance to win this race in state that didn't like incumbents. However, due to Bolduc's former statements for supporting war in Ukraine in state historically being anti war, Bolduc could lose. Bolduc retracted his statement on Ukraine War, and latest polls showing the race is to tied.
North Carolina Ted Budd (R) vs Cheri Beasley (D) Primary election showed that Ted Budd has high popularity in North Carolina. Most polls showing him lead with lean margin. Ted Budd would upgrade over RINO incumbent Richard Burr who will retire in 2023.
Ohio JD Vance (R) vs Tim Ryan (D) Populist JD Vance has better chance to win in state that Trump did better in 2020 than 2016. Tim Ryan portray himself as moderate while he vote with Biden 100%.
Pennsylvania Mehmet Oz (R) vs John Fetterman (D) Mehmet Oz still struggled to gain MAGA base due to being socially liberal in past, however his opponent is very unelectable candidate due being too far left and has poor health and mental condition.
Washington Patty Murray (D) vs Tiffany Smiley (R) 30 years incumbent Senator become very unpopular in blue state such Washington. Tiffany Smiley is leading good campaign, however polls still showing Murray leading with likely margin.
Wisconsin Ron Johnson (R) vs Mandela Barnes (D) Ron Johnson has better chance to win, due his popularity in Wisconsin and due to that his opponent is very far left who hate Police.

Competitive Gubernatorial races

State Race Comment Outcome
Arizona Kari Lake (R) vs Katie Hobbs (D) Most trusted polls like Trafalgar and Remington showing Lake lead with lean margin over corrupt incumbent Arizona secretary of state Katie Hobbs. Also Katie Hobbs cowardly refusing to debate Kari Lake showing that she is weak candidate.
Colorado Jared Polis (D) vs Heidi Ganahl (R) Jared Polis has better chance to win due to his approval ratting in state and due to third-party candidates who would ruin Republican chances
Connecticut Ned Lamont (D) vs Bob Stefanowoski (R) The two candidates will face each other again. Ned Lamont barely won in 2018 in blue wave year against Stefanowoski.
Florida Ron DeSantis (R) vs Charlie Crist (D) Most polls showing DeSantis lead with likely margin against bigot former governor Charlie Crist.
Georgia Brian Kemp (R) vs Stacey Abrams (D) Brian Kemp has better chance to win due to that his opponent being too far left
Kansas Laura Kelly (D) vs Derek Schmidt (R) Derek Schmidt has better chance to win over incumbent partisan Laura Kelly
Maine Janet Mills (D) vs Paul LePage (R) Due to Mills's pro lockdown policies in Maine, the former Governor Paul LePage has chance to win
Michigan Gretchen Whitmer (D) vs Tudor Dixon (R) Most polls showing Whitmer has better chance to win, however Whitmer cowardly refusing to debate before early voting could cost her many votes.
Minnesota Tim Walz (D) vs Scott Jensen (R) Tim Walz leading most polls, however third party votes such as Legal Marijuana party could cost him many votes. Latest poll from Trafalgar had showing Jensen lead over incumbent Governor.
Nevada Steve Sisolak (D) vs Joe Lombardo (R) Joe Lombardo has good chance to win due to low approval ratting of incumbent governor. Most Trusted polls such as Trafalgar show Lombardo leading by lean margin
New Mexico Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) vs Mark Ronchetti (R) Grisham has low approval ratting and many scandals. Ronchetti lead in some polls.
New York Kathy Hochul (D) vs Lee Zeldin (R) Some polls showed this race is close, Zeldin could win because of low approval rating of Hochul.
Oregon Tina Kotek (D) vs Christine Drazan (R) vs Betsy Johnson (I) Oregon is very hard state for Republicans to win, but because of two far left candidates facing each other, Republican have very good chance to win this race first time since 1979.
Pennsylvania Josh Shapiro (D) vs Doug Mastriano (R) Corrupt Josh Shapiro and his Democrats allies falsely accusing Mastriano for being far Right, however Mastriano leading very good campaign. Shapiro cowardly also refuse to debate Mastriano. RGA leading by RINO Doug Ducey decide to not fund Mastriano, while they fund uncompetitive races like Ohio and Oklahoma.
Rhode Island Dan McKee (D) vs Ashley Kalus (R) Dan McKee is very unpopular Governor who barely won primary election. Republicans by Ashely Kalus have good chance to win this race
Texas Greg Abbott (R) vs Beto O'Rourke (D) Far left Beto O'Rourk thinking himself in blue wave year and has chance against Abbott. Most polls showing Abbott lead by safe margin.
Wisconsin Tony Evers (D) vs Tim Michels (R) Evers has bad approval ratting in state, Michels has good chance to win.

Competitive House of Representatives races

State District Race Comment Outcome
Alaska At-large Mary Peltola (D) vs Sarah Palin (R) vs Nick Begich III (R) The race become harder for Republicans to win because of two Republicans facing each other which benefit Democrats and neither one of them want to drop.
Arizona 1st David Schweikert (R) vs Devin Hodge (D) Schweikert has the toughest primary in Arizona, however his far left socialist opponent who consider himself as "Incel" don't seem has chance against Schweikert.
Arizona 2nd Tom O'Halleran (D) vs Eli Crane (R) After redistricting, O'Halleran chance become very low to keep his seat.
Arizona 4th Greg Stanton (D) vs Kelly Cooper (R) America first candidate Kelly Cooper running very good campaign and he could win the election.
Arizona 6th Kirsten Engel (D) vs Juan Ciscomani (R) Ann Kirkpatrick representative of this district will retire. Republicans have good chance to flip this seat.
California 9th Josh Harder (D) vs Tom Patti (R) Recent polls show very competitive race between the two. Republicans have chance to flip this seat.
California 13th Adam Gray (D) vs John Duarte (R) New swing district, which Republicans can win.
California 21th Jim Costa (D) vs Michael Maher (R)
California 22th David Valadao (R) vs Rudy Salas (D) David Valadao one of 10 impeachers barely won primary election, despite Trump didn't endorse any candidate against him. Valadao could lose the election due to many Trump supporters would refuse vote for him.
California 27th Mike Garcia (R) vs Christy Smith (D) Mike Gracia due to being in district that Biden won in 2020, he has very tough race.
Colorado 7th Brittany Pettersen (D) vs Erik Aadland (R) Due to retirement of Incumbent Ed Perlmutter, America first candidate Erik Aadland has chance to flip this seat.
Colorado 8th Yadira Caravaeo (D) vs Barbara Kirkmeyer (R) New district which Democrats choose far left to compete to this race, so Republicans have very good chance to win this seat.
Connecticut 2nd Joe Courtney (D) vs Mike France (R)
Connecticut 5th Jahana Hayes (D) vs George Logan (R)
Florida 7th Karen Green (D) vs Cory Mills (R) After redistricting, Republicans have good chance to win this seat.
Florida 13th Eric Lynn (D) vs Anna Luna Paulina (R) This district represented by Charlie Crist who run for Governor. Republicans have good chance to flip it.
Florida 15th Laurel Lee (R) vs Alan Cohn (D) New district the former Florida Secretary of State has better chance to win.
Georgia 6th Bob Christian (D) vs Rich McCormick (R) After redistricting McCormick has better chance to win.
Georgia 7th Lucy McBath (D) vs Mark Gonsalves (R) Despite being on blue district, Lucy McBath refused to show up to debate against her opponent which could lead to her possible lose.
Illinois 6th Sean Casten (D) vs Keith Pekau (R)
Illinois 11th Bill Foster (D) vs Catalina Lauf (R) The primary turnout was very good in this district, Republicans have chance to flip this district.
Illinois 13th Nikki Budzinski (D) vs Regan Deering (R) New district which Republicans have good chance to win it
Illinois 14th Lauren Underwood (D) vs Scott Gryder (R)
Illinois 17th Eric Sorensen (D) vs Esther Joy King (R) Due retirement of incumbent Cheri Bustos, Republicans have good chance to flip this district.
Indiana 1st Frank Mrvan (D) vs Jennifer-Ruth Green (R)
Iowa 1st Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) vs Christina Bohannan (D)
Iowa 2nd Ashley Hinson (R) vs Liz Mathis (D)
Iowa 3rd Cindy Axne (D) vs Zach Nunn (R)
Kansas 3rd Sharice Davids (D) vs Amanda Adkins (R) Recent polls show Amanda Adkins lead
Maine 2nd Jared Golden (D) vs Bruce Poliquin (R)
Maryland 6th David Trone (D) vs Neil Parrott (R)
Michigan 3rd John Gibbs (R) vs Hillary Scholten (D)
Michigan 7th Elissa Slotkin (D) vs Tom Barrett (R)
Michigan 8th Dan Kildee (D) vs Paul Junge (R)
Michigan 10th Carl Marlinga (D) vs John James (R)
Minnesota 2nd Angie Craig (D) vs Tyler Kistner (R) Craig barely won in 2020, Tyler Kistner has good chance to win due to third-party candidate
Nevada 1st Dina Titus (D) vs Mark Robertson (R)
Nevada 3rd Susie Lee (D) vs April Becker (R)
Nevada 4th Steven Horsford (D) vs Sam Peters (R)
New Hampshire 1st Chris Pappas (D) vs Karoline Leavitt (R)
New Hampshire 2nd Annie Kuster (D) vs Robert Burns (R)
New Jersey 3rd Andy Kim (D) vs Bob Healey (R)
New Jersey 5th Josh Gottheimer (D) vs Frank Pallotta (R)
New Jersey 7th Tom Malinowski (D) vs Thomas Kean Jr. (R)
New Mexico 1st Melanie Stansbury (D) vs Michelle Garcia Holmes (R)
New Mexico 2nd Yvette Herrell (R) vs Gabe Vasquez (D)
New Mexico 3rd Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) vs Alexis Martinez Johnson (R)
New York 4th Laura Gillen (D) vs Anthony D'Esposito (R)
New York 17th Sean Patrick Maloney (D) vs Michael Lawler (R) - (Lawler won).
New York 18th Pat Ryan (D) vs Colin Schmitt (R)
New York 19th Josh Riley (D) vs Marc Molinaro (R)
New York 20th Paul Tonko (D) vs Liz Joy (R)
North Carolina 1st Don Davis (D) vs Sandy Smith (R)
North Carolina 13th Bo Hines (R) vs Wiley Nickel (D)
Ohio 9th Marcy Kaptur (D) vs J. R. Majewski (R) After redistricting America first candidate J. R. Majewski has very good chance to flip this district
Ohio 13th Emilia Sykes (D) vs Madison Gesiotto (R)
Oregon 4th Val Hoyle (D) vs Alek Skarlatos (R) The district could due to retirement of incumbent Peter DeFazio.
Oregon 5th Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D) vs Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) Far left socialist Jamie McLeod-Skinner defeated incumbent representative Kurt Schrader, Republicans by Lori Chavez-DeRemer have good chance to flip it.
Oregon 6th Andrea Salinas (D) vs Mike Erickson (R)
Pennsylvania 6th Chrissy Houlahan (D) vs Guy Ciarrocchi (R)
Pennsylvania 7th Susan Wild (D) vs Lisa Scheller (R)
Pennsylvania 8th Matt Cartwright (D) vs Jim Bognet (R)
Pennsylvania 17th Chris Deluzio (D) vs Jeremy Shaffer (R)
Rhode Island 2nd Seth Magaziner (D) vs Allan Fung (R)
Tennessee 5th Heidi Campbell (D) vs Andy Ogles (R)
Texas 15th Michelle Vallejo (D) vs Monica de la Cruz (R) Democrats choose far left socialist candidate to this race which increase Republican chance to get this seat.
Texas 28th Henry Cuellar (D) vs Cassy Garcia (R) Cuellar barely won primary election against far left socialist candidate, and due to being investigated by FBI, he could lose his seat with the Hispanic shift in southern Texas.
Texas 34th Mayra Flores (R) vs Vicente Gonzalez (D) Mayra Flores become first Republican to win this district in special election, however after redistricting the district become more blue and Flores upsetting many of her voters after voting for amnesty.
Virginia 2nd Elaine Luria (D) vs Jen Kiggans (R)
Virginia 7th Abigail Spanberger (D) vs Yesli Vega (R)
Virginia 10th Jennifer Wexton (D) vs Hung Cao (R)
Washington 3rd Joe Kent (R) vs Marie Perez (D) Joe Kent successfully defeat RINO incumbent Jaime Herrera Beutler.
Washington 8th Kim Schrier (D) vs Matt Larkin (R)
Wisconsin 3rd Brad Pfaff (D) vs Derrick Van Orden (R)

Other Competitive races

State Office Race Comment Outcome
Georgia Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones (R) vs Charlie Bailey (D) Trump endorsed Burt Jones will face Stacy Abrams endorsed Charlie Bailey.
Arizona Attorney General Abe Hamadeh (R) vs Kristin Mayes (D)
Illinois Attorney General Kwame Raoul (D) vs Tom DeVore (R)
Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller (D) vs Brenna Bird (R)
Kansas Attorney General Kris Kobach (R) vs Chris Mann (D) Mainstream media falsely portray Kansas secretary of state as extremist, he is likely to win.
Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel (D) vs Matthew DePerno (R) Matthew DePerno has very good chance to defeat far left and corrupt Dana Nessel
Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison (D) vs Jim Schultz (R) Jim Schultz has very good chance to defeat far left and Antifa supporter Keith Ellison
New York Attorney General Letitia James (D) vs Michael Henry (R) Michael Henry has very good chance to defeat far left and anti police attorney general Letitia James, latest polls showing him lead over her.
Texas Attorney general Ken Paxton (R) vs Rochelle Garza (D)
Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul (D) vs Eric Toney (R)
Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes (D) vs Mark Finchem (R) Mainstream media falsely claim Finchem as far Right, Finchem who got Trump endorsement has better to win.
Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger (R) vs Bee Nguyen (D)
Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson (D) vs Kristina Karamo (R) Karamo got Trump endorsement and she could win against corrupt and Soros puppet secretary of state Benson
Nevada Secretary of state Jim Marchant (R) vs Cisco Aguilar (D)
Wisconsin Secretary of state Doug La Follette (D) vs Amy Loudenbeck (R)
Nevada Treasurer of state Zach Conine (D) vs Michelle Fiore (R)


Key House races

FL–7

Stephanie Murphy, the current liberal Democrat congresswoman from Florida's 7th congressional district, is running for re-election to another House term after initially intending to seek one of the state's U.S. Senate seats against Marco Rubio.[81] Among her Republican challengers vying for the party nomination with the hopes of unseating her, Brady Duke criticized her record of refusing to buck with Democrat-instituted disasters:[82]

Stephanie Murphy won’t stand up to AOC or President Biden who want to raise taxes and enact radical policies that hurt Central Florida families. I fought to protect American families in combat, and I’ll do so again in Congress.

Indeed, FiveThirtyEight reports that Murphy is in lock step with Biden.[83] An important issue in the race is the Fall of Kabul instigated by Biden's disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan. Murphy refused to blame the Biden Administration over the decision,[84] while Duke heavily criticized along with other Navy SEALs.[85]

ME–2

Incumbent left-wing Democrat Jared Golden is running for re-election and challenged by Republican predecessor Bruce Poliquin. The election is viewed by "experts" as interesting due to Poliquin's timing in attempting to make a political comeback.[86] Poliquin was ultimately defeated for re-election in the 2018 midterms due to Maine's then-newly enacted ranked-choice voting, an undemocratic system which eliminates competition by third-party candidates.

Golden has on occasions bucked his party's far-leftism, such as voting against the "Build Back Better Act," a massive spending bill.[87] Although labeled as a "centrist" by some sources,[88] such misleading designation is merely by the already-extreme standards of the Democratic Party, given his track record in the 117th Congress in voting with Nancy Pelosi 87% of the time.[89]

NJ–7

Tomasz "Tom" Malinowski, the current Democrat U.S. representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district, is facing re-election in a district he only won by one percentage point in 2020. He is a noted liberal hypocrite who advocates transparency while failing to disclose shady stock trades,[90] in addition to having a history of fighting on behalf of terrorist Taliban leaders[91] and convicted sex offenders.[92]

Malinowski will potentially face a rematch of the 2020 election in a challenge by Republican state legislator Thomas H. "Tom" Kean, Jr., who stated:[93]

New Jersey deserves a Congressman who will serve with integrity and always put their best interests first. We will defeat Tom Malinowski.

—Thomas "Tom" Kean, Jr., November 2021

Competitive districts

On Oct 13, 2022, CNN came out with a poll, that in competitive districts, Republicans have an edge.[94]

Early voting

Florida Republicans voting by mail at higher clip than Democrats ahead of early voting. (Oct/2022)[95]

Cook Political Report

The Cook Political Report lists the various races by "toss-up" or "leans Republican, etc.[96] As of September 18, 2022, Cook lists a total of 58 House races as particularly competitive, categorizing them either as "toss-up" or "lean" to one side or the other.[96]

Google

The Media Research Center, said (Oct/2022) that Google favors Dems over GOP 83% of the time.[97]

Some positives

  • Miami-Dade flips red[98] and DeSantis. From Vox:[99]
    Winner: Ron DeSantis - Ron DeSantis may have had the best night of any Republican in the country. The Florida governor won what was once a swing state by a margin of nearly 20 points, and won base Democratic counties — or at least what were once base Democratic counties — like Palm Beach and Miami Dade.
  • The huge gap win in Florida by Rep. Marco Rubio over Dem. Val Demings[100] despite such a massive negative campaign by Demings, including using her police background, to pose, as supposed tough on crime, and the abortion issue. In addition, Deming campaigned also heavily among the large Haitian community. Yet, Rubio won by 9 points, Miami Dadde, with its major populations: Cubans, Jews, Haitians.
  • Though losing to Dems. Hochul, Zeldin did perform very well in the traditionally blue state NY (pundits attribute much of it for his focus on crime), encouraging the GOP.[103] Pundit:[104] Lee Zeldin probably helped save the House (hopefully at the time of posting it) by bringing four new Republican congressmen-elect across the finish line.


Post elections

Lefty CNN, upset at DeSantis big rise, tried to group NYPost and FoxNews into one under a supposed "Murdoch" umbrella,[107] while the truth is these media outlets, writers are separately independent in its opinions.

"Democratic meddling in GOP primaries paid off in a big way on Election Day." Democrats spent more than $40 million to boost Republicans in primaries for key midterm races.[108]

Fox News reported that "Conservatives point finger at Trump after GOP’s underwhelming election results."[109] The WSJ blamed Donald Trump for GOP's losses.[110] Former House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wisc., blamed disappointing GOP election results on 'Trump hangover.'[111]

Responding to some Twitter users about the midterm elections, Elon Musk joked that it's "borderline illegal" to support Republicans in San Francisco.[112]

When asked, “How much do you trust that America’s elections are fair and accurate?” only 43.2% of respondents said they “strongly trust” the election system...A majority, 56.8%, expressed concerns about the system, with 17% saying they “somewhat trust” it, 17.9% saying they “somewhat distrust” it, and 21.9% saying they “strongly distrust it””[113] “The rise of woke politics has undermined public confidence in the brass...The Reagan Institute releases an annual survey of public attitudes on national defense, and this year only 48% reported having “a great deal of confidence” in the U.S. military...That's down from 70% in 2018”[114] and “A study titled "Trend in Loaded Handgun Carrying Among Adult Handgun Owners in the United States, 2015‒2019" found the number of law-abiding US adults carrying handguns nearly doubled from 9 million in 2015 to 16 million in 2019”[115]

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    And so, I think the Democrats who made this a centerpiece, and as I’ve traveling, I’ve seen a lot of ads about this from Democratic candidates, I think, are going to look back on it and say they should have come up with a different strategy.
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  101. MONSEY: Rep. Mike Lawler Victorious in NY-17 Congressional District Thanks To Overwhelming Orthodox Jewish Support", YWN, November 9, 2022.
  102. Beating Big Blue – Interview With Mike Lawler, Hamodia, Nov 14, 2022.
  103. David Feedlander, How Zeldin’s Loss Is Making New York’s Republican Party Ambitious Again, NYMag, Nov 10, 2022.
    ...after focusing relentlessly on crime, Zeldin took advantage of a Hochul campaign that didn’t realize exactly how tight of a race it had on its hands until an internal poll showed her under 50 percent and the Republican within four points with just three weeks to go.

    And now New York Republicans say they see a path forward to end their long years in the wilderness...

    As results come in, New York appears to be an outlier, one of the few places where Republicans performed better than they did in 2020. The GOP looks set to make major gains in the State Legislature, ending the Democratic supermajorities in both houses in Albany, and may flip enough congressional seats in New York alone to retake the majority, especially since a special master, and not the state Democrats, drew the redistricting lines...

    The reasons, strategists on both sides of the aisle say, are manifold. For one thing, New York has a large population of Orthodox Jewish voters. Those voters swung hard against Democrats over issues like Israel and religious education, which may have contributed to the surprising loss of Sean Patrick Maloney, the head of the Democratic Campaign Congressional Committee, in a seat just north of New York City, and to the defeat of Democratic state legislators in the same area.
  104. Jim Hoft, Good News. Lee Zeldin Is Taking Calls About Replacing Hapless Ronna McDaniel After She Blew Two Landslide Elections, Gateway pundit, Nov 14, 2022.
  105. Jack Phillips, GOP Takes Key District From Democrats in Blue State as House Control Undecided, The Epoch Times, Nov 13, 2022.
  106. Republican Lori Chavez-DeRemer becomes Oregon's first Hispanic member of Congress, NBC News, Nov 14, 2022.

    She is also the first Republican to flip the seat that has been held by Democrats since 2009. Republican Lori Chavez-DeRemer has made history as Oregon’s first Hispanic member of Congress, according to NBC News projections.

    Chavez-DeRemer, a former suburban mayor, won her race against Democrat Jamie McLeod-Skinner to represent the state’s 5th Congressional District.
  107. " 'It is not an accident': Murdoch's media empire celebrates DeSantis as future of GOP after midterms." By Oliver Darcy, CNN Business. November 09, 2022.
  108. Brandon Gillespie, CLEAN SWEEP: Democratic meddling in GOP primaries paid off in a big way on Election Day, Fox News, November 10, 2022.
    Democrats spent more than $40 million to boost Republicans in primaries for key midterm races.. Democrats' strategy of spending millions to boost pro-Trump candidates in Republican primaries appeared to pay off Tuesday as the party ended the night with a clean sweep of the races in which it chose to meddle. All six of the Republican candidates who seemingly benefited from the meddling in their primary victories fell to their Democratic opponents. Those races include a number of key House and gubernatorial races, as well as the New Hampshire Senate race. Democrats spent more than $40 million boosting those six GOP candidates, all of whom expressed support for former President Donald Trump as a leader of the Republican Party or were backed by him...
  109. Anders Hagstrom, Conservatives point finger at Trump after GOP’s underwhelming election results: 'He's never been weaker', Fox News, November 9, 2022.
    Many conservatives say Tuesday's election results show it's 'time to move on' from Trump.
  110. The Editorial Board, Trump Is the Republican Party’s Biggest Loser, WSJ, Nov. 9, 2022 .
    He has now flopped in 2018, 2020, 2021 and 2022.
  111. Chris Pandolfo, Paul Ryan blames disappointing GOP election results on 'Trump hangover', Fox News, 11/10/2022.
  112. Nicole Wells, Musk: 'Borderline Illegal' to Support GOP in San Francisco, Newsmax, November 10, 2022.
    Responding to some Twitter users about the midterm elections on Tuesday, new Twitter owner Elon Musk joked that it's "borderline illegal" to support Republicans in San Francisco.
  113. https://www.dailysignal.com/2022/11/30/democrats-more-likely-trust-delayed-election-results-most-americans-dont-poll-finds
  114. https://www.wsj.com/articles/americans-are-losing-trust-in-the-military-reagan-institute-survey-11669848047
  115. https://www.zerohedge.com/political/number-handgun-owners-carrying-daily-nearly-doubles-us